Monday 7/18/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Cleveland at Kansas City
W/L Trends



Cleveland
•Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
• Indians are 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games.
• Indians are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Indians are 17-5 in their last 22 games on grass.
• Indians are 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
• Indians are 24-8 in their last 32 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Indians are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a win.
• Indians are 14-5 in their last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Indians are 19-7 in their last 26 overall.
• Indians are 24-9 in their last 33 vs. American League Central.
• Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Indians are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Indians are 4-0 in Klubers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Indians are 4-0 in Klubers last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Indians are 6-1 in Klubers last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Indians are 5-1 in Klubers last 6 starts on grass.
• Indians are 5-2 in Klubers last 7 starts.
• Indians are 4-10 in Klubers last 14 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Indians are 4-13 in Klubers last 17 starts during game 1 of a series.
• Indians are 0-8 in Klubers last 8 Monday starts.




Kansas City
•Royals are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. American League Central.
• Royals are 37-14 in their last 51 home games.
• Royals are 39-15 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Royals are 43-18 in their last 61 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Royals are 38-18 in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Royals are 4-10 in their last 14 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Royals are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.
• Royals are 3-9 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.
• Royals are 3-10 in their last 13 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Royals are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Royals are 4-1 in Volquezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Royals are 4-1 in Volquezs last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
• Royals are 4-1 in Volquezs last 5 starts on grass.
• Royals are 20-6 in Volquezs last 26 home starts.
• Royals are 18-8 in Volquezs last 26 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Royals are 2-5 in Volquezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Royals are 1-5 in Volquezs last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.


OU Trends



Cleveland
•Over is 3-0-2 in Indians last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 4-0-1 in Indians last 5 games following a win.
• Over is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
• Under is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 3-1-2 in Indians last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Under is 43-16-3 in Indians last 62 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 5-2-2 in Indians last 9 overall.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Indians last 8 road games.
• Over is 5-2-2 in Indians last 9 on grass.
• Over is 5-2-2 in Indians last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 24-11-4 in Indians last 39 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 5-0 in Klubers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Over is 4-0 in Klubers last 4 road starts.
• Over is 5-1 in Klubers last 6 starts overall.
• Over is 4-1 in Klubers last 5 starts on grass.




Kansas City
•Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 Monday games.
• Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 1 of a series.
• Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 12-3-2 in Royals last 17 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games following a loss.
• Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 overall.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 8-3-2 in Royals last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Under is 5-2 in Royals last 7 on grass.
• Over is 9-4 in Royals last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Under is 5-0 in Volquezs last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 7-1 in Volquezs last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
• Under is 5-1 in Volquezs last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Volquezs last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 6-2 in Volquezs last 8 starts overall.
• Under is 6-2 in Volquezs last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 5-2 in Volquezs last 7 starts on grass.
• Under is 10-4-1 in Volquezs last 15 home starts.
• Under is 11-5-1 in Volquezs last 17 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.


Head to Head



•Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
• Over is 6-2-1 in Klubers last 9 road starts vs. Royals.
• Over is 5-2 in Klubers last 7 starts vs. Royals.
• Over is 34-16-4 in the last 54 meetings in Kansas City.
• Indians are 2-6 in Klubers last 8 starts vs. Royals.
• Royals are 1-4 in Volquezs last 5 starts vs. Indians.
• Indians are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City.
• Indians are 0-5 in Klubers last 5 road starts vs. Royals.


Umpire Trends - Name unavailable

No Trends Available

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Larry Ness

Minnesota vs. Detroit
Pick: Detroit

Minnesota lost 6-1 to Cleveland on Sunday, dropping two of the three games over the weekend. The AL-worst Minnesota Twins have fared surprisingly well against some of the league's best teams this season, going a combined 10-11 against AL division leaders Baltimore (0-5), Cleveland (5-4) and Texas (5-2). However, the same cannot be said about their ability to win inside their own division, outside of the Indians. Minnesota is 2-19 vs Kansas City, Detroit and the Chicago White Sox.

The Twins continue their quest for their first victory over the Tigers this year tonight in Detroit, in the opener of a three-game series. More bad news comes in the fact that the Twins have shown little ability to win on the road going an AL-worst 13-29 (minus-$1046). Ricky Nolasco (4-7, 5.22 ERA) gets the start for the Twins and served up an interesting quote. "Obviously I'm not too happy about my (5.22) ERA. At the same time, I'm healthy," he told the St. Paul Pioneer Press. "I've been able to make every start. I've been able to give us a chance to stay in the game. That's the job of a starting pitcher." I’ll let you make the call on that one.

Matt Boyd (0-2, 5.77 ERA) gets the nod for Detroit but is winless since notching his only big-league victory last August. The Tigers are 2-4 in his six starts in 2016 and going back to his LONE win on August 5 of 2015, the Tigers are 5-10 over his 15 starts.

Boyd is filling in for the injured Daniel Norris and it’s difficult to make a strong case for him. However, Nolasco is no better and the Twins’ record vs division opponents (see above) and on the road (again, see above) speaks for itself.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ChaseDiamond

Marlins at Phillies
Play: Phillies

I love this pitching match-up as the 49-42 Marlins take on the 43-50 Phillies. Marlins are off a big win over the Cards which we backed now have to travel to play one of the worse teams in Baseball right now. Aaron Nola started the year off great but has not been good leading into the break. Nola was given an extended break and I believe will have his best stuff tonight. He is a very good pitcher that being said Jose Fernandez is one of the best in the league with a ultra low 2.52 ERA. Phillies are 6-4 last 10 and have been playing better ball I love all the plus money in this game great value here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Power Sports

Tampa Bay vs. Colorado
Pick: Colorado

I'm not sure that the thin air at Coors Field is even enough to save this sorry Rays offense. They are dead last in the American League in terms of runs scored this year, so losing the designated hitter certainly will do them no favors in this series. Meanwhile, the Rockies may have been shutout Sunday, costing them a series sweep in Atlanta, but their offense should be just fine back at home. I like Colorado in the opener of this Interleague series.

Tyler Anderson is a name to keep an eye on. The Rockies rookie southpaw looks capable of doing what you need to do to be a somewhat successful pitcher in this hitter-friendly park and that's strike batters out. He has a 32-6 KW rate in 35 2/3 IP, which is very good, especially considering four of his six starts have come here at home. Given that Anderson has allowed 3 ER or less in EVERY start, a 2-4 TSR seems grossly unfair.

Meanwhile, I'm not sure if there's is anything to like with TB starter Drew Smyly. Over his L3 starts, he is 0-3 w/ a 9.19 ERA and 2.042 WHIP. So, it's not as if he's deserving of a win anytime soon. He's obviously not very familiar with the venue and facing a lineup averaging 6.3 rpg here certainly poses some very real problems. Smyly is 2-10 in his 17 starts. Rockies are just the better team here and should be in a loftier price range.