Monday 9/29/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $37000 Class Rating: 105

FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO PA-RESTRICTED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 29 ALLOWED 3 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 8 GRAYBIGNBADLIKEDAD 7/2


# 4 A FLEET ATTITUDE 9/2


# 7 VAN PERSIE 12/1


GRAYBIGNBADLIKEDAD has a very strong shot to take this race. Could provide positive gains based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 98. Win percentage one of the most favorable in this field. Had one of the strongest speed figures of this group of horses in this race in his last affair. A FLEET ATTITUDE - Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last contest. Looks respectable for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figs in dirt route races as of late. VAN PERSIE - Last time out, this gelding was up against a stronger field.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer - Race #8 - Post: 9:34pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,800 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 DIXIE BAND MAN (ML=8/1)
#10 MISTER PADDY (ML=10/1)
#4 SENOR SNICKERS (ML=9/2)
#8 ANY GIVEN JERRY (ML=8/1)
#9 WACKY INDIAN (ML=6/1)


DIXIE BAND MAN - Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. MISTER PADDY - Gelding won on July 20th at this class and distance. Look for this one to go straight to the winner's circle at some pretty good odds in today's race. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the end. SENOR SNICKERS - Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter trip should help. Last time around the track was at Mountaineer in a race with a class figure of 86. Dropping considerably in class rating this time puts him in a solid position right here in this race. ANY GIVEN JERRY - This front-runner is running a shorter distance today. Should help his winning probability. Getting a break of 10 pounds from last race at Mountaineer. He should make the most of this advantage. WACKY INDIAN - Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a solid effort on Sep 9th. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last two races. I look for that to continue its positive trend right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 NORTHERN JET (ML=3/1), #6 CHEROKEE NINER (ML=7/2),

NORTHERN JET - Hasn't been on the Mountaineer oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. After a determined stretch drive last time around the track and a difficult drive on August 19th, this one should feel the effects of those efforts at the top of the lane. CHEROKEE NINER - Unlikely that this questionable contender can take the punishment of another rigorous stretch run after the last two efforts. When checking today's class rating, he will have to garner a much better rating than last out to be competitive in this dirt sprint.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #2 DIXIE BAND MAN to win if you can get odds of 4/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4,10] with [2,4,8,9,10] with [2,4,8,9,10] Total Cost: $36

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,10] with [2,4,10] with [2,4,8,9,10] with [2,4,8,9,10] Total Cost: $24

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Monday 9/29 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,2,9 / 7,8 / 1,2,3,9 / 1 = $24


Best Bet: DOUBLETROUBLE (11th)

Spot Play: MODERN GESTURE (8th)


Race 1

In a really weak trotting field (1) NORMA'S ROSE will likely be in line for a great trip on the lead or in the pocket. (5) VIEWLANDER just needs a smooth trip with a low percentage pilot to hit the ticket. (2) FULL FORCE gelding owns a good burst of speed when he stays trotting.

Race 2

(3) DUTCHTREAT HANOVER bumps up in class for an inconsistent trainer, however the pacer is capable of going a big effort from time to time. (5) HERSMAN makes his first start for new connections and was the top driver's choice. (2) BASILIO BLUE CHIP will look to take no prisoners but has a tendency to tire late.

Race 3

(2) MASTER PINE went a big effort last out from a very tough post just missing and now picks up a huge driver change. The veteran trotter will be tough to beat with a similar effort. (1) SMOOTH POWER gets the best post in an evenly matched race. (5) CHANGE THE FUTURE gelding will be firing early and needs to ration out his speed for his best chance.

Race 4

(7) SKULL OF ROSES gets a good driver change and owns good closing ability with the right setup. (3) NAVAHOE raced well last out from a tough post; fires early. (1) WELCOME WAGON well bred pacer comes into the race with some question marks but is fast enough to get the job done.

Race 5

(8) SUPER LUSTRE is having a solid year and just needs the top driver to work out a trip from the toughest post. (7) TROTSLIKETHEWIND owns a class edge on the field but also needs to find a way into the race. (9) JESSE'S MESSENGER should be closer turning for home; use underneath.

Race 6

(9) WESTERN FELLA just missed last out trying to go coast to coast. The pacer should will offer a better price in a tough race to handicap. (5) CHANG DYNASTY has been competitive against much better on the year. (2) JEREME ROCKS should be in line for a good trip up close.

Race 7

(6) LIVELIKEURDYING has been going some big efforts for streaky connections; threat. (1) MOST REMARKABLE bumps up in class but benefits from the best post. (2) WOW POWER has been knocking on the door but needs some racing luck.

Race 8

(9) MODERN GESTURE probably needed his last start and will look for a smooth trip at a price. (2) JUST CROWNED has beaten much better on the year but will offer low value and doesn't have to win. (1) GRANDE SEELSTER finds a much softer bunch for a hot trainer.

Race 9

(8) MYTHICAL HALL will look to blast to the front and will be tough to beat if he makes an easy lead. (7) KIRTY DREAM went a big rally last out closing from far back. The trotting gelding needs to move forward off the gate for his best chance. (6) MARY'S DARVIN could get an ideal setup for his best racing style; fires late.

Race 10

(9) TOP OF THE MARK well bred stallion finds a softer bunch to do some damage. (3) TRUE TO MACH bumps back up to the open off a nice victory; threat. (1) OUR MCLOVIN took a new life mark last out but the top driver opted elsewhere.

Race 11

(1) DOUBLE TROUBLE gelding owns tons of back class, gets the best post, and faces a much easier field. If the pacer gets over the track he probably wins. (6) ALLAMERICAN PEWTER comes into the race sharp without a lot to show for it. (9) LOST JEWELS could be in line for a good trip behind the top choice.

Race 12

(5) EDOM UP BLUE BOY gets sent out for a pilot who rarely wins but the well bred trotter is in career form despite having no shot last out. (6) VICTORY CANDY MAN needs to avoid a speed duel but could have a shot late. (7) SOULFUL DELIGHT raced gamely last out but could be in line for a tough trip.

Race 13

(8) MYBROTHERGEORGE gets a suspicious morning line and can bounce back with a good effort. (9) GLASS PACK could have more to offer than what the pacer has recently shown; threat. (7) COACH KEN closed from an impossible spot last out and will need another good effort to hit the board.

Race 14

(3) DANCE WITH DAN eight-year-old pacer was roughed up last out but can win with a trouble free trip. (9) BAY SHARK takes a good drop in class and should offer a fair price in a wide open race. (4) BOILER BREES also faces easier but needs a good drive from a suspect driver.

Race 15

(3) CAMART HANOVER has been facing much tougher on the year; big chance. (4) JUDE HALL owns one good move when timed right. (6) FOX RIVER MARK has just been racing evenly but has a shot with a live outer flow; fires late.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Monday 9/29 Analysis
By Greg Gangle

DRF HARNESS


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: REVEREND HANOVER (9th)

Spot Play: SIR LBS Z TAM (4th)


Race 1

(2) SPORTS CHIC has been a dominant performer in this division all season and is the filly to beat. (7) LITTLE MISS SPORTY closed very strongly last week to finish second in a Gold event. It was just her second career start and she continues to improve. (6) SOLAR SISTER shows the speed, comes from the McNair barn and has over $100K banked this season.

Race 2

(5) DANCIN CAROLL was a winner last start in this class closing from ninth. She comes from the Alagna barn and will get a lot of attention in here. (4) I WONDER WHY comes from the McIntosh barn, draws inside and has a good record this season. (6) CAPELA will make her second start for new trainer O'Sullivan and shows flashes of quick speed. She may offer a nice price and has hit the board in four of her last five.

Race 3

(5) MAXIMUSCLE made a miscue last week and disappointed at a low price. If he can mind his manners off the gate, he's a top threat. (7) RAMZAN has been very consistent all season for trainer Moreau and is a must-have for the exactor. (4) LONG ISLAND TEA had to settle for second last week in her second start for trainer Jones. She's a quality mare, draws well and is a good option in this tougher class.

Race 4

(3) SIR LBS Z TAM draws inside, comes from the Barrieau barn and is due for a big effort. She drops in class and shows excellent gate-speed. (8) MISS COCO LUCK received an aggressive steer last week from Jamieson and it paid off with a second-place finish. (10) MACHNBYRD PRINCESS will need to overcome post 10, but shows the speed and will offer a price. She hasn't been herself this season, but enters the bottom class.

Race 5

(8) E L TITAN was second in the Canadian Trotting Classic and will now face off against older rivals. He shows quick speed in his last two and is hard to overlook in here. (5) CATCH THE DREAM drops out of the Preferred and will offer a low price with his back class. (10) FORK draws outside for the fourth straight week, but shows gate-speed and comes from the Baillargeon barn. He should offer a nice price and may be aggressively handled.

Race 6

(4) GO DADDY GO has well over $200K this season in earnings, comes from the McIntosh barn and has been a top performer in the Gold series this season. (5) DRACHAN HANOVER has hit the board in five of six starts this season, has excellent gate-speed and just missed last week. (2) MOONWRITER continues to improve in each outing. He draws inside, comes from the Johnson barn and paced his fastest mile of his career last week.

Race 7

(7) CAVIART CARI ANN went a credible mile last week at Flamboro and is capable of dropping multiple seconds in here. She shows 1:54 speed and comes from the Jones barn. (4) NIPPY W HANOVER closed from tenth-to-fifth last start, draws inside and may offer a fair price. (3) YOU CANBEANANGEL hasn't missed the board in two career starts and comes from the Steacy camp. She's a logical option for the triactor.

Race 8

(6) WHEELING N DEALIN drops in class once again this week and begins from a better post. (7) NOBLE FLIGHT also drops in class, shows the speed and has a patented late kick. He comes from good connections and has a good record this season. (4) TIME TO QUIT draws inside and has hit the board in each of his last three starts, including twice in this class.

Race 9

(7) REVEREND HANOVER is a perfect two-for-two to begin his career and was a recent winner in 1:51 1/5. (4) SPORTING THE LOOK comes from the Jamieson barn, is fresh off a Gold win and has four wins from nine starts this season. (5) MANNY IN SPORTS put forth his best effort of his career last week with a second place finish, timed in 1:51 2/5.

Race 10

(3) BEST RISQUE draws well and has a solid record this season. She's been very consistent all season and will offer a short price. (8) ALL CHOCOLATE was a winner last week in this class from a post 10 start and gets Saftic back in the bike. (7) JET HOT STUFF enters this bottom-end claimer and likely will offer a nice price. She's worth a look if the price is right.

Race 11

(1) SHIPPS XPECTANCY has been blessed with the rail along with terrific gate-speed. He was a winner two back in this class and is capable again. (4) EAST MEADOW continues to offer a nice price and has hit the board in four of his last five starts, including his last two in this class. (6) POUVOIR DUHARAS is a price horse for driver Condren. He draws in the middle of the gate and was timed in 1:52 4/5 in his latest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Monday 9/29 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS


MEET STATS: 290 - 840 / $1470.30 BEST BETS: 50 - 69 / $159.80

Best Bet: CHET N SPANKY (5th)

Spot Play: LUCKY MCTRUCKY (9th)


Race 1

(2) ADELITA HANOVER didn't really fire off cover in her initial trip here but she may have needed the start; post relief tonight. (1) MOREMUNKYBUSINESS is clearly the one to beat off that last effort. (8) SOUTHWIND LEA is tough to figure from this spot. Two-year-old comes from the Sylvester barn and may attract some attention.

Race 2

(1) OUR CULLENSCROWN N draws best and gets the aggressive Brennan in the bike; should be in line for a perfect trip. (7) SOURCE OF PRIDE drops in class and will be firing from the gate. (2) WINTER BLUES has some back class and can land a share from this spot.

Race 3

(3) MY LAST CHANCE raced pretty well in his debut for Banca and he looks as good as any in here. (1) GRANTOR HANOVER debuts for DiDomenico and was Dube's choice. (2) DANISHDUJOUR finished well upon arrival but it was too late.

Race 4

(5) COLUMBIA LION was racing well when last seen here for Garcia-Herrera. (2) TROTTING TROY is tough to figure as he plunges in class off a poor effort; any bounce-back effort here and he jogs. (4) ER UNDERCOVER showed good speed locally three back.

Race 5

(3) CHET N SPANKY went a huge trip in defeat upon arrival from Ohio and he deserves top billing off that effort. (5) STARBUX EDEN was used up early in and same race as the top choice; maybe she tries off-the-pace tactics tonight. (2) NEW SCENT sat the rail and didn't fire last week; prior effort was good.

Race 6

(4) ONE THROUGH TEN drops in class and I would expect aggressive handling from this spot. (1) PONTIAC LUCK has loads of back class and he debuts for Surick upon shipping back east. (2) KEHMMYWOOD exits claimers and does draw better.

Race 7

(1) OK COMMANDER debuts for the Harris barn off some speedy efforts at Pocono and he draws best here with Bartlett driving. (3) MYSTERIOUS MOMENT picks up Goodell in the bike tonight and he can be considered off that angle. (4) ONLY THE LONELY is another Surick shipper and he's in fine form.

Race 8

(2) GRAND MASTER hasn't really been used in his last handful of efforts; maybe the post relief can help this former $4,000 claimer. (6) MYSTICIAN bumps up in class looking for three straight since arriving; veteran is overloaded with class. (3) GALLANT SEELSTER raced well last week though outfinished for second.

Race 9

(7) LUCKY MCTRUCKY was a winner two back at this level, this distance and a similar outside post. (1) COLONIAL ROAD faces a bit tougher but he should be close up throughout. (8) GRAB YOUR KEYS fits nicely with these but he needs some early involvement.

Race 10

(1) ALWAYS A ROMANCE ships back from upstate and draws best for the capable Austin Siegelman. (5) WINE N MCROSES has been in fairly decent form for live connections. (4) ANTY ENTITY has shown solid speed in all recent and Brennan's back aboard tonight.

Race 11

(6) QUIKWIT has been second best in his three local appearances and last week he was closer early, which is a good sign. (2) MISTER ANSON wasn't all that bad upon arrival. (3) THISGIRLISONFIRE ships from Canada and the filly debuts for owner/trainer/driver Jeff Gregory; interesting.

Race 12

(2) IDEAL A LITTLE went on a big speed mission in his Burke debut last week and was leg-weary late; she can be tighter tonight. (6) BEACH BODY has stakes experience but she's missed some time. (5) BREATHTAKING has been a steady commodity of late.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Monday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Finger Lakes (4th) Port Conway, 3-1
(5th) Remorse, 8-1


Mountaineer (1st) Denali Holy Bull, 5-1
(4th) Amanda in Front, 9-2


Parx Racing (1st) Ms. Judy, 6-1
(2nd) Do It for Fun, 5-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Betting Recap - Week 4

Overall Notes

NFL Week 4 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 7-5
Against the Spread 7-5
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 7-5
Against the Spread 7-5
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 9-3



NFL Overall Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 37-23
Against the Spread 29-30-1
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 35-25
Against the Spread 26-33-1
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 31-29



Biggest Favorite to Cash

San Diego (-12) defeated Jacksonville, 33-14 as the Jaguars fell to 0-4 SU/ATS on season.

Biggest Underdog to Cash

Tampa Bay (+7.5) rallied past Pittsburgh, 27-24 for its first victory and cover with a touchdown in the final seconds. The Bucs cashed on the moneyline at +300.

Line Moves

The Packers opened as one-point road underdogs early in the week, but closed as 1.5-point favorites at Chicago. That money went the right way as Green Bay dominated at Soldier Field, 38-17 for its first road win of the season. On Sunday morning, the Jets moved from 1.5-point home underdogs to 1.5-point favorites with rumors of Detroit wide receiver Calvin Johnson sitting. The All-Pro played and the Lions picked up a 24-17 road victory to send the Jets to their third straight loss, all against NFC North foes.

All About the Chalk

After Washington was blown out on Thursday by the Giants, the favorites took care of business on Sunday by compiling a 7-3 SU/ATS record. The underdogs that cashed included the Lions, Buccaneers, and Vikings, as Minnesota dropped 41 points on Atlanta in a 13-point victory as 5.5-point 'dogs. Indianapolis and San Diego were "suicide pool" favorites, as each team won easily at home.


One Unbeaten Down

Arizona, Cincinnati, and Seattle all were off, as the lone undefeated team that played on Sunday was Philadelphia. The Eagles blew a 21-10 lead in a 26-21 defeat at San Francisco as 3.5-point underdogs, as all three touchdowns scored by Philadelphia were non-offensive scores (blocked punt return, interception return, punt return). The irony behind this loss by the Eagles was Philadelphia domination in the second half this season and San Francisco's lack of execution in the final 30 minutes of a game. The Niners entered Sunday by scoring just three points in the second half of the first three games, but outscored the Eagles, 13-0 in the last 30 minutes to improve to 2-2.

Winless (0-4)

Tampa Bay can finally be erased from this category after upsetting Pittsburgh, but Oakland and Jacksonville remain winless. The Raiders (+4) traveled to London and were embarrassed by the Dolphins, 38-14, while allowing 435 yards to Miami. The Jaguars (+12) grabbed a 14-10 lead over the Chargers behind rookie quarterback Blake Bortles, but San Diego outscored Jacksonville, 23-0 in the final 31 minutes to cash.

Totals

The 'over' hit in five of the seven early games, while the 'over' went 2-1 in the late kickoffs.

Following a scoreless first quarter, the Ravens and Panthers combined for four touchdowns in the second quarter to go 'over' the first half total of 21. Baltimore blew out Carolina, 38-10 to hit the 'over' of 42.5.

The highest-scoring game of the day took place in Minnesota with the Vikings knocking off the Falcons, 41-28 on a 48 total. The first half total of 24 easily hit as Minnesota led Atlanta at halftime, 24-14.

Buffalo and Houston have each played low-scoring games through the first three weeks as the two teams finished 'under' the total of 44. Houston's key touchdown on Sunday came on an interception return by J.J. Watt, which swung the momentum in a 23-17 victory.

Following Thursday's N.Y. Giants-Washington game, and Sunday night's New Orleans-Dallas game, the 'over' has cashed in four straight Sunday Night Football games, and is 10-2 in 12 prime time games this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports

Monday's free selection: pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals4U

Monday's Free Selection: pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Golden Dragon Sports

Bonus Play: Oakland Lester Tuesday

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Huddle Up Sports


Free Winner: Tuesday Baseball Kansas City Shields over Oakland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports

Soccer

Lazio vs. Palermo

Bonus Play 1 unit on Palermo/Lazio draw +227 (Italy Series A)

Take Palermo and Lazio to draw on Monday afternoon. Palermo has tied 3 of their last 4 matches. Hopefully, we see a 1-1 type of score. Plenty of value on the draw at +227.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'NFL Bye Week Betting'

One sports handicapping parameter used when making football picks is to analyze the 'Bye Week'. Is it an advantage to have a 'Bye Week', or do teams get rusty, out of sync and lay an egg in that first week back??? - Looking back ten seasons shows teams with rest posted a 172-142-6 (53.7%) record against-the-betting line split between 84-73-3 (52.5%) at home, 88-69-3 (55.0%) wearing road jersey's. Return overall isn't much but on the plus side none-the-less. However, within those numbers a good spot is backing rested road favorite as they're 44-18-1 (69.8%) against the betting line. Rested road favorites taking on a team off a win the previous game are a sparkling 15-5 (75.0%) ATS over the 10 year span, rested road favorites taking on a team off a loss the previous effort are 29-13-1 (67.4%) ATS. Teams playing with rest WK5 - Cardinals, Broncos, Bengals, Rams, Seahawks and Browns.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Monday 8:30 PM NFL

(273) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS at (274) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Take: (274) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +3

I’m not sure what to make of the Patriots right now. Belichick and Brady are still there, and the Pats are 2-1 out of the gate. But there are some items of concern here, and it’s at least conceivable that there’s a bit of decline taking place on this roster. There’s just no getting around how inefficient the New England offense has been thus far. If this continues, the Pats are going to lose some games, and it’s certainly a possibility tonight.

Kansas City was about as phony as it gets for much of last season, and the consensus that they’d take a step or two backward this season looks like it’s going to be on target. The Chiefs look destined for a third place finish in the AFC West. I don’t think this is a terrible team, but they’re clearly not as good as the Broncos or Chargers, and if they go 1-3 against those two in divisional play, I’d consider it a victory of sorts.

Despite the poor offense, the Patriots are the better team here. But they’re up against what should be a fired up home crowd in what can be a very difficult venue for visitors. And there’s a significant trend in play here.

The angle in question teams that are dogs in Game Four after getting their first win of the season the prior outing. I think there’s a reasonable rationale here that takes this out of the complete fluke category. Getting that initial win after starting 0-2 is a major confidence boost for any team, and grabbing points with a team that’s at least gaining some momentum is not a terrible thing. In any event, backing underdogs in this scenario has been remarkably productive for several years, and it’s tough to argue with the success rate.

This is not a powerful opinion on my part. Belichick vs. Reid is still lopsided from my perspective and it’s really weird to see Tom Brady sitting at #28 in the NFL QB ratings. Maybe it’s a great spot to fade a team that’s no longer what it was, and there is that big winning trend to factor into the equation. But I’m not brimming with confidence on this call. Chiefs +3 is the choice, but this is definitely not top play material for me.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Week 4 SuperContest NFL Picks By Most Contestants
(5-1* Last Week, 10-6* ATS YTD)

Kansas City +3.5 By 485


Week 4 SuperContest NFL Picks By Widest Margin
(5-0 Last Week, 9-6 ATS YTD)

Kansas City +3.5 By 340

 

[williamsbud]

is it me or were all the services top picks this weekend absolute garbage

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

New England (273) AT Kansas City (274)
Latest Line: Chiefs +3; Total: 47.5

The Patriots have won with defense the past couple of weeks, keeping opponents out of the end zone since less than five minutes into the first quarter of their game against the Vikings two weeks ago. Kansas City was led in its 34-15 win in Miami by RB Knile Davis, who carried 32 times for 132 yards and a touchdown in place of injured RB Jamaal Charles (ankle). The Chiefs return home for the first time since they were embarrassed by the Titans, 26-10, in the season opener. Charles and Kansas City safety Eric Berry (ankle) both enter the week as questionable for this one.

StatFox Six Pack:
KANSAS CITY is 6-17 ATS at home against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 27-13 UNDER at home in the first month of the season since 1992.
Andy Reid is 58-39 ATS as an underdog.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 OVER after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the L2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS away after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-10 ATS away after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Fat jack

New England

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Exodus to Black

NFL

KC+3.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PRO PLAYS WINS

Patriots/Chiefs Over 47