Tracked the 22 page thread, amazed that almost 1 full year fit in those pages. Very under the radar.
Its only 1 year of data, but its seems he is most profitable if you fade all dogs and favs up to -130 or less.
For instance he takes team +140 you dont fade at -150. That added a substantial amount of units to the fade. Its hard to give exact fig because some days are not listed, not clear, skipped, etc. but that wont happen this year.)
Roughly added another 50% to the unit tally just by implementing that rule.
Also noticed that the interleague games took away a nice chunk of profit for faders.
But you cannot argue the overall results. You have to stomach taking really shitty teams on a daily basis. You have to stomach 5-run leads by a last place piece of shit-team and blow the game in the 9th, 7-6. But it seems logical on paper. I am also gonna track this hondo character, and fade both. Gonna put all my wagering eggs in these two baskets for bases, as I doubt lang will pick bases himself. I will fade him for nba (if the pussy plays any he's scared shitless to) and wait till football for him to collapse.
Hondo I tracked from scamdicappers.com. paid the $5.00 3 day trial, printed all his baseball for past 2 years. He was very profitable for faders. He does take dogs occasionally, and I found the optimum fade for him is to take all his games, but one exception: any faves you must take @-170 or greater, take them at -1.5. It netted a lot more net profit for both years. Yes you occasionally got dicked by your team winning by one run, but a lot of times you saved big juice cause fave lost straight up.
I am thinking of creating a hybrid thread with these two, based on the rules I found to ensure max fade profit.
Of course, the issue is, will past results net same fade profits in 2012?
Can't wait, still a full freaking week. They are not to be seen yet, clearly they are not picking the Yoshinoya bowl series this week.