NFL Sharp Action
8:15 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
This Monday Night Football showdown features a pair of NFC East rivals with 1-1 records, although their public perceptions are vastly different, which may create a buy-low, sell-high opportunity. The Eagles (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) crushed the Falcons 32-6 in the season opener, but then dropped their Week 2 game to the 49ers 17-11, failing to cover as 3-point home dogs. Meanwhile, the Cowboys (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) are coming off their first victory of the season last week, upsetting the Chargers 20-17 as 3-point road dogs. Essentially, Dallas is hot in the eyes of the public, while the Eagles are cold.
This line opened with the Cowboys listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. The public is happy to ride with Dak and the Cowboys at home on a short spread. However, despite this lopsided betting, we've seen the line remain frozen at 3.5. In fact, the Eagles 3.5 is being juiced up to -115 to -120, signaling liability on Philadelphia and a possible fall to the key number of 3. Wiseguys seem to be backing the Eagles plus the hook based on the line freeze and juice reverse line movement.
Philadelphia has value as a contrarian road dog in a heavily bet primetime game. Primetime dogs are 5-3 ATS this season and 33-22 ATS (60 percent) over the past two seasons.
The Eagles also match the best betting system through three weeks: short road dogs 6 or less. They are 14-2 ATS this season and 114-71 ATS (62 percent) the past two seasons. Philadelphia has value as a divisional dog, as the built in familiarity with a common opponent levels the playing field and benefits the team getting points. Divisional dogs are 61-46 (57 percent) over the past two seasons. It's also been profitable to fade teams making their home opener in Week 3, like the Cowboys tonight. Over the past decade, fading them is 31-15 ATS (67 percent). Brad Rogers, the head referee, is 32-26 ATS (56 percent) to the road team historically.
The total opened at 51.5 and really hasn't budged at all. Primetime overs are 7-1 this season. Philadelphia is 2-0 to the under this season. Dallas is 1-1.
8:15 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
This Monday Night Football showdown features a pair of NFC East rivals with 1-1 records, although their public perceptions are vastly different, which may create a buy-low, sell-high opportunity. The Eagles (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) crushed the Falcons 32-6 in the season opener, but then dropped their Week 2 game to the 49ers 17-11, failing to cover as 3-point home dogs. Meanwhile, the Cowboys (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) are coming off their first victory of the season last week, upsetting the Chargers 20-17 as 3-point road dogs. Essentially, Dallas is hot in the eyes of the public, while the Eagles are cold.
This line opened with the Cowboys listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. The public is happy to ride with Dak and the Cowboys at home on a short spread. However, despite this lopsided betting, we've seen the line remain frozen at 3.5. In fact, the Eagles 3.5 is being juiced up to -115 to -120, signaling liability on Philadelphia and a possible fall to the key number of 3. Wiseguys seem to be backing the Eagles plus the hook based on the line freeze and juice reverse line movement.
Philadelphia has value as a contrarian road dog in a heavily bet primetime game. Primetime dogs are 5-3 ATS this season and 33-22 ATS (60 percent) over the past two seasons.
The Eagles also match the best betting system through three weeks: short road dogs 6 or less. They are 14-2 ATS this season and 114-71 ATS (62 percent) the past two seasons. Philadelphia has value as a divisional dog, as the built in familiarity with a common opponent levels the playing field and benefits the team getting points. Divisional dogs are 61-46 (57 percent) over the past two seasons. It's also been profitable to fade teams making their home opener in Week 3, like the Cowboys tonight. Over the past decade, fading them is 31-15 ATS (67 percent). Brad Rogers, the head referee, is 32-26 ATS (56 percent) to the road team historically.
The total opened at 51.5 and really hasn't budged at all. Primetime overs are 7-1 this season. Philadelphia is 2-0 to the under this season. Dallas is 1-1.
Insider Sports Report
D* Cleveland (Quantrill) -155 over Kansas City (Kowar)
Range: -135 to -175
C* Dallas -3.5 over Philadelphia (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5
National Sports Service
D* Philadelphia/Dallas OVER 51.5 (NFL)
Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> Seattle (Flexen) -115 over Oakland (Irvin)
C Unit --> Philadelphia +3.5 over Dallas (NFL)
Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ Chicago White Sox (Keuchel)/Detroit (Manning) OVER 9.5
C★ Philadelphia/Dallas UNDER 51.5 (NFL)
D* Cleveland (Quantrill) -155 over Kansas City (Kowar)
Range: -135 to -175
C* Dallas -3.5 over Philadelphia (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5
National Sports Service
D* Philadelphia/Dallas OVER 51.5 (NFL)
Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> Seattle (Flexen) -115 over Oakland (Irvin)
C Unit --> Philadelphia +3.5 over Dallas (NFL)
Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ Chicago White Sox (Keuchel)/Detroit (Manning) OVER 9.5
C★ Philadelphia/Dallas UNDER 51.5 (NFL)
Demarco Crew
Al Demarco - Dallas Cowboys
Chris Jordan - Dallas Cowboys
Gus Augustine - Dallas Cowboys
Jay McNeil - Seattle Mariners with Flexen over the Oakland Athletics with Irvin
Kirby Maxwell - Over Cowboys-Eagles
Mitchell Newman - Philadelphia Eagles
Steve Budin = Seattle Mariners
Trace Adams - Dallas Cowboys
Al Demarco - Dallas Cowboys
Chris Jordan - Dallas Cowboys
Gus Augustine - Dallas Cowboys
Jay McNeil - Seattle Mariners with Flexen over the Oakland Athletics with Irvin
Kirby Maxwell - Over Cowboys-Eagles
Mitchell Newman - Philadelphia Eagles
Steve Budin = Seattle Mariners
Trace Adams - Dallas Cowboys
Bob Balfe
NFL
8:20 PM EST
Rotation #497
Eagles +3.5 over Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys will be without 2 starters on the defensive line, one is a rookie and the other ,Randy Gregory, has only played a few snaps this year. Backup Dorance Armstrong is out and the other backups are rookies or were in different cities last year. These types of scenarios do not pop up much in the NFL so when they do you have to strike and live with the results. I know this is a young Philly coaching staff, but it's not often in the NFL you see a defense without pass rushers in a game. QB's that have time to throw indeed make their throws. Philly is missing a few guys on the offensive line, but I still think they have a huge advantage over this battered defense line and I can't stress enough how crucial this one area is to the game. Dallas also isn’t full strength on their offensive line going against a Philly front seven that has a lot of talent. I believe the Eagles are better tonight on both sides of the trenches. Games are won and lost with the big boys up front and the Eagles do hold that edge tonight. I have to hit home on the point that the Dallas front seven is really banged up and lacks serious depth. It is hard to win football games in this league when you can’t pressure the quarterback. Let’s just hope the coaching staff in Philly attacks that all night long. Take the Eagles.
NFL
8:20 PM EST
Rotation #497
Eagles +3.5 over Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys will be without 2 starters on the defensive line, one is a rookie and the other ,Randy Gregory, has only played a few snaps this year. Backup Dorance Armstrong is out and the other backups are rookies or were in different cities last year. These types of scenarios do not pop up much in the NFL so when they do you have to strike and live with the results. I know this is a young Philly coaching staff, but it's not often in the NFL you see a defense without pass rushers in a game. QB's that have time to throw indeed make their throws. Philly is missing a few guys on the offensive line, but I still think they have a huge advantage over this battered defense line and I can't stress enough how crucial this one area is to the game. Dallas also isn’t full strength on their offensive line going against a Philly front seven that has a lot of talent. I believe the Eagles are better tonight on both sides of the trenches. Games are won and lost with the big boys up front and the Eagles do hold that edge tonight. I have to hit home on the point that the Dallas front seven is really banged up and lacks serious depth. It is hard to win football games in this league when you can’t pressure the quarterback. Let’s just hope the coaching staff in Philly attacks that all night long. Take the Eagles.
