Movie Odds this week.....Beerfest, How to Eat Fried Worms, Idlewild, and Invinciable

[kirkmuller]

Any particular reason for playing the Under on Invincible?

It has a big screen count, good reviews, PG rating, seems to be a lot of ads on TV, and Mark Wahlberg has had good openings recently for his high profile movies (Four Bros $21m, Italian Job $19.5m). I don't have a feeling either way, but I'm wondering why you're going to the Under in particular.

 

[MAGAking1]

Man o Man. I dont like anything strong this week.
But made some numbers plays for half unit each.

Beerfest over 9.5 +120 greek. Hoping this bad boy can squeak over 10 with just a shade under 3000 theatres. Willing to take on extra 500 K for over 58 cents gain in juice. Maybe all the frats in America will have a Beerfest viewing party this weekend and then attempt to re-create the movie afterwards:toast:

Over 14.25 Invincible -120 WWTS
OVer 2900 theatres and Marky Mark Whalberg will attract some females.
So its not an out of the question date movie along with the other obvious target audience. This could be real close to the number so was willing to pay about 32 cents in juice to gain 750k.

Idle under 6 +174 Pinny. All the soul movies arent automatically hits in the hood. Seems like a decent but not spectacular movie that I would like to see when it comes on HBO next year or so.
Just like the price and the low theatre count and hoping it has been a little overhyped.
As I type this the line just went to under +193. DAAAAM

Good luck this weekend guys.

 

[3DGlasses]

Beerfest over 9.5 +120 greek. Hoping this bad boy can squeak over 10 with just a shade under 3000 theatres.

I agree... but you can get the same price +120 for 9 - 12 million at Intertops. And then it only has to go over 9 million which it will with that many theaters.

 

[MAGAking1]

I agree... but you can get the same price +120 for 9 - 12 million at Intertops. And then it only has to go over 9 million which it will with that many theaters.

thanks for info. already made bet.
I have intertop account but dont like book, so its unfunded 99% of time.
But I have noticed some decent opportunities there and must remeber to keep them on my search for best numbers every week.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

It should go over the 9 million...its got decent promoting being done I just hope it take some of the people from invincible with them...

 

[VoiceofReason101]

BoxOfficeMojo Predictions:

Invincible
(2,917 theaters)14.6 Million





Beerfest
(2,964 theaters)8.5 Million





Idlewild
(973 theaters)7.6 Million (I really hope their right about this one)

 

[Brendanb438]

Looks like with early Friday numbers there is a good chance that Worms, Idlewild and Beerfest will go under, with Beerfest going way under. Invincible looks like the only one that could possibly hit the over this weekend.

Cheers!

 

[joelatti]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
8/25
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
8/26</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
8/27</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
8/28</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>INVINCIBLE
Buena Vista

2,917</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$5,350,000

--[COLOR=#00000] / $1,834[/COLOR]
<NOBR>$5,350,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>BEERFEST
Warner Bros.

2,964</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$2,725,000

--[COLOR=#00000] / $919[/COLOR]
<NOBR>$2,725,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>TALLADEGA NIGHTS: THE BALLAD OF RICKY BOBBY
Sony

3,370</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$2,460,000

96.3%[COLOR=#00000] / $730[/COLOR]
<NOBR>$122,144,000 / 22</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>ACCEPTED
Universal

2,917</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$2,125,000

99.9%[COLOR=#00000] / $728[/COLOR]
<NOBR>$16,767,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>IDLEWILD
Universal

973</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$2,080,000

--[COLOR=#00000] / $2,138[/COLOR]
<NOBR>$2,080,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[MAGAking1]

I knew number were supposed to be low this weekend but these numbers look stupid low.

 

[underdunk]

Estimates: Invincible 17, Beerfest 6.7, Idlewild 6.0, Fried Worms 4.5

I didn't play any this weekend.

 

[kirkmuller]

I made a small play on Invicible Over, so I hope that's true. It just seems to make sense, given a whole bevy of factors, including the fact it's the only movie with a name actor and that the other big movies are tailing off now.

 

[Brendanb438]

Idlewild $5.8 Million.. Bank that under +210 baby!

-Brendan

 

[JacobimMugatu]

hey, where are husker and voiceofreason? o, they are hiding because they got COMPLETELY CRUSHED and were TOTALLY WRONG.