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Monday 9/4/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 98
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 DEADLY BLACK EAGLE 3/1
# 8 STEVIE MAC 2/1
# 7 HARD KNOCKS ROCK 10/1
DEADLY BLACK EAGLE looks strong to best this field. Has to be given consideration - I like the figures from the last competition. Looks to have a very good class edge based on the most recent company kept. With a solid 90 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's outing. STEVIE MAC - She has to be given a chance given the quite good speed figures. Recent figures for the jockey - 25 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group. HARD KNOCKS ROCK - Conditioner has solid win rate (15 percent) at this distance and surface.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 98
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 DEADLY BLACK EAGLE 3/1
# 8 STEVIE MAC 2/1
# 7 HARD KNOCKS ROCK 10/1
DEADLY BLACK EAGLE looks strong to best this field. Has to be given consideration - I like the figures from the last competition. Looks to have a very good class edge based on the most recent company kept. With a solid 90 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's outing. STEVIE MAC - She has to be given a chance given the quite good speed figures. Recent figures for the jockey - 25 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group. HARD KNOCKS ROCK - Conditioner has solid win rate (15 percent) at this distance and surface.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 6
Quinella / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 6-7
Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 37 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:00P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 4, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 21 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 4 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * OLA ESMERALDA: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TORALEY'S TRICK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Ratin g. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
OLA ESMERALDA
2/1
8/5
4
TORALEY'S TRICK
4/1
5/1
Camarero - Race 6
Quinella / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 6-7
Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 37 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:00P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 4, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 21 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 4 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * OLA ESMERALDA: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TORALEY'S TRICK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Ratin g. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
OLA ESMERALDA
2/1
8/5
4
TORALEY'S TRICK
4/1
5/1
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Delaware Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:45pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 89
Rating: 4
#7 ASSET ALLOCATION (ML=6/1)
#10 JUSTCALLME K L (ML=5/1)
#3 MASTER ZEUS (ML=10/1)
ASSET ALLOCATION - Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a strong effort on August 21st. Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this horse has the highest speed fig for the dist/surf. After the race aboard this animal on August 21st, the rider is going to be acquainted with the gelding much better. This gelding has plenty of ability on the turf. Could be long gone by the time they hit the stretch. Came home in fast time in the last race. A positive sign. A repeat of that last performance on August 21st where he garnered a speed fig of 92 looks lofty enough to win in this clash. JUSTCALLME K L - Coming off a fifth place finish at Laurel, some may pass this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has decent morning line odds today. MASTER ZEUS - Like the way this gelding's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. Lets try to beat the probable favorites with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty good race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #15 GILES FAIR (ML=4/1), #6 MOTT (ML=9/2),
GILES FAIR - Tough to bet on any horse to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the stab. Don't think this vulnerable equine will do much running in today's race. That last speed figure was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class rating. MOTT - Didn't hit the board on June 29th at Delaware Park. Followed it up with another less than stellar try. This runner ran a common speed rating in the last race. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's race running that number.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 ASSET ALLOCATION is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [3,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,7,10] with [3,7,10] with [3,7,9,10,12] with [3,7,9,10,12] Total Cost: $36
Bar
Delaware Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:45pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 89
Rating: 4
#7 ASSET ALLOCATION (ML=6/1)
#10 JUSTCALLME K L (ML=5/1)
#3 MASTER ZEUS (ML=10/1)
ASSET ALLOCATION - Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a strong effort on August 21st. Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this horse has the highest speed fig for the dist/surf. After the race aboard this animal on August 21st, the rider is going to be acquainted with the gelding much better. This gelding has plenty of ability on the turf. Could be long gone by the time they hit the stretch. Came home in fast time in the last race. A positive sign. A repeat of that last performance on August 21st where he garnered a speed fig of 92 looks lofty enough to win in this clash. JUSTCALLME K L - Coming off a fifth place finish at Laurel, some may pass this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has decent morning line odds today. MASTER ZEUS - Like the way this gelding's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. Lets try to beat the probable favorites with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty good race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #15 GILES FAIR (ML=4/1), #6 MOTT (ML=9/2),
GILES FAIR - Tough to bet on any horse to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the stab. Don't think this vulnerable equine will do much running in today's race. That last speed figure was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class rating. MOTT - Didn't hit the board on June 29th at Delaware Park. Followed it up with another less than stellar try. This runner ran a common speed rating in the last race. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's race running that number.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 ASSET ALLOCATION is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [3,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,7,10] with [3,7,10] with [3,7,9,10,12] with [3,7,9,10,12] Total Cost: $36
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar
Del Mar - Race 1
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 Cent Trifecta $2 Rolling Double / $1 Place Pick All / $1 Rolling Pick Three $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / 50 cent Pick 5
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 89 • Purse: $60,000 • Post: 2:00P
FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Trailer. GENERAL INTEREST is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GENERAL INTEREST: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. POCKET JAX: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return o n investment with first time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts). POWERFUL THIRST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHACKALOV: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. CAMPAIGNER: Horse has r un a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6
GENERAL INTEREST
5/2
9/2
10
POCKET JAX
8/1
6/1
11
POWERFUL THIRST
3/1
7/1
3
SHACKALOV
9/2
10/1
1
CAMPAIGNER
4/1
10/1
Del Mar - Race 1
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 Cent Trifecta $2 Rolling Double / $1 Place Pick All / $1 Rolling Pick Three $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / 50 cent Pick 5
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 89 • Purse: $60,000 • Post: 2:00P
FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Trailer. GENERAL INTEREST is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GENERAL INTEREST: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. POCKET JAX: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return o n investment with first time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts). POWERFUL THIRST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHACKALOV: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. CAMPAIGNER: Horse has r un a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6
GENERAL INTEREST
5/2
9/2
10
POCKET JAX
8/1
6/1
11
POWERFUL THIRST
3/1
7/1
3
SHACKALOV
9/2
10/1
1
CAMPAIGNER
4/1
10/1
The Walker Group at Ferndale
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6800 Class Rating: 72
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 BRITE CRISTIAN 4/1
# 3 PLUM LUCKY 3/1
# 2 IN ABSOLUTE AWE 2/1
I think BRITE CRISTIAN is a very good choice. Has very good speed figures and has to be considered for a bet here. There is a formidable possibility of an increase in speed as this gelding changes blinkers (off) for the first time. The quick return to the track points to a strong effort this time out. PLUM LUCKY - Will more than likely be one of the early speedsters of the group going into the midpoint of the contest. This gelding ought to be considered just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone. IN ABSOLUTE AWE - Could beat this group of animals given the 81 speed figure put up in his last outing. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of decent win percentage - 17 percent - at this distance & surface.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6800 Class Rating: 72
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 BRITE CRISTIAN 4/1
# 3 PLUM LUCKY 3/1
# 2 IN ABSOLUTE AWE 2/1
I think BRITE CRISTIAN is a very good choice. Has very good speed figures and has to be considered for a bet here. There is a formidable possibility of an increase in speed as this gelding changes blinkers (off) for the first time. The quick return to the track points to a strong effort this time out. PLUM LUCKY - Will more than likely be one of the early speedsters of the group going into the midpoint of the contest. This gelding ought to be considered just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone. IN ABSOLUTE AWE - Could beat this group of animals given the 81 speed figure put up in his last outing. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of decent win percentage - 17 percent - at this distance & surface.
