My favorite NFL "system" is providing a play this MONDAY NIGHT

[viking611]

Fish doesn't miss on these plays often....here's to an outright win tonight:toast:

 

[mj23]

Fish doesn't miss on these plays often....here's to an outright win tonight:toast:

We are not looking too good but like they say its not how you start its how you finish!!

 

[mj23]

Soon as i typed the last ! bam blocked punt !!

 

[billsfan]

Minny special teams showing up this evening

 

[ProPokerPlayer]

F'N Refs have it for Peyton bigtime..

Isnt a fumble when a player loses possesion or control of the ball? so how can a ball that "was starting" to come out of a hand not be a fumble? If the guy had possesion how can the ball even be "starting " to come out....
Not 1 Ref sees a facemask that Ray Charles fell out the stands watching...
They call an obvious arm bar a hold....
And Peytons making it worse with his damn whining..

 

[sharky99]

Low line drive punt to BUSH and he runs another one back for a TD.........someone's head's needs to roll, have the Vikings small also but after everything that's happened and your still in the game despite getting outplayed and you do that......very inexcusable in my books!hno:

 

[Iceman]

Vikes should be down a minimum 17 points right now.

 

[viking611]

ope:HAIL TO THE FISHHEAD.

:money8: MONEY LINE WINNER HERE.

Not a bad time for me to break out the wallet and get back into this gambling thing. Thanks PHISHHEAD for getting my team back into the thick of things!!

 

[Oak3]

Wasn't pretty but will take it.

 

[trytrytry]

Nice work fish! nice nice nice

ope:

 

[barman]

And to think I used New Orleans -3 as a Regular play on my end in spite of my friendly local Fish Friend giving me several days notice warning me otherwise....

TAKE THAT BARMAN....and here's a hat tip to another local friend BILLSFAN.....you and I get to share the Monday blues

See youse both this next weekend for local BOS/TB ALCS-related parties

 

[Fishhead]

ope:HAIL TO THE FISHHEAD.

:money8: MONEY LINE WINNER HERE.

Not a bad time for me to break out the wallet and get back into this gambling thing. Thanks PHISHHEAD for getting my team back into the thick of things!!

Congrats sirrr!

The Vikings have a Superbowl calibur defense.........lots of tremendous players on that side of the ball for your Vikings.

Chad Greenway is only going to get better and better.

By the way, did you see the game Matt Roth put forth on Sunday!?...........star of the game for the surging Dolphins.

 

[Fishhead]

very nice call

even with the clueless childress kicking to reggie bush twice after he ran the first one back but trying to cover it up by saying "both kicks were supposed to go out of bounds". sure they were.

:nohead:

loved the 4th quarter heroics from gussy. this is the guy who was the laughing stock of the NFL awhile back with the head banging incident on MNF... fitting that he mounted a comeback on a monday night game as well. good for him.
kinda felt bad when the guy was laughed out of washington, always showed a lot of heart, just a terrible OL and multiple coaching changes. even when he was backing up HEATH BAR

There are not to many coaches worse than the two we seen last evening...............

 

[buddym]

Glad you got the big W after your lose on North Texas. Unfortunately , i lost both games, but the Minne game was saved by the total. Good Luck

 

[HarryCaray]

Nice call Mr. Fish, I tailed you on this one. Thanks.

 

[sharky99]

Nice winner FISH...good way to go into a full slate of pucks this week...:lukesky

 

[Fishhead]

Post #65,000 here at TheRX

MINNESOTA VIKINGS +3.5/+3


1. Since 1980, teams with a 1-3 record off a straight-up loss are 85-56 ATS.

2. If the above team is facing a team off a straight win in the above #1 scenario, they are 49-19 ATS.

3. If the team we are backing qualifies for the above #1 and #2 scenarios and they are favored or a dog of less than seven points, they are 45-12 ATS.


MINNESOTA fits #3 this MONDAY NIGHT............a situation where a team in this situation has covered 45 of the past 57 times.

Not a system player by any means, but I like the theory behind this one and the records prove it to have tremendous merit. The theory is a team with a 1-3 record is facing a very important game.......an almost "do or die" situation for their season, as they do not want to fall to 1-4. Also, it is well documented that many NFL coaches breakdown the season into four sets of four games........thus, this is game #1 of the 2nd set of four, and as mentioned, are facing a situation where they do not want to fall to 1-4.

The other factors involved in this "theory/system"(team off a loss, opponent off a win, low spread).......provides the intangible value needed to produce the results that it has accomplished.

I believe I posted a few games that fit this system a couple years ago in this forum(not sure if it won or lost).

AS ALWAYS, BET WITH YOUR HEAD, NOT OVER IT. iN FACT, DONT WAGER THIS GAME IF YOU DONT LIKE IT. IF YOU HAVE A SMALL LEAN ON THE VIKINGS ALREADY, PERHAPS THIS WILL PUT YOU OVER THE TOP TO WAGER IT.

To be honest, this appears to be a very scary game............I personally am just going to close my eyes and pull the trigger and play the above percentages that have played out over the years.

Hopefully, we will have a play next week on a 1-3 team that fits this bill.


Take care all,

-FH-

Ok, this week we have two teams fitting JUST trend #1 in the "1-3 record scenario".

For the most part, I only play teams when they qualify on two or more of the criterias.

Having said that, I will be making two very small plays on the two teams that fit the #1 rule this week.............which means I will be wagering approximently 1/3 the amount that I wagered on the VIKINGS last week.

This weeks plays are........

OAK on the road vs NO
SEA at home vs GB


Later,
FH