Monday 2/23/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Louisville finally threw senior PG Smith off team yesterday, after he had played 36:00 off bench Saturday. Cardinals are 2-3 in last five games and were down 10 at half vs Miami Saturday, with Smith. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in their ACC road games; Cards are 3-2 as road favorites, with wins by 9-12-9-8 on foreign soil. Georgia Tech has guard Bolden out with suspension also; five of their last six losses are by 6 or less points. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 10-5 vs spread.

St John's (+8) won 78-70 at Xavier nine days ago, shooting 61% inside arc; that is Xavier's only loss in their last five games. Musketeers are 2-5 on Big East road, 1-3 as road underdogs, losing by 3-12-13-3-8, winning at Georgetown/Marquette. Red Storm also won four of last five, is 3-3 as home favorite, winning home games by 3-9-18-8-13 points, with losses to Butler/Villanova. Big East home favorites of less than 4 points are 5-7.

Kansas (-12) beat K-State 68-57 at home Jan 31, holding visitors to 33% from floor in game they led 33-17 at half. Jayhawks (#337 in experience) lost two of last three road games, are 1-3 as road favorites, winning tilts on Big X road by 1-13-3-22 points (4-3 SU). Wildcats lost seven of last eight overall, are 5-2 at home in Big X, losing by 6 to West Virginia, 4 to Texas. Kansas is making 42.4% of its 3's in conference play. Big X home underdogs 9-9 against the spread.

Manhattan (-15) drilled Marist 60-38 at home Dec 7, despite Red Foxes taking 30 FTs, Jaspers only six; Manhattan shot 60% inside arc in game they never trailed. Marist lost last four games, last three by total of ten points; they're 2-3 as home underdogs- their last three home games were decided by total of 8 points. Jaspers won six of last eight games, with favorites covering four of their last five. MAAC home teams are 16-21-1 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points.

Austin Peay lost its last seven games (2-5 vs spread) is 3-3 as road dog, losing away games by 12-16-4-6-35 points, with win at Eastern Illinois. Governors lost last two games with Eastern Kentucky by 21-38 points. Colonels won five of last six games, are 3-2 as home favorites, winning at home by 16-12-5-12 points, with loss to Eastern Illinois. EKU had two extra days to prepare for this game, not having played Saturday. OVC home favorites of 9+ points are 7-14 vs spread.

Morehead State hasn't played in nine days, Tennessee State lost by 5 at Jacksonville State Saturday; Eagles (-13) beat TSU 72-57 at home Feb 5, in game where Morehead shot 67% inside arc, never trailed. TSU is 5-3 as road underdogs, with four of seven road losses by 7 or less points. Eagles are 2-3 in last five games, scoring 57 points in all three losses; they're 3-1 as home favorites, winning home games by 28-15-2, with three losses SU. OVC home underdogs of 6+ points are 8-5 vs spread.
 
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Monday's six-pack

Six of the best minor league prospects for the Washington Nationals......

1) Lucas Giolito, P-- 12-3, 2.17 in 32 minor league starts, all in A ball.

2) Michael Taylor, OF-- Got promoted to majors, has only 44 AAA ABs

6) AJ Cole, P-- Was 7-0 in AAA LY; has 500 minor league IPs.

7) Wilmer Difo, 2B/SS-- Played in 360 minor league games, all in A ball.

11) Austin Voth, P-- Allowed 122 hits in 173 minor league IP.

16) Taylor Hill, P-- Another in increasingly long line of Vanderbilt pitchers.
 
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JEFF BENTON

Your Monday freebie is the Louisville Cardinals as the small road favorite over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.

The Cards have been struggling, no doubt about that, as Louisville has dropped 3 of their last 5 games straight up, and they have also failed 3 straight against the spread.

Expect them to get "healthy" tonight on the road where they have at least covered 6 of their 10 lined roadies this season.

Louisville faces a Georgia Tech team that was just drubbed at North Carolina over the weekend, and I just don't see the Yellow Jackets getting up off the carpet for this one.

Tech has won just 3 times straight up in their last 10 games, and they are 4-5-1 against the spread in those 10.

The Redbirds need to get things straightened out in time for the postseason, and tonight they do just that against the willing Yellow Jackets.

Lay the points.

2* LOUISVILLE
 
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CRAIG DAVIS

Your Bonus Play of the day is the Kansas State Wildcats over the Kansas Jayhawks in Big 12 Conference action.

At the time of this writing, the Wildcats are catching at least 6 points at home which is a scary proposition for Kansas bettors... knowing that this team isn't exactly a good road team.

Overall the Jayhawks are a very solid 11-3 in conference and clearly the favorite to win the regular season title, but they're only 5-4 on the road and have covered the number there only three times.

Granted, they are clearly a better basketball team than Kansas State, but you can never tell with these rivalry games when the home team is barely .500 and have nothing to lose.

Take Michigan yesterday. The Wolverines hate Ohio State, but it was going to take a full 40-minute effort to for them to have a chance to pull the upset. Well, it happened. If those two teams played 10 times, Ohio State would win 8 of them... but yesterday just happened to be one of those two games.

That's what I'm expecting in Manhattan tonight. Kansas State is just good enough to be dangerous and the fact that they're catching this many points at home where they have a solid winning record, doesn't make a whole lot of sense.

Take the Wildcats plus the points as your Bonus Play of the day.

4* KANSAS STATE
 
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SLEEPYJ

Celtics / Suns Under 211.5

I have this one rated a 207.5...Now with Sully and Dragic out this has to disrupt the offense here for both teams. The defense i don't think will be hurt much on the Suns end..Transition points should be effected because of Dragic being gone now. It will be slower on the Boston end as they look for more offense..That will take time..I think the norm of points in this game will be down..I will take the under in this one tonight. Isaiah Thomas comes back to PHX as well...I could see him laying an egg here tonight..He must have some kind of info how to defend some of the PHX players as well..I can see him trying to do to much to get back at his old team..I doubt it works tonight.
 
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 23

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LOUISVILLE (21 - 6) at GEORGIA TECH (12 - 15) - 2/23/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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XAVIER (18 - 10) at ST JOHNS (18 - 9) - 2/23/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 176-140 ATS (+22.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
XAVIER is 189-148 ATS (+26.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
XAVIER is 113-82 ATS (+22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 2-1 against the spread versus ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 2-1 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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KANSAS (22 - 5) at KANSAS ST (13 - 15) - 2/23/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 4-2 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 5-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MANHATTAN (14 - 12) at MARIST (5 - 22) - 2/23/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 4-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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AUSTIN PEAY (7 - 20) at E KENTUCKY (16 - 10) - 2/23/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
E KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus AUSTIN PEAY over the last 3 seasons
E KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against AUSTIN PEAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MOREHEAD ST (12 - 16) at TENNESSEE ST (5 - 23) - 2/23/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MOREHEAD ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
TENNESSEE ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE ST is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MOREHEAD ST is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE ST is 3-3 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
MOREHEAD ST is 4-2 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DELAWARE ST (13 - 14) at NORFOLK ST (17 - 11) - 2/23/2015, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 3-0 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons




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ALABAMA ST (15 - 7) at SOUTHERN U (14 - 14) - 2/23/2015, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN U is 4-1 straight up against ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons
 
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NCAAB

Monday, February 23

Trend Report

7:00 PM
AUSTIN PEAY vs. EASTERN KENTUCKY
Austin Peay is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Austin Peay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Kentucky's last 7 games when playing at home against Austin Peay
Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Austin Peay

7:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. GEORGIA TECH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 10 games on the road
Louisville is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia Tech's last 8 games at home
Georgia Tech is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games

7:00 PM
MANHATTAN vs. MARIST
Manhattan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Manhattan's last 5 games on the road
Marist is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Manhattan
Marist is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Manhattan

8:00 PM
XAVIER vs. ST. JOHN'S
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Xavier's last 5 games on the road
Xavier is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
St. John's is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
St. John's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
MOREHEAD STATE vs. TENNESSEE STATE
Morehead State is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Morehead State's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Morehead State
Tennessee State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Morehead State

9:00 PM
KANSAS vs. KANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games on the road
Kansas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas State is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas
 
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NBA

Monday, February 23

Trend Report

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Philadelphia's last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games at home

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NEW ORLEANS
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. HOUSTON
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHICAGO
Milwaukee is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Chicago's last 25 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. UTAH
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games at home
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio

9:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games

9:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Denver
Brooklyn is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
LA Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
 

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