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Mike Lundin

Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Cleveland Indians -132

The Cleveland Indians are off back-to-back losses to the Twins but have won five of their last eight. I like them in the opener of a three-game set against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park tonight as they should have a clear advantage on the mound. Danny Salazar will take the ball for the Tribe coming off six straight quality starts. He's allowed just two earned runs on eight hits through 21 1/3 frams in his last three turns and has a respectable 3.35 ERA in 12 road starts this season. The Red Sox will turn to 25 year old Matt Barnes who'll make his first start ever in the big leagues. He's compiled a 5.64 ERA in 22 1/3 innings as a reliever on the season, allowing 12 runs, 10 earned, with four homers through 6 2/3 innings home at Fenway.

Notes
Cleveland is 6-1 in Salazar's last seven starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
Boston is 2-6 in its last eight games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Cleveland has won five of the last seven meetings.
 
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Jimmy Boyd

Seattle Mariners +119

Seattle is showing great value here as a road dog against the Rangers, as they send out the red-hot Taijuan Walker, who owns a 2.42 ERA and 0.717 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Walker has been up and down all season, but when he's on he's been really good. Adding to the value here is the fact that Walker didn't allow an earned run in 7 innings of work at Texas in his only start against the Rangers this season.

Texas will counter with newly acquired Cole Hamels, who is coming off back-to-back poor starts, in which he's allowed 9 runs on 16 hits (5 HRs) in 13 2/3 innings of work. Hamels also has a 4.67 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Mariners.

Rangers are just 20-40 over their last 60 division home games, while the Mariners are 32-19 in their last 51 after losing 2 of their last 3, 4-0 in Walker's last 4 starts as a road underdog and 8-1 in his last 9 following a quality start last time out.
 
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GOODFELLA

Monday Night MLB Team Total

NY YANKEES – OVER 4.5 RUNS

Twins SP Gibson has been roughed up when he takes the ball vs the Yankees. Several of the current Yankees have had success vs him & I also like the fact that Gibson has really been regressing over the last 5 weeks. An ERA over 7.00 during this span & I fully expect these Yankees to get to him eventually. Then we get the Twins bullpen, which is not a strong one. Of course we also are getting these NYY vs a RH starter (very short porch in right field with a slew of left-handed sticks in the line-up). Also the time of year when the baseball carries the best in NY and we have a nice weather pattern for this evening. The bottom line for me is that I fully expect these Yankees to plate at least 5 runs before all the dust settles in this game & I am on the OVER 4.5 RUNS tonight.
 

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