Matt Severance
PHILADELPHIA @ CHI. CUBS | 07/05 | 8:05 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS -140
ANALYSIS: I've done well over the past week fading the Cubs as they are on a nine-game skid, but those were all on the road. Chicago is an excellent 26-13 at home and also has a winning record against lefties overall. The Phils start a southpaw in Matt Moore (0-1, 5.79). It's Zach Davies (5-5, 4.32) for the Cubbies, and he has allowed two earned or fewer in four of his past five outings. Philadelphia is 3-7 in its past 10 vs. a right-hander.
CHI. WHITE SOX @ MINNESOTA | 07/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -121
ANALYSIS: White Sox starter Dylan Cease (7-3, 3.75) has much worse numbers away from home, but I'm still backing Chicago at Minnesota because the Twins are minus their two most dangerous hitters in Nelson Cruz and Josh Donaldson. Cease also just beat the Twins last Wednesday on the South Side, allowing two runs over six. Bailey Ober (0-1, 5.84) starts for the Twins, and he was roughed up opposite Cease last Wednesday and has been much worse at home this year. Chicago is 8-1 in the season series.
PHILADELPHIA @ CHI. CUBS | 07/05 | 8:05 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS -140
ANALYSIS: I've done well over the past week fading the Cubs as they are on a nine-game skid, but those were all on the road. Chicago is an excellent 26-13 at home and also has a winning record against lefties overall. The Phils start a southpaw in Matt Moore (0-1, 5.79). It's Zach Davies (5-5, 4.32) for the Cubbies, and he has allowed two earned or fewer in four of his past five outings. Philadelphia is 3-7 in its past 10 vs. a right-hander.
CHI. WHITE SOX @ MINNESOTA | 07/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -121
ANALYSIS: White Sox starter Dylan Cease (7-3, 3.75) has much worse numbers away from home, but I'm still backing Chicago at Minnesota because the Twins are minus their two most dangerous hitters in Nelson Cruz and Josh Donaldson. Cease also just beat the Twins last Wednesday on the South Side, allowing two runs over six. Bailey Ober (0-1, 5.84) starts for the Twins, and he was roughed up opposite Cease last Wednesday and has been much worse at home this year. Chicago is 8-1 in the season series.
Micah Roberts
BOSTON @ L.A. ANGELS | 07/05 | 9:38 PM EDT
BOSTON -121
ANALYSIS: The Angels have won four straight, thanks in part to Shohei Ohtani's bat, but Boston is red-hot right now, and it will feel like a home game in Anaheim with all the Red Sox fans in Southern California getting a chance to watch their team. Boston LHP Martin Perez has been stellar in his last three starts, all Red Sox wins. Los Angeles LHP Jose Suarez is making his first start of 2021 as he replaces Dylan Bundy in the rotation. The Angels have lost Suarez's last 10 starts. Take the Red Sox to win.
BOSTON @ L.A. ANGELS | 07/05 | 9:38 PM EDT
BOSTON -121
ANALYSIS: The Angels have won four straight, thanks in part to Shohei Ohtani's bat, but Boston is red-hot right now, and it will feel like a home game in Anaheim with all the Red Sox fans in Southern California getting a chance to watch their team. Boston LHP Martin Perez has been stellar in his last three starts, all Red Sox wins. Los Angeles LHP Jose Suarez is making his first start of 2021 as he replaces Dylan Bundy in the rotation. The Angels have lost Suarez's last 10 starts. Take the Red Sox to win.
John Bollman
PHILADELPHIA @ CHI. CUBS | 07/05 | 8:05 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS -140
ANALYSIS: Will tonight be the night the Cubs snap their nine game losing streak? Zach Davies didn’t allow a run in three of his six starts in June and although the Cubs bullpen has been bad, the Phillies bullpen has been much worse. Matt Moore is making just his fifth start of the season meaning the Phillies bullpen will most likely be in for half the game. The Cubs return home where they are 26-13 on the season while the Phillies are 15-26 on the road.
MILWAUKEE @ N.Y. METS | 07/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -125
ANALYSIS: Brandon Woodruff is 7-3 with a 1.87 ERA this season and he has a 1.55 ERA on the road. The Brewers had won 11 straight games before their dud yesterday in Pittsburgh but look for them to get back on track with their ace on the mound. Tylor Megill is making just his third career start and first against a team other than the Braves. He has allowed five earned runs in 9.1 IP. The Brewers ran into a buzzsaw in lefty Tyler Anderson yesterday, expect different results tonight with their ace on the mound.
L.A. DODGERS @ MIAMI | 07/05 | 6:40 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -135
ANALYSIS: We’ve got a great pitching matchup in Walker Buehler vs. Trevor Rogers in Miami tonight. Which is why the Dodgers, on a nine game win streak and starting their ace, have a very good price. Trevor Rogers has struggled slightly with his command recently allowing six walks in his past two starts which is just enough for the Dodgers to hurt you. Walker Buehler has pitched nine straight quality starts and he has thrown a quality start in all but two starts all season. The Marlins bullpen blew a 7-4 lead in the ninth inning yesterday and they should still have that on their minds. Take the Dodgers.
TAMPA BAY @ MONTREAL | 07/05 | 8:00 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -160
ANALYSIS: The Lightning are going for the sweep in Montreal on Monday and I honestly don’t see any reason why they wouldn’t get it. Tampa Bay has been the better team all series but Montreal has also been making really bad mistakes all series that cost them. You can’t have miscues like that and expect to beat the Lightning, let alone win a Stanley Cup. Carey Price has looked leaky and Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a wall. Take the Lightning to get the sweep.
PHILADELPHIA @ CHI. CUBS | 07/05 | 8:05 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS -140
ANALYSIS: Will tonight be the night the Cubs snap their nine game losing streak? Zach Davies didn’t allow a run in three of his six starts in June and although the Cubs bullpen has been bad, the Phillies bullpen has been much worse. Matt Moore is making just his fifth start of the season meaning the Phillies bullpen will most likely be in for half the game. The Cubs return home where they are 26-13 on the season while the Phillies are 15-26 on the road.
MILWAUKEE @ N.Y. METS | 07/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -125
ANALYSIS: Brandon Woodruff is 7-3 with a 1.87 ERA this season and he has a 1.55 ERA on the road. The Brewers had won 11 straight games before their dud yesterday in Pittsburgh but look for them to get back on track with their ace on the mound. Tylor Megill is making just his third career start and first against a team other than the Braves. He has allowed five earned runs in 9.1 IP. The Brewers ran into a buzzsaw in lefty Tyler Anderson yesterday, expect different results tonight with their ace on the mound.
L.A. DODGERS @ MIAMI | 07/05 | 6:40 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -135
ANALYSIS: We’ve got a great pitching matchup in Walker Buehler vs. Trevor Rogers in Miami tonight. Which is why the Dodgers, on a nine game win streak and starting their ace, have a very good price. Trevor Rogers has struggled slightly with his command recently allowing six walks in his past two starts which is just enough for the Dodgers to hurt you. Walker Buehler has pitched nine straight quality starts and he has thrown a quality start in all but two starts all season. The Marlins bullpen blew a 7-4 lead in the ninth inning yesterday and they should still have that on their minds. Take the Dodgers.
TAMPA BAY @ MONTREAL | 07/05 | 8:00 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -160
ANALYSIS: The Lightning are going for the sweep in Montreal on Monday and I honestly don’t see any reason why they wouldn’t get it. Tampa Bay has been the better team all series but Montreal has also been making really bad mistakes all series that cost them. You can’t have miscues like that and expect to beat the Lightning, let alone win a Stanley Cup. Carey Price has looked leaky and Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a wall. Take the Lightning to get the sweep.
