My 2 Very Strong Plays for the Conference Championship Game

[manterro]

The SOS is updated weekly. Best tool I use is Sagarin to get a base line and cap from there. I used to bet 6-7 games a day without looking into games and would always go 3-3 or less but sometimes 6-0. It's about finding value in one or two games and bet heavy on it. I find it much more profitable and less stress when playing on house money.

Thank you very much. I appreciate the help.

 

[Lawfrankd]

Agree...100% on the bad news analogy..... After car was up 31-0..... I was already on az... Can get them +3.5 at -110... Bets in... Expect a close game... And the 3.5 is a bonus

 

[cashflow50]

i also didn't like they way Seattle put up 24 points after the fact. No way they can let up like that with a Bruce Arians coached team

 

[YaBoyPDDY]

I like this thread info from Piranha. He speaks facts critical to gambling success. love it

 

[bobbyjones2]

carson palmers nerves worry me...

 

[cashflow50]

carson palmers nerves worry me...

??

 

[bukis1]

For those who believe in conspiracy theories in the NFL then you gotta believe the NFL wants Peyton in the Super Bowl with this probably being his last year.

Didn't do it for Farve when it was last yr in gb nor with vikings

 

[Piranha]

If you strongly believe in your team to cover buy the first half also.

Going back 12 years, my stats has the team that covers the game is covering the 1st half at 92-29-8.

 

[Piranha]

This is what I like so far.........

Den +2.5 (1st)
Den +3
Den ML +140

Ari +2.5 (1st)
Ari +3
Ari (u) 47.5

I did not buy yet because the numbers for the "dogs" will always be better if you wait.

 

[PsychedelicPicks]

If Denver wins, you may might also want to consider betting AZ ML.. Looking back over the years if we combine all divisional and championship home games there is always usually 1 road winner.. I went back and could only find 1 time (91-92) that the home teams went 6-0.. I love Denver but AZ would be an even bigger play for me depending on the outcome.. Good luck this weekend Piranha, I believe Manning is going back to the Super Bowl for one last ride..


NFL Playoffs Divisional/Conference Championship Game (Home/Road Winners)1966-67 NFL Playoffs... 4 road teams1967-68 NFL Playoffs... 4 home teams 1968-69 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 1 road team1969-70 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 1 road team 1970–71 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1971–72 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams1972-73 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1973-74 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1974-75 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1975-76 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1976-77 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1977-78 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1978-79 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1979-80 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams1980-81 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams1981-82 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1982-83 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1983-84 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1984-85 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1985-86 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1986-87 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1987-88 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1988-89 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1989-90 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1990-91 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1991-92 NFL playoffs... 6 home teams 1992-93 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams1993-94 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1994-95 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1995-96 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams1996-97 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1997-98 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams1998-99 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team1999-00 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams2000-01 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams2001-02 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams2002-03 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team2003-04 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams2004-05 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team2005-06 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams2006-07 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams2007-08 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams2008-09 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams2009-10 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team2010-11 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams2011-12 NFL playoffs... 4 home teams, 2 road teams2012-13 NFL playoffs... 3 home teams, 3 road teams2013-14 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team2014-15 NFL playoffs... 5 home teams, 1 road team2015-16 NFL playoffs... Pending

 

[PsychedelicPicks]

Damn tried reformatting this but ran out of time.. Posting from an iPhone isn't always easy

 

[seldomseen]

Thanks for some insight. GL this weekend!

 

[Piranha]

If Denver wins, you may might also want to consider betting AZ ML.. Looking back over the years if we combine all divisional and championship home games there is always usually 1 road winner.. I went back and could only find 1 time (91-92) that the home teams went 6-0.. I love Denver but AZ would be an even bigger play for me depending on the outcome.. Good luck this weekend Piranha, I believe Manning is going back to the Super Bowl for one last ride..

Your right. Thanks, I did not look at that angle.

 

[bobbyjones2]

carson palmer looked nervous to me saturday night, at home, against a green bay defense, that aint exactly the 85 bears..

now he goes on the road, against that carolina d line....just sayin

 

[Romanowski]

Carson Palmer didn't have his best game but to be fair he has that same look when he's doing well too.

 

[xflrejects]

bobby jones2...Do you mean Carson Hoyer? Damn he was playing scared...a lot more than the finger going on. Even his HC admits he hates to get hit. It makes this game even tougher to handicap. He went 83 wins in reg. season before he won a playoff game.

 

[Piranha]

carson palmer looked nervous to me saturday night, at home, against a green bay defense, that aint exactly the 85 bears..

now he goes on the road, against that carolina d line....just sayin

He's got his first playoff win (monkey is off his back now). He will be a totally different QB than what you saw last weekend.

 

[TheShotDoctor]

carson palmers nerves worry me...

Exactly...That Fast, Aggressive Panther's Defense Will Have Carson Palmer Eating Xanex On The SideLines!!

He's Not One To Trust In A BIG GAME On THE ROAD vs A Defense Like The Carolina Panthers!


--ShotDoc--

 

[TheShotDoctor]

"I went back and could only find 1 time (91-92) that the home teams went 6-0.. I love Denver but AZ would be an even bigger play for me depending on the outcome.. Good luck this weekend Piranha, I believe Manning is going back to the Su"


I Agree with this Trend!
Its A Strong One!
Just Better Pick The Right Home & Away Teams!


My Thoughts Are Those Teams Are:
AWAY WINNER: NEW ENGLAND
HOME WINNER: CAROLINA


--ShotDoc--

 

[Pstar]

Oct ESPN Article:

"Carson Palmer a better quarterback on the road than at home"

TEMPE, Ariz. -- Carson Palmer has been good inside the friendly confines of University of Phoenix Stadium.
But he's been even better on the road.
Palmer, who is 6-1 over the last two seasons at home, is undefeated as a visiting quarterback since 2014. He's 3-0 on road in limited action, after missing 10 games last season due to ACL and shoulder injuries.
He has completed 69 percent of his passes in road games compared to 61 percent at home, according to ESPN Stats & Information. That's led to a higher touchdown percentage on the road (10 percent) compared to at home (5 percent).
His QBR away from Arizona (88) is also significantly better than it is at home (65).
Palmer has thrown the same amount of interceptions regardless of where he played, but in seven home games he's thrown 12 touchdowns compared to nine touchdowns in three road games.
But why is Palmer going against conventional wisdom, which is that quarterbacks and offenses are better at home, where they can control the crowd noise and are generally more comfortable?
Cardinals coach Bruce Arians had an idea about why quarterbacks are good road warriors.
"One thing is they know their system and they can handle noise," he said. "If they got a good handle on how to use the noise and the communication in their offensive line and their communication is very good."