Woodbine Harness: Monday 12/5 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1/1,6,9,10/1,6,9/1,3,4/3,4 = $14.40
EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,4/3,4/3,4/4,6 = $24
LATE PICK 4: 4,6/6/3,5,8,9/1,6,9 = $24
MEET STATS: 34 - 135 / $196.80 BEST BETS: 7 - 13 / $22.30
SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 13 / $9.50
Best Bet: INTENDED STYLE (1st)
Spot Play: J JS DELIVERY (5th)
Race 1
(1) INTENDED STYLE refused to be overtaken last week in his best performance in a while; call to repeat. (5) CUNDALINI set some big fractions and understandably tired late. He could last longer this time. (3) GUNPOWDER showed some life late in the mile last week; consider for exotics. (2) EVERY DAY can improve dropping into a claimer from a better post here.
Race 2
(9) GIRL DRAMA was re-claimed by Henriksen and she should have plenty of pace to chase here; slight nod. (10) DIRTY SECRET has won five straight all by going to the front and staying there. She will no doubt be blasting here, but, post 10 can be the great equalizer. (6) BLUSH AND CRUSH found her best stride last time and almost pulled off a shocker. She should be in the mix again. (1) TOY IS OURS is capable but erratic. Demand a price if you like him.
Race 3
(1) INTIMIDATE jogged last time he was in a similar class and he should have no issues with the tricky inside post; top call. (6) WILD AND CRAZY GUY impressively motored home despite being on poor cover last week to take a new season's mark; using. (9) FEARLESS MAN is getting closer to his best and he has to be considered a threat to wire the field at this level. (8) ETRUSCAN HANOVER is another that should threaten at this level - if he stays flat.
Race 4
(4) TIGRA SEELSTER was second to a strong winner last week and she looks best here if she can repeat that performance. (1) ALEXAS HOPE should benefit from a hot early pace here and she may pass them all late. (3) WATT A FUNNY FACE will likely try to bottom out the field as she did two back, but there is other early speed in here for her to worry about. (7) FIRE WATCH can pick up some pieces late in the mile and grab a share.
Race 5
(4) J JS DELIVERY looks ready to fire a big one off the shelf; top call. (3) DARCEE N closed well into a strong late pace last time. He will get a favorable pace scenario one of these times and he'll capitalize. (8) BS TYRRIFIC moves up slightly off a strong mile and he is another to consider for multi-race bets. (7) UF BETTORS HANOVER will be coming late as always, but he typically leaves himself too much to do late in the mile.
Race 6
(3) MISSEDBYADAY took a ton of action last week and showed little. Maybe Henriksen gets him motivated earlier this time. (4) SUNRISE AVENUE is a bit of a money burner but she does figure here on form. (2) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN can threaten if he lays closer to the front early. (10) ARCHERY should be a speed threat and if he can somehow get a breather, he might wire these.
Race 7
(4) BIG PETES STYLE was just short last week in a good performance. A repeat of that mile would make him tough here. (6) CRAFTY MASTER will likely blast off early here with Davis Jr. driving. If he can clear quickly, he will be dangerous. (8) ST LADS LOTTO will likely take a smaller slice as he typically does most weeks. (1) LEVY TAYLORE raced well at a big price in this class last week; consider for vertical wagers.
Race 8
(6) LISVINNIE is on a roll and goes for Allard here off the claim. A threepeat looms. (5) RAGING FINGERS was flying late last time but he couldn't reach a determined winner. The step up doesn't look that tough for him here. (7) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE changed tactics last week but he was still no match for the choice; smaller share predicted. (1) A BOY NAMED SUZZ should be close up early and he can stick around for a slice.
Race 9
(3) MYSTERY BET blew up before the start last week but if he stays flat here, he could mow this group down using a closing style. (9) APRIL ROSE ships in and faces easier; check out her mile two back. (5) LITTLE RED CHEV is gradually being taught to close by Filion and one of these weeks she will blow by them all down the lane; maybe tonight? (8) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY is on a roll but she steps up again here and she should face more pressure if she leads; minor award predicted.
Race 10
(9) PANEDICTINE is at the top of his game now he goes for Moreau off the claim here; slight nod. (1) SHIPPEN OUT goes for Allard off the claim here and he has done well before on this track; using. (6) YORK SEELSTER was game in victory last week and he is another that should be included on Pick 4 tickets. (4) NEEDLECREST drops back into a claimer here after setting strong fractions last week. He should be passing horses in the back 1/2 this time. (5) JENKINS CREEK should take a smaller share at a minimum racing close to the front here.
