Monday NFL ........................ 1 biggie

[LuckysBoy 2,880]

Before the game was played, to logically think the Browns are as good as the 49ers after 1 game is a bit of a stretch. Yet 49ers favored 2' in Pitt. Clevland favored by 2' in Pitt. So the Browns who won 2 games in a row once last year are as good as the 49ers.? Really? Of course they aren t. Very difficult to back a Browns team who accept for the turnovers did look like the better team last night.Especially before Chubb got hurt. But Pitt and Tomlin have owned this Browns team in Pitt. It was really a game either back the Steelers or pass on it.Line probably should of been pick or Pitt a small favorite.Agree with Xeno, that line was off, unless the Browns are as good as the 49ers. There Not, with Stefanski they will go 8-9 or a good year 9-8.

 

[LuckysBoy 2,880]

If you look at QBs and bad ball rate it can be a bit of a tell on which QBs should throw more picks.Mahomes last year had the best % on bad ball rate.Bad Ball is considered a ball picked off or a ball deflected by the defender.NFL avg. is around 12%. Think Mahomes ly was around 7.5%.After 2 games this year if you look at a QB who has a 15% bad ball rate and maybe 0 or 1 picks theres probably a good chance picks are coming with this QB.Theres certainly No exact way to predict turnovers because some parts of it are pretty random.But its probably not random that the Cowboys the last 2 years have forced more TOs than any team.Having a disrupting force like Parsons makes a difference.Watt is that guy too.Defensive front pressure rate is big on forcing TOs.Harder to get TOs when your D front does not get much pressure.QB pressure is important handicapping games and forcing TOs. imho

 

[BoutMyMoney 2,780]

How can anyone handicap turnovers -very difficult indeed imho

You can't. Lol

Let them chirp.

 

[BoutMyMoney 2,780]

Agreed. That's why you must handicap turnovers.

Can you handicap some turnovers for me this weekend ? Need some winners @BigLouReturns

Doesn't have to be much!

Just give me 1 team that will have 2 turnovers for 14 points please.

 

[Biz 1,470]

Its so RX for people to give a perfect analysis of a game that has already been played.

Where was all of this genius analysis BEFORE THE GAME????

 

[exploited17 2,980]

Its so RX for people to give a perfect analysis of a game that has already been played.

Where was all of this genius analysis BEFORE THE GAME????

Most posters aren't exactly endorsing disagreement and discussions in their threads that go against their play. Too many people don't like that or call it trolling. Not saying it applies to BMM but yeah

 

[BoutMyMoney 2,780]

Most posters aren't exactly endorsing disagreement and discussions in their threads that go against their play. Too many people don't like that or call it trolling. Not saying it applies to BMM but yeah

I had a play, it lost. I move on.

Rattled because it was a bigger play.

It is what it is.

At some point this season, I will win off 2 turnovers for 14 points. It all equals out.

Cherry on top is that I lost THREE first half unders on buzzer beater field goals this Sunday. All 3. At the buzzer.

We get it back

 

[TheGiems2k 1,690]

Its so RX for people to give a perfect analysis of a game that has already been played.

Where was all of this genius analysis BEFORE THE GAME????

There you go

 

[Biz 1,470]

Most posters aren't exactly endorsing disagreement and discussions in their threads that go against their play. Too many people don't like that or call it trolling. Not saying it applies to BMM but yeah

So then what's the point of waiting until after the game is over, if you're gonna post it??

 

[exploited17 2,980]

So then what's the point of waiting until after the game is over, if you're gonna post it??

Well, seems it all started with the idea that Browns ML "should have won"
I guess once the game is over it isn't a criticism or disagreement of a posters pick as it is a discussion of whether it should have won or not. Before thegame some believe it is bad sports gambling etiquette.

 

[BigLouReturns 2,890]

Its so RX for people to give a perfect analysis of a game that has already been played.

Where was all of this genius analysis BEFORE THE GAME????

Check post #21 in my current thread.

 

[BigLouReturns 2,890]

Bout -

Sorry if my post caused this thread to get a little out of hand. My post of "Why" was for that particular response, not because of your selection whatsoever. I do not question your capping abilities at all. In fact, I tailed a few of your baseball picks over the Summer.

 

[XENO 2,560]

Its so RX for people to give a perfect analysis of a game that has already been played.

Where was all of this genius analysis BEFORE THE GAME????

Thats it