Monday Night Football Sharp Action
8:15 p.m. ET: New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs
Both of these non-conference foes are looking to claw closer to .500. The Giants (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS) just beat the Panthers 25-3, winning outright as 3-point home dogs. The win snapped a two-game losing skid for New York. Meanwhile, the Chiefs (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) have rotated wins and losses their last five games, most recently falling to Tennessee 27-3 and losing outright as 4-point road favorites. The Giants are -41 in point differential and the Chiefs are -15.
The early lookahead line for this game was Chiefs -13 at home. The game quickly adjusted to Kansas City listed as a 10-point home favorite. The public isn't concerned with the Chiefs struggling this season and two-thirds of bets are rushing to the window to lay the points with Kansas City. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen the line remain frozen at 10. In fact, some books have dipped briefly to 9.5 throughout the week before ticking back up to 10. This signals some respected money leaning Giants plus the points.
New York matches several profitable betting systems this season. Road dogs are 43-28 ATS (60.6%) this season. Primetime dogs are 16-7 ATS (70%). It's also very rare for a dog to be getting 10 points on Monday Night Football. Over the past decade, MNF double-digit dogs are 16-4 ATS (80%). The Giants also have value as a contrarian dog in a heavily bet primetime game.
Respected money also appears to be leaning on the under. The total opened at 54 and has fallen to 52 despite a majority of bets taking the over. Non-conference unders are 22-13 ATS (62.9%) this season. Weather could play a factor here. The forecast calls for low 40s with 5 MPH winds and possibly some rain.