Monday 3/21/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'San Antonio Spurs at Charlotte Hornets'

Every team has that one team where it's always a struggle. That's the case for the Charlotte Hornets when it comes to the San Antonio Spurs. In seventeen meetings the result has been one win for the Bugs with a money-burning 5-11-1 record against the betting line. Going against Spurs might be considered sacrilege by some but the Spurs may lack focus after dealing NBA Champion Warriors a loss Saturday night.

Not suggesting Spurs drop this one outright but could get stung at the betting window. Spurs have struggle cashing last fifteen off a win going 6-9 ATS and are a cash-burning 1-4 ATS last five off a win vs a team off a loss. Additionally, Bugs have been solid bets at home recently vs teams with a winning record cashing six of seven tickets.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | SACRAMENTO at CHICAGO
Play On - Road teams (SACRAMENTO) terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half
112-60 since 1997. ( 65.1% | 46.0 units )
12-14 this year. ( 46.2% | -3.4 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog
766-320 since 1997. ( 70.5% | 189.7 units )
27-10 this year. ( 73.0% | 10.2 units )

NBA | PHILADELPHIA at INDIANA
Play Against - Road underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (PHILADELPHIA) revenging a home loss vs opponent, off 2 covers where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog
49-20 since 1997. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Monday 3/21 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,6,7/2,5,6/2,3,4/6/2,3,5 = $16.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,6,7,8/2,3,5/2,4/3 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 3/2,4,5,6,8/4,6,7/3 = $15

MEET STATS: 300 - 948 / $1571.60 BEST BETS: 48 - 89 / $171.50

SPOT PLAYS: 21 - 89 / $218.80

Best Bet: ER QUINN (10th)

Spot Play: SENIOR MARKET (6th)


Race 1

(2) EXEMPLAR moves back into Moreau's barn here after an okay try vs. lesser; slight nod based on the barn change. (7) O U SEXY GUY was claimed when an easy winner last time when in against the choice and his current sharpness should be respected. (6) ENTRANCED races better when handled more aggressively. Perhaps he will be put into the race earlier here like he was in his Feb. 20 win.

Race 2

(5) ETRUSCAN HANOVER was cooked early last week so perhaps he will take a more patient approach here and launch his assault in the second half; slight nod. (2) LINDYS TRUE GRIT powered up late to beat most of these last week but might not get the same set up this week. (6) FEARLESS MAN refused to let anyone go last time and paid the price late. He is pretty much one dimensional but dangerous whenever he can get a breather.

Race 3

(4) SUGARSAM has paced three consecutive miles in 1:53 4/5 now in his 4th start of the year switches to Jamieson. It could be 'go' time here. (2) JAKE LEOWEN continues to pace home quickly but would need to be closer early to threaten for the win here. (3) CHEYENNE FORD has left hard twice in a row and it hasn't worked. He will likely revert to a more effective closing style here and should have some early pace to chase.

Race 4

(6) P H KENNY was overtaken late last time by a promising colt in a good effort and he rates highly here. (2) SCARY HARRY faced a couple of tough ones last time and couldn't mount a challenge. These are easier and he should be heard from. (7) BAD AS CREEK has raced well in all four of his 2016 starts so far and will get there soon.

Race 5

(5) FAVORITE TWEET was passing horses late in her season's debut and looks as good as any in a race where you are basically throwing darts looking for a winner. (3) MARCH was a following 2nd in his season's debut and could improve here but his 0-14 record doesn't inspire great confidence. (2) MIAMI MAGIC looks like a contender here but needs to stay flat.

Race 6

(2) SENIOR MARKET projects to get a good trip near the lead here and could be a pocket rocket down the lane. (4) HIGH FLIER made two moves in the top class at Flamboro last Sunday but the leader had too much left late. A big speed try by this gelding would be no surprise here. (7) STIMULUS SPENDING took advantage of a slowing pace to score a huge upset last time. He is more likely to be closing for a smaller share here.

Race 7

(3) TOWNLINE MOMMA got hung out chasing an unyielding leader when claimed by Moreau last week. She can take these a long way. (2) JAYPORT SUNRISE beat the choice last time but had a much softer trip. She retains Moiseyev and is in with a shot in this suspect field. (9) EXCUSE ME PLEASE exits the same heat as the two above and showed big early speed there then didn't fade horribly; consider for exotics.

Race 8

(8) INTENDED STYLE endured a very long trip last week and kept coming late. He is one of several in here that goes first off the claim that has a shot. (2) LUMIERE has been lights out at the B tracks recently and should be tough debuting for Larocque/Filion despite the class rise. (6) MEERSBURG ships in and goes for Weller who has been hot at this meet; using.

Race 9

(4) IN SECRET was a sharp winner last time when timing his move a bit later and looks good to repeat vs. these. (7) BURNIN MONEY drops from the top class and should be prominent here. (6) BAGS FOR ALL has been 2nd twice in a row but hasn't threatened the winner. She is likely to take another smaller share here.

Race 10

(3) E R QUINN takes a class plunge here and has beaten better as recently as Feb. 20. Weller has priced him to win here. (5) PAR INTENDED faces claimers for the first time and should get a big piece of this. (1) PERFECT VISTA made several moves to win his last and was claimed; contender. (6) YORK SEELSTER made a big move then tired late vs. better. He should share here. (4) P J CAMDEX has been racing well at London and can make one of the lower rungs of the exotics here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Monday 3/21 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS


MEET STATS: 71 - 276 / $504.70

BEST BETS: 7 - 22 / $28.50

Best Bet: MASTERSON (9th)

Spot Play: CHEYENNE TRIENGEL (2nd)


Race 1

(2) HOT PATOOTIE Pacing mare catches a weak group and could be ready for her first win at the Hilltop. (5) OH SUGAR has been picking up checks of late; threat. (3) POKERFACE should appreciate the 3-hole; watch out.

Race 2

(5) CHEYENNE TRIENGEL led every step but was nailed for win honors by Fiestys Legacy last out. Might be ready to turn the tables on that rival; we shall see. (4) FIESTYS LEGACY was strong in the pocket to run down the top pick recently. (6) LENORE KARIDIAN comes by way of California with a nice win last time around.

Race 3

(1) M A BAY was out of it in the Sagamore series last out but fits with these and does have a win from the fence; must be considered. (2) STIRLING ENSIGN Freehold invader raced evenly for the show money last out. (4) RAGNAR J got the job done via the pocket at Monticello in his latest.

Race 4

(6) IRISH TERROR Quite flat in the Sagamore series last out but the good news is the gelding is facing a weak group of pacers and with a fine-timed drive he can pick them up and lay them down for all the glory. (1) ITS JUST TOO MUCH was sent down the road last time out for all the marbles. (5) SIN CITY SHARK Here's another that took down the competition wire to window at Monticello recently.

Race 5

(2) IWILLMAKEYOUSAYWOW was extremely wide, took the lead but in deep stretch was caught approaching the wire and had to settle for the show spot in his latest. If he gets a covered up trip it could be game over for the rest of these; big threat. (3) HAVE NOT READ IT Jersey invader should find the half-mile oval to his liking; maybe. (1) SPIRIT OF TRUTH gets post relief and that might help his cause.

Race 6

Will take a stab with longshot (3) ROLLING GOING GONE to put it all together. Sharp in the Petticoat two trips ago and with some racing luck he might run down the heavy favorite (2) KRYPTOS. The latter has done nothing wrong and remains undefeated; the one to deny seeking his fifth in a row. (1) SPECIAL PACKAGE retains the rail and could be a factor in this event.

Race 7

(2) IM IN LUV was first over at the 1/2 mile marker and grinding out a victory in her latest. Very consistent filly can pulled off two straight against these. (6) CAPELA is on a roll scoring her fourth in a row; likely choice. (5) SASSAFRAS GIRL had good cover but could not get to the winner Im In Luv last out.

Race 8

(1) LITTLE MISS SPORTY Mare is very sharp of late and now she moves to the fence; very capable of returning to her winning ways. (3) ARABELLA J was in the pocket most of the way but was outkicked for win and place honors recently. (8) BIN N HEAVEN was sent by Kakaley down the road last out for all the glory. Post hurts by she is very capable.

Race 9

You have to love the way (5) MASTERSON has been winning races. Gelding was used hard from the 8-hole, had some trouble early on and still got the job done by three lengths; the pick for the four-peat. (7) MARTINI HANOVER was on the engine but did not have enough gas in the tank and was nailed at the wire last week. (3) JUSTICE MY WAY needs a favorable trip to contend with these; quite possible.

Race 10

(5) PIER HO TEMPTATION did not fire in his last trip to the post but there is good news here, he leaves the 7-hole and does have 3 of 5 wins at the Hilltop and Mr. Brennan once again is back at the controls; threat at his best. (1) GHOST PINE gets serious post relief and that could help his chances against these. (4) SHADOW PLACE is knocking at the door based on his last two tries.

Race 11

(1) CHRISTIAN SLOY A seems to be ready for a breakout performance and now he moves to the fence; dangerous with a favorable trip. (4) BAKERSFIELD should fare well from the door number four and does have a win on the half-mile oval. (6) CHANTEPLEURE could have a say based on his early zip.

Race 12

(1) MYDELIGHT BLUECHIP there is plenty of speed in here and this mare fits with these; With a fine-timed drive from Mr. Lachance this 4-year-old can make tonight a winning one. (2) QUEEN OF DENIAL very sharp in his last two starts makes her a contender in here. (7) GINGER TREE ALEXIIS led every step of the way but tired in deep stretch and had to settle for show money last time around.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Monday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Mahoning Valley (2nd) Sendario, 3-1
(7th) Alpha Wolf, 7-2


Parx Racing (2nd) Moonlite Encounter, 10-1
(5th) Red Razzo, 4-1


Turf Paradise (1st) Sammy Wonder Stone, 3-1
(5th) Goose Bumps, 7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday's six-pack

Sweet 16 matchups next Thursday/Friday..........

East
Indiana-North Carolina-- Rematch of 1981 title game, also played in Philly.
Wisconsin-Notre Dame-- Badgers allowed 53 ppg in first two tourney wins.

South
Maryland-Kansas-- Terps survived 1-18 shooting from arc against Hawai'i.
Miami-Villanova-- Wildcats played their A+ game in first half vs Iowa.

Midwest
Iowa State-Virginia-- Cyclones will be forced to play a slower-paced game here.
Gonzaga-Syracuse-- Orange have played a 7-seed, a 15-seed, now an 11-seed.

West
Oklahoma-Texas A&M-- Aggies came back from the dead last night.
Duke-Oregon-- Duke is 4-6 in its last ten regional semi-final games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Monday

633 EASTERN WASHINGTON @ 634 NEVADA 10:00 PM

Take: 634 NEVADA -5

First off, let’s get the injury info on this game out of the way. Eastern Washington’s Venky Jois did something to his knee in the Eastern Washington win against Pepperdine. He has been medically cleared to play tonight, although head coach Jim Hayford is saying Jois will be a game time decision. I’d be pretty surprised if he sits the game out.

Nevada will get Marqueze Coleman back tonight. He has logged only 21 minutes in the last six Wolf Pack games, and head coach Eric Musselman is saying he’s not sure how much time Coleman will be able to spend on the court tonight. But the fact the senior star will be on the floor has to be regarded as a plus for Nevada.

The matchup is interesting as even though these teams have not met, I believe Nevada will be very familiar with what they’ll see from the Eagles tonight. Musselman compared them to Boise State, although I actually think Eastern Washington more resembles Colorado State. Like the Rams, the Eagles will be shooting three-balls on a very regular basis, and Nevada is going to have to do a better job with this opponent than they did with the Rams. I’m wondering if Musselman brought up Boise State because his troops lost twice to the Broncos. Kind of makes sense from a motivational standpoint.

This game will not be a sellout, not by a long shot. It’s spring break and it’s the CIT. Or is this the CBI? I honestly don’t know or care on that count. What it’s not is the NCAA or the NIT and this tournament doesn’t have any real pizzazz. But the Wolf Pack did draw a pretty good crowd for the Montana game, and those who showed up were highly energized, so I went ahead and awarded Nevada its full home court advantage when doing the math for this contest.

I can see where there’s a bit of value on the Nevada side here. I thought this would come a shade higher based on where the number was vs. Montana, and then adding in the return of Coleman and what is apparently less than 100% of Venky Jois. At the current tag, I’ll therefore look to Nevada to garner the win and cover tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBA Pick, Monday, March 21, 2016 8:05 PM ET

(615) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS (616) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Take: (615) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Monday, March 21, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves. We saw the importance of home court advantage in the West Conference a few nights ago when the Spurs beat the Warriors in San Antonio. Neither club has lost a home game all year and therefore, locking up home court is imperative. The Spurs trail the Warriors by just three games now with these clubs meeting two more times in the remainder of the regular season. The Warriors are hoping there just isn't enough time left, with just 13 games left in their regular season. We'll assume they don't lose at home, that means road games at Minnesota, Utah, Memphis and San Antonio. Minnesota would like nothing more to be one of those clubs to shock the Warriors. The Wolves are just 3-7 S/U their last 10. They have fared better against the spread, going 5-2 ATS their last 7. The Warriors won't be able to rest players exactly like they would want, but they should have little trouble securing home court. I'll take them and lay the price here tonight. Play Golden State.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports

Clermont Foot vs Red Star FC

Bonus Play Draw +212

Look for the draw at +212 when these two teams play in France on Monday. The total is set at 2so they are expecting a low score. I think it ends 0-0 or 1-1.

Red Star 1

Clermont 1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brad Diamond

Spurs vs Hornets 7:00 Eastern

Free Selection (606) Charlotte Hornets (H) over San Antonio

Charlotte (39-30) and San Antonio (59-10) plucked an off day out of the zany NBA scheduling format. Now, the Spurs visit North Carolina after dismantling the Warriors on Saturday holding them to just 79 points, still amazing even with the injuries for Golden State. And, that win could take some tenaciousness from the Spurs, especially their "mental" approach in the first-half of action. SA shows 1-5 ATS off just one day of rest and has had ATS problems facing Eastern Conference foes. The Spurs do continue to be undefeated at home, 24-10 SU on the road. The Hornets have won 8-of-10 SU, after losing last time out. Charlotte is 26-11 SU at home, and plays with revenge this evening. In the last meeting back in 2015, the Spurs shot 55.6% from the field winning in blowout fashion 114-94, taking the second-half 63-47. Opposing Charlotte has played well overall against winning units covering 8-of-11. For our money, the Hornets have a great chance to win and cover this evening.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Kings vs Bulls

Bonus Play Chicago Bulls

I'm recommending a play on the Chicago Bulls minus the points on Monday night. We backed the Kings last night and cashed the ticket when they beat New York, 88-80. But the winning streak ends at one for the Kings in our opinion. Chicago will look to pick up their third straight home win and cover after beating Utah and Brooklyn. Doug McDermott is making the most of his playing time, scoring 29, 20, and 25 points in three previous games before the win over Utah. McDermott should add plenty to the Bulls' ledger in this particular matchup. But it's on the defensive end where I like the Bulls the most tonight. Chicago ranks in the top six in FG percentage allowed and in 3-point defense and we know if you frustrate the Kings on their offensive end, they generally fold on the defensive end. We liked the matchups last night for Sacto, but it was just their third win in their last 14 games. We don't like their situation or matchups tonight. And we should note that if Pau Gasol is sidelined again, we're confident Taj Gibson will continue to shine in his absence. The Kings are 1-4 ATS when playing in their second of back-to-back games and they're 1-10 ATS against teams with a winning record. We're recommending a play on the Chicago Bulls minus the points on Monday. Thanks and GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Washington vs San Diego State

Play - San Diego State

Edges - Aztecs: 19-3 SU and 11-6-1 ATS versus .642 or less opponents this season; and 10-4-1 ATS off a win versus Pac-12 foes. Huskies: 14-3 SU versus .642 or less opponents this season, but 5-11 SU versus better; and NIT 2nd round teams who scored more than 103 points in opening round games are 1-3-1 ATS since 2000. With the Aztecs looking to advantage a 49-36 loss as 1.-5-point favorites at Washington last season, we recommend a 1* play on San Diego State. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[iwmore]

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