I bet horses only so it's a little different to sports betting but the principal is the same.
I study the form with no influence on what the estimated odds will be and use my own ratings, how the race will pan out, ground, jockey etc as factors to determine the odds.
For the race in question on Saturday, I came up with:
Horse A - +110
Horse B - +137
Horse C - +1600
Horse D - +2200
This is with no morning line influence to steer my judgement. Actual available odds for the race were;
Horse A - -150
Horse B - +250
Horse C - +600
Horse D - +1400
In my previous post I said i made the horse +237 and could get +350 - should have been +137 and could get +250 (these american odds are not too familiar to me)
So the clear bet was horse B and the difference was big enough to warrant a larger bankroll bet. Many times i analyse a race and my odds and the actual odds available indicate that i shouldn't be doing a bet. that's where your discipline has to prevent you frm forcing a bet beacause you've analysed a race for 2 hours.
I study the form with no influence on what the estimated odds will be and use my own ratings, how the race will pan out, ground, jockey etc as factors to determine the odds.
For the race in question on Saturday, I came up with:
Horse A - +110
Horse B - +137
Horse C - +1600
Horse D - +2200
This is with no morning line influence to steer my judgement. Actual available odds for the race were;
Horse A - -150
Horse B - +250
Horse C - +600
Horse D - +1400
In my previous post I said i made the horse +237 and could get +350 - should have been +137 and could get +250 (these american odds are not too familiar to me)
So the clear bet was horse B and the difference was big enough to warrant a larger bankroll bet. Many times i analyse a race and my odds and the actual odds available indicate that i shouldn't be doing a bet. that's where your discipline has to prevent you frm forcing a bet beacause you've analysed a race for 2 hours.