Monday 10/31/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Bulls (2-0) at Nets (1-2)

Date: October 31, 2016 7:30 PM EDT

NEW YORK -- An underwhelming 42-40 non-playoff season led to a summer of drastic changes for the Chicago Bulls.

Nine new players were added, highlighted by the additions of guards Rajon Rondo and Dwyane Wade. Naturally, questions about cohesion were a theme of preseason.

Two games into the regular season, things are going well and the Bulls look to remain unbeaten Monday night when they visit the Brooklyn Nets.

"We've been practicing about 30 days straight," Rondo said. "The chemistry is coming along (but) it's early."

Last season, the Bulls also won their first two games and began with a 22-12 record but wound up going 20-28 the rest of the way, prompting the trade of Derrick Rose to the New York Knicks and allowing Joakim Noah to sign with New York in free agency.

Those departures left Jimmy Butler as the main option and then came the signings of Rondo and Wade.

Butler has 40 points in his first two games, Rondo has 22 assists and Wade has 36 points. Those three players might have more points and assists, but during Saturday's 118-101 win over Indiana, they saw some rest as Doug McDermott scored 23 points on 9-of-14 shooting while the Bulls collected 34 assists and shot 52 percent.

"It's good to see this early in the season," Wade said. "We have the format to how we need to play. It is about making sure we get to that (style of) game more times than not throughout the year."

The Bulls will try to maintain their style (111.5 points per game, 118.4 offensive rating) against a team with low expectations but plenty of competiveness in their first three games.

In the first three games, the Nets have nearly rallied from a 23-point deficit at Boston, held Indiana to 15 fourth-quarter points in a nine-point win and nearly came back at Milwaukee on Saturday before losing 110-108 on a John Henson tip-in at the buzzer.

"I told our guys to keep with it, stay with it," Brooklyn coach Kenny Atkinson said. "I'm proud of our resiliency. I wish we would have shot a little bit better. Turnovers hurt us. We had a lot of open looks, and at the end we had a chance to win the game."

Bojan Bogdanovic scored 26 points and hit a 3-pointer with 11.6 seconds remaining before Henson won it. Bogdanovic's 3-pointer was one of 11 in 35 attempts Brooklyn had Saturday.

The Nets have increased their reliance on 3-pointers by going 36 of 112 (32.1 percent). It is the second time in franchise history that Brooklyn has attempted at least 30 3-pointers in three straight games.

Brook Lopez has been part of the increased emphasis on 3-pointers, as he is 1-of-6 this season and 4-of-37 for his career. Lopez was rested Saturday but he is expected to play Monday.

"I think we're just building him up," Atkinson said of resting Lopez. "We have a plan to increase his minutes, increase his playing time as the season goes on. I think it's a smart way to look at it. We're thinking long-term, big picture. Soon enough he'll be at his normal minutes."

Lopez's return from not making the trip to Milwaukee will coincide with another meeting against twin brother Robin Lopez. It is the 14th meeting between the siblings and this is the fifth opposing team Robin has been with after spending time with Phoenix, New Orleans, Portland and New York.

Robin Lopez's teams have won seven meetings against his twin. Robin has averaged 9.8 points while Brook Lopez has averaged 21 points.

The Nets have lost three straight home meetings with the Bulls. Chicago also has won 13 of the last 18 regular-season meetings, including a 115-100 victory on Oct. 28, 2015, in Brooklyn.

Monday will mark Wade's 39th regular-season meeting against the Nets. In his first 38 with the Miami Heat, the 12-time All-Star won 28 of those games.

Wade has scored at least 30 points eight times against the Nets, including March 28 in Miami when he had 30 on 14-of-19 shooting. He also had 27 games with at least 20 points against the Nets, including both visits to Brooklyn last season when he totaled 55 points on 24 of 39 from the floor.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Kings (2-1) at Hawks (2-0)

Date: October 31, 2016 7:30 PM EDT

ATLANTA -- The Sacramento Kings snapped a 15-game losing streak to Atlanta at home last season. Now they will try to end their losing ways on the road against the Hawks.

The Kings, off to an encouraging 2-1 start under new coach Dave Joerger, start a tough five-game road swing Monday night at Atlanta, where they have dropped nine games in a row.

The Kings won their opener at Phoenix, then split their first two games at their new home arena.

Sacramento was down by 18 points in the second quarter Saturday night against the Minnesota Timberwolves, but rallied for a 106-103 victory.

"I think there is a nice difference between being 2-1 and 1-2 and how you feel about yourself, knowing you are going to play your next five in all kinds of different states around the union," Joerger said after the victory. "That's a better feeling getting on the plane."

The Hawks improved to 2-0 with an easy 104-72 victory over the 76ers on Saturday in Philadelphia and are a tough team for the Kings to have to open their long road trip against.

Sacramento hasn't won in Atlanta since March 3, 2006, but the Kings gave the Hawks a scare last November before falling 103-97.

DeMarcus Cousins had 24 points and 12 rebounds in that game, then had 24 points and 16 rebounds as the Kings won 91-88 in January at Sacramento to snap their long overall losing streak to the Hawks.

Cousins had 29 points and Rudy Gay scored 28 in the Kings' comeback victory over Minnesota.

"To me, Cousins and Rudy are one of the best one-two punches in the game," said veteran Matt Barnes, who played under Joerger last season at Memphis.

Joerger has tightened up the Kings defensively and his offensive imprint is also apparent.

"There is still some times when we struggle, when we revert to playing isolation basketball," the coach said. "What happens is we try to dribble into crowds and then we end up with no play. It just takes time."

The Kings are also without Darren Collison, leaving Ty Lawson as the team's only proven point guard. Collison was suspended by the NBA for the first eight games of the season after pleading guilty to domestic abuse.

The Hawks have a new look this season as well with the addition of Dwight Howard in the middle and Dennis Schroder running the team instead of Jeff Teague.

Howard had 19 rebounds in a victory over Washington in his home debut, but was limited by foul trouble in the easy victory in Philadelphia. Schroder had a career-best 11 assists against the 76ers.

Paul Millsap had a shortened training camp after a knee procedure, but he showed no ill effects in the Hawks' opening victories, averaging 22.5 points.

"He's played very, very well in the first two games," Hawks coach Mike Budenholzer said.

Millsap was also the key reason that the Hawks kept their winning streak alive against the Kings in Atlanta last season, scoring 23 points and grabbing 16 rebounds.

He had to play just 27 minutes during the romp in Philadelphia.

"I feel pretty good," Millsap said. "We are looking at the now, but it's more about the later. Keeping me fresh, keeping my healthy through the course of the year. We talked about keeping my minutes low, so when I'm out I can put it all out there."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Monday’s games

Road team won four of last six Denver-Toronto games; Nuggets won two of last three visits here. Over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. Denver split its first two games, which were decided by total of 7 points (over 2-0). Raptors split their first two games, both of which were at home (over 1-1).

Chicago won its last five games with the Nets; last four series games went over the total. Bulls won their last three visits to Brooklyn by 15-27-18 points. Chicago won its first two home games by 6-17 points (over 1-1); this is their road opener. Nets lost two of first three games (over 2-1) but beat Indiana by 9 in their only home game.

Hawks won nine of last ten games with Sacramento (8-2 vs spread); Kings lost their last four visits to Atlanta (0-4 vs spread). Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Sacramento won two of first three games (under 2-1)- they won road opener in Phoenix. Hawks won their first couple games by 15-32 points.

Clippers won eight of last ten games with Phoenix, but Suns are 4-2-1 vs spread in last seven. Phoenix lost last five visits here, by 40-6-1-13-7 points (3-2 vs spread). Suns are 0-3, losing last two games to Thunder by 3, Warriors by 6 (under 2-1). Clippers won their first two games, by 8-13 points; they beat Utah at home yesterday.

 

[calciotips]

serie A profi tips

31.10. Serie A soccer, Cagliari-Palermo both to score @ odds around 1.7 and above, stake: 6/10


Classic rivalry between the main teams from the two biggest Italian isles – Sicily and Sardinia. Home team was under fire after the last two games in which they conceded 9 goals in total – perhaps a bit harsh, but numbers don’t lie and Cagliari hold the worst defensive record in Serie A and the way the allow easy goals against almost any team just confirms it. Even their traditionally strong home ground of Sant’Elia is not helping them much this season, as they have the second worst home defensive record, after their present opponents – Palermo. Their new signing in defense Bruno Alves has problems adapting to Serie A, but still looks one of the best compared to the rest of the defense, consisted mostly by much younger players who doesn’t seem to do so well either, judging by their average votes after 10 rounds. Upfront of course things look completely different – with their offensive play Cagliari have scored at least two goals in each of their home games so far. They don’t have issue with missing players so I expect them to score for sure against Palermo who have conceded goals in all but one of their away games so far. Frankly speaking judging by the overall performance IMO these are the two teams with the worst defensive lines in Serie A.
Clouds are gathering over Palermo’s coach De Zerbi and if they don’t take some pts tonight his days may be numbered. And this is kind of game where Palermo would fancy their chances and fight on a level ground. They have shown surprisingly effective tactics away from home this season and may be they feel more comfortable entering as underdogs and leaving the home team to build the game, while waiting to hit on the break. So this is exactly the game they like, as Cagliari often go forward with numbers and leave spaces behind. Away team will have in disposition their main weapons in attack - Nesterovski and Diamanti who are probably the two most valuable players in their squad and in a game like this I would rate their chances to score as very likely as well. GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Post: 1:56 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$2700 - F& M $4000 CLAIMING/ALLOWANCES J TAGGART JR 1 OVER 2,8 M MERTON 6 OVER 4
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 1 RED EYE BLUE CHIP 5/2
# 6 PITA 9/2
# 5 FLASHY 6/1

RED EYE BLUE CHIP will have you running to the cashier's window here. Cannot put a finger on it, but lean toward this mare for a play. May be the most solid in the group here, showing very good numbers of late. Avg speed is a solid 76. Certainly should be given a look based on the really strong TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the last contest. PITA - Heads into this race with very nice TrackMaster class ratings as compared to the field of starters - could be worth a shot. This trainer, and the driver Merton, go together like The Smothers Brothers. Their results together are amazing. FLASHY - One of the most solid win rates with this driver/trainer make this mare dangerous. Pace figures say this race should shape up nicely for this mare. Looking for a big effort.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6600 Class Rating: 80

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE OCTOBER 31, 2015. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 6 CAPE FINISTERRE 8/1

# 9 SEA ZAR RUN 5/1

# 4 MISTER EUROPA 8/1

CAPE FINISTERRE looks decent to best this group especially at a such a nice price. I expect a very strong performance from this horse whose trainer has one of the top return on investment percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. With one of the strongest jock in terms of gains at the window, don't count this gelding out. SEA ZAR RUN - Will probably compete soundly in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group. Clouston and Parker have a very good win percentage together. MISTER EUROPA - With a nice class rating average of 85, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this field. Could beat this field given the 72 speed rating recorded in his last outing.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Post: 10:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$25000 - NON-WINNERS OF 6 P-M RACES OR $60,000 LIFETIME. 2,3& 4 YEAR OLD FILLIES & MARES
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 4 MAJOR MILLIE 8/5
# 2 AMERICAN IVY 7/2
# 6 MOTHER OF ART 4/1

All signs point to MAJOR MILLIE for the selection. This gathering could very well be controlled by this filly. Just one look at the avgerage speed rating will verify that. Unquestionably the class of the pack with an average rating of 83. A nice play. Is a strong win contender given the 88 TrackMaster speed fig from her most recent competition. AMERICAN IVY - The 2 post is on fire here at Yonkers Raceway. More wins than normal. Been competing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 82). MOTHER OF ART - Have good feelings this one might thieve in this event.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #5 - Post: 2:43pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating:

#8 NORM THE GIANT (ML=8/1)
#1 YO SOY EL LOBO (ML=5/2)


NORM THE GIANT - This jock and handler have a profitable return on investment when they combine forces. Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is up against an easier field than last time around the track at Parx Racing. I like that recent race on Oct 17th at Parx Racing where he ran second. YO SOY EL LOBO - Strong return on investment for this jock and trainer duo. Last two speed ratings (90, 90) were dominant. Anything close to that in this race and this one could win easily. Earnings per race entered is something that I feel can be a valuable factor. This racer is ranked number one in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 THOMAS KNIGHT (ML=4/1), #7 P J'S BAD BOY (ML=9/2), #5 THOUGHT PARTNER (ML=5/1),

THOMAS KNIGHT - Difficult to put any money on this gelding on the front end. Likes to land in the top three though. P J'S BAD BOY - The lack of works has to make one concerned despite the good effort in the last event. This gelding registered a speed rating in his last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event. THOUGHT PARTNER - Last ran on October 2nd at Laurel, finishing sixth. Not likely to perk up off of that performance in today's race. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to register a better rating than in the last race to vie in this dirt sprint. Acquired his best rating last time around the track, but the track conditions may have played a major role in the outcome.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #8 NORM THE GIANT to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 84

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 2 QUEMATIERRAS 3/1

# 4 BEER THIRTY 4/1

# 5 ZOOMIN FOR KASH 8/5

My selection in this race is QUEMATIERRAS. He has been travelling admirably as of late while recording solid Equibase Speed Figures. This gelding has a good win percent in short races. With Wooten controlling the reins on him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early in this race. BEER THIRTY - In against a much softer lot than last time out. He has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the most favorable in this group of horses. ZOOMIN FOR KASH - Have to play this gelding with the formidable earnings per start in short events. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the most competitive class numbers of this field.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Monday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Finger Lakes (2nd) Stone Crab, 3-1
(7th) Ghost Ship, 5-1


Mahoning Valley (4th) Classic Reward, 7-2
(8th) Good Song, 7-2


Mountaineer (1st) Nickers in a Twist, 8-1
(8th) Fightmaster, 3-1


Parx Racing (2nd) Zen's Sunrise, 3-1
(9th) Gypsy Fire, 4-1


Turf Paradise (4th) Good Company, 7-2
(7th) Angel de Amour, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday’s six-pack

Here are the six most popular picks in Week 8 of the Westgate Super Contest in Las Vegas:

1– Patriots (742) -6.5- W

2– Chargers (631) +5.5- L

3– Raiders (627) +1.5- W

4– Falcons (463) -3- L

5– Saints (460) +2.5- W

6– Eagles (434) +4.5- L– Really bad beat

Season record: 17-30-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #8 - Post: 4:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,900 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#12 PROBABLY (ML=5/2)
#11 GOOD SONG (ML=7/2)
#3 DANCEWHILEITSTORMS (ML=9/2)


PROBABLY - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. Trainer Sullivan moves this thoroughbred down in class to face a less competitive field. Look for a good effort at this level. The 67 latest race speed fig looks mighty good on paper. GOOD SONG - When this jock and conditioner work together you have to take a look. Pilares and Poole have been great together. The October 12th event at Belterra Park was at a class level of (77). Dropping to a lower class rank considerably, so she should be in a good position to win. A repeat of that most recent race on October 12th where she registered a speed figure of 67 looks lofty enough to prove victorious in this race. DANCEWHILEITSTORMS - Mare took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LITTLE MISS MORGAN (ML=8/1),

LITTLE MISS MORGAN - Tough to support any horse that runs as well as she did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #12 PROBABLY on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

12 with [3,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,11,12] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[3,11,12] with [3,11,12] with [3,5,6,11,12] with [3,5,6,11,12] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday’s six-pack

Here are the six most popular picks in Week 8 of the Westgate Super Contest in Las Vegas:

1– Patriots (742) -6.5- W

2– Chargers (631) +5.5- L

3– Raiders (627) +1.5- W

4– Falcons (463) -3- L

5– Saints (460) +2.5- W

6– Eagles (434) +4.5- L– Really bad beat

Season record: 17-30-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Monday 10/31 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 5,6/1,8/2,4,8/4,5/1,7,10 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 4,5/1,7,10/7,8,9/5,6,8 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 3,8,9,10/2,3,9/1,5,6/2,3 = $72

MEET STATS: 450 - 1333 / $2351.60 BEST BETS: 71 - 122 / $221.70

SPOT PLAYS: 30 - 122 / $195.20

Best Bet: DRIFT PANIC (1st)

Spot Play: SHADOW MARGEAUX (11th)


Race 1

(6) DRIFT PANIC has won five straight after starting her career with 13 straight losses. She goes for a potent barn here in her first Mohawk start; top call. (5) DANCIN IN THE NUDE has been racing against tougher for several starts and she gets a good post to work with here; using. (8) TRILIFE has also faced better, but the vet scratch and outer post here are factors that could work against her. (4) NEVER ANY DOUBT missed three weeks prior to her last start now she goes six days later this time; consider for exotics.

Race 2

(8) WARAWEE PROTON is at the top of his game and he doesn't need to lead throughout to win here; slight nod. (1) TAURUS DU PARC will push the rail and no doubt try to take these all the way. If the choice gets hung out early, it improves his chances greatly. (4) INCREADABLE FRANK has been racing decently at this level ad he is a threat from off-the-pace here. (9) GIRL DRAMA is another that will be passing rivals late, but she may get too far back early from this post; minor share predicted.

Race 3

(2) CONNIE MACH made a big move on a wet track last time but she tired late. She could race much closer to her effort two back where she took a new life's mark if the track is fast here. (8) DOCS SAUSILITO was part of a wicked early pace in a race where the leaders all stopped late last time. She could rebound at a good price here with a different trip. (4) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX has been racing great and she beat older in the Flamboro Mares Preferred last time. She should be included in the Pick 5 in her current sharp form. (6) DEWAR N SODA should be the early leader here and she can stick around for a slice.

Race 4

(4) TEMPUS SEELSTER went some big trips down south in September and she fits well here in the first leg of this stakes series. (5) LADY MARINA has been idle since June but she had a sharp qualifier on October 20th and she has shown she can win racing off the shelf; using. (2) DOCS DIVA was nailed late by a class-dropper last time and she is sharp, but her record would suggest she is more likely to take a minor share. (1) TOP ROYAL should be heard from leaving from the inside; consider for vertical wagers.

Race 5

(7) WORK THAT MAGIC has been racing great from close range. She should be tough in here. (1) I WANT KANDY has built her confidence up racing at Flamboro for several starts. She should be an early speed threat in here, at a minimum. (10) MAGICAL VALENTINE missed four weeks between starts before her last race and understandably tired late. She can be a threat here at a square price. (4) JAGERSRO improved her late speed last time and she can share here off a similar trip.

Race 6

(7) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER went a long way uncovered last week, but he showed grit and determination digging in late for the win; call to repeat. (9) WHO DOESNT is another that went a long trip and he almost survived it, too; using. (8) GIVE EM HECK wasn't beaten far by the choice now he goes for Moreau first time off the claim. He is another to toss on your horizontal tickets. (5) LIFEIMITATESART - a veteran who raced for several years here at the start of his career - has a solid record this season and can be a threat if he is ready to go off the shelf here.

Race 7

(6) LIGHT FT RD ran into a rival on the turn and went off stride for a few strides on the far turn last week, which likely cost him a win. He steps up slightly here which should help his price. I'll give him the nod. (8) JENKINS CREEK squandered a big lead late to one rival now he comes up tagged for the top trainer; using. (5) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE could benefit by moving to the middle of the gate here. He can beat these if he is positioned better at the 3/4 pole. (4) NOBETTORPLACEBE is likely to take a smaller share again.

Race 8

(3) WHAMBAMTHANKYOUMAM went a long mile last time after missing a month's action. An expected better trip puts her right there this time. (10) SUNRISE AVENUE is another that returns much quicker this time and she can be a big threat here despite the post. (9) ONE TOO MANY is worth a look here off the shelf with a sharp qualifier in tow. (8) ABSOLUT SEELSTER is in sharp form and could better this prediction with a decent trip.

Race 9

(2) AWESOMENESS roared up to just miss at big odds last week. He'll be a shorter price tonight, but he has a big shot vs. these. (8) EAST END has been racing okay vs. some decent company. He fits well here and should be a big factor. (3) LYONS SANDS - winner of 4 of his last 5 - is sure to be sent hard off the gate here and he is the one to chase down. (1) NEW STANDARD should pass most of these late to make the ticket.

Race 10

(5) YORK SEELSTEER made a threatening move on the final turn last week, but the pace wasn't slowing enough. Expect a more aggressive steer this time. (6) PAR INTENDED was closing well when a well-beaten third in a quick mile last week. He should be much closer at the finish here. (1) LONEWOLF CURRIER is an able veteran that comes up tagged for his move to Mohawk; using. (7) LETS WAIT AND SEE should be closing for a piece again.

Race 11

(3) SHADOW MARGEAUX took lots of play last week then won a three-pronged battle for early command with the prize being gaining the lead on a night where the front was stopping every race. I'll stick with him and hope for a price here. (2) HOUSE OF TERROR drops off a decent start and he should be closer here. (7) B N BAD can use his good early foot to get position and then stick around for a share. (6) KINMUNDYS STRYKER was flying late at Flamboro. He can crash the exotics at a price here. (5) MILLIONDOLLARCELL can pass many of these late if he isn't stacked up on excess cover.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Monday 10/31 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF

MEET STATS: 273 - 1147 / $1,780.00

BEST BETS: 31 - 107 / $148.40

Best Bet: SAIL TO THE BEACH (9th)

Spot Play: NIPS BEACH GIRL (11th)


Race 1

(2) SANTIAGO STYLE Sharp in his last two starts here and figures to put his best foot forward. (3) CARLOS DANGER fits well in this event and the 3-hole should put him right in the mix. (6) VINOVIO was caught for win honors last time out.

Race 2

(1) TIME CLOCK HANOVER gets serious post relief where this filly got the job done two trips ago; ready for action. (2) STONEBRIDGE PEARL Sophomore miss has good speed and should handle the half-mile oval. (5) PHOOS GIRL put in a mild rally for the show spot recently.

Race 3

(5) WITHOUT A DAUT showed good early pace last time around and she is very capable of getting the job done with a favorable trip. (2) GIVEMEYOURHEART closed well to grab the show spot last time out. (6) RACE WITH GRACE came wide to get up for the place spot last week.

Race 4

(2) IDEAL PRINCESS is razor sharp scoring her second straight victory and now she moves to the 2-hole; the one to deny. (5) WINNERS OVER is knocking at the door based on her last three outings. (1) LIVE ODDS came up the cones to grab the victory last out.

Race 5

(4) MARLA MCGIVERS ran in a good fourth and that might be an indication she is ready to greet the cameraman for pictures. (3) LO HOLD A MOONBEAN was sent down the road last time out for all the glory. (5) FROG POND PRINCESS just missed the victory in her last two starts by a nose and a head respectively; watch out.

Race 6

(7) DERECHO got the job done going away last out and this gelding is in fine form and catches a weak group tonight; the pick. (2) CLASSIC BREEZE has done well in his last three outings at Freehold; threat. (1) GRAND THEFT gets post relief and that should help his cause.

Race 7

(1) HEARTS WILD gets Brennan and now moves to the rail so this filly can boss these at her best. (4) SOUTHWIND TANGO led every step of the way for all the glory last time around. (5) UPSIDE SURPRISE is back at Yonkers where she closed strongly for the victory two trips ago.

Race 8

(5) WINNA WINNA has hit the board 13 of 20 starts this year and he put in a sharp effort last out; can take this for team Brennan/Burke. (3) WINNING LINC has wheeled off three straight victories and appears to be the one to beat. (2) BOOK BINGE got the job done wire to window in his Pocono finale.

Race 9

Showdown against last week's contestants and (5) SAIL TO THE BEACH was awesome in her last victory here. Pacing miss will be odds on and tough to down. (3) HOT LEMONADE did not race badly in her most recent outing. (6) SHEZAREALDEAL could not get past the top two picks last out but she is very capable of making a quick turnaround.

Race 10

(3) SHINOBU HANOVER came outside to get up for win honors last time out and this gelding might have found his winning form to grab two in a row. (1) LONE SURVIVOR put in a nice run to grab the victory at Pocono last week; dangerous. (4) JK HEAVEN SENT was used in the early stages and tired badly last out but he is better than his last flop so watch out.

Race 11

(3) NIPS BEACH GIRL gets post relief and should show more speed in this event; ready for glory with Sears in the bike. (4) MAJOR MILLIE moves down the ladder and Bartlett gets the call on this sophomore filly; big threat. (2) AMERICAN IVY is knocking at the door based on her last two tries; not out of this for Team Miller.