Scott Rickenbach
New York Yankees Money Line (-) @ Cleveland
The Yankees are pricier than I like to use as a guaranteed pick. However, that doesn't mean that there is not value with the Yankees even in this price range. The fact is that the Indians are dealing with a ton of injury issues right now and they also are at a pitching disadvantage in this one. Yes, Jeremy Sowers put up good numbers in relief in his last outing. However, that came against the Rays in a game where Tampa Bay was already up huge. That totally changes the mindset of the hitters and that is a completely different situation from what he faces today
Tonight, Sowers makes his start against the Yankees and he faces hitters that aren't relaxing in a blowout! The Yanks will be focused at the plate and they will do damage against the southpaw Indians hurler who is now over-rated after his most recent outing. As for the Yankees Joba Chamberlain, he should enjoy plenty of success in shutting down an Indians lineup that is riddled by injuries right now. Consider a small play on the New York Yankees on the money line on Monday.
New York Yankees Money Line (-) @ Cleveland
The Yankees are pricier than I like to use as a guaranteed pick. However, that doesn't mean that there is not value with the Yankees even in this price range. The fact is that the Indians are dealing with a ton of injury issues right now and they also are at a pitching disadvantage in this one. Yes, Jeremy Sowers put up good numbers in relief in his last outing. However, that came against the Rays in a game where Tampa Bay was already up huge. That totally changes the mindset of the hitters and that is a completely different situation from what he faces today
Tonight, Sowers makes his start against the Yankees and he faces hitters that aren't relaxing in a blowout! The Yanks will be focused at the plate and they will do damage against the southpaw Indians hurler who is now over-rated after his most recent outing. As for the Yankees Joba Chamberlain, he should enjoy plenty of success in shutting down an Indians lineup that is riddled by injuries right now. Consider a small play on the New York Yankees on the money line on Monday.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers +102
The Brew Crew is showing excellent value in the underdog role this evening against a Marlins club that is only 9-14 at home this season. Suppan has been one of the best pitchers in baseball at defying the odds as he is 11-4 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Florida will likely struggle to score runs tonight as it is a pathetic 4-11 against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season, losing by an average score of 3.9 to 6.6 against them. The Brewers are 14-11 on the road this season so we have to take the better team at a bargain price here.
1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers +102
The Brew Crew is showing excellent value in the underdog role this evening against a Marlins club that is only 9-14 at home this season. Suppan has been one of the best pitchers in baseball at defying the odds as he is 11-4 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Florida will likely struggle to score runs tonight as it is a pathetic 4-11 against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season, losing by an average score of 3.9 to 6.6 against them. The Brewers are 14-11 on the road this season so we have to take the better team at a bargain price here.
JrTips
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES vs. SAN DIEGO PADRES
The Philadelphia Phillies have the major league's best road record, but they face the San Diego Padres(25-25) who try to extend their 10-game winning streak at Petco Park in the opener of a three-game series.The NL East-leading Phillies (28-20) will try to continue their dominance in San Diego after winning their third straight Sunday over Washington. The Phillies are 12-4 at Petco Park since 2004, and has won 14 of its last 18 in San Diego although the Padres are 17-6 at home, including the franchise's first 9-0 homestand from May 15-24. Adrian Gonzalez leads MLB with 20 home runs. Gonzalez, who batted .364 (4 for 11) with two homers and three RBIs as the Padres took two of three in Philadelphia from April 17-19 is 2 for 8 lifetime against Phillies scheduled starter Joe Blanton, who looks to build off his best start of the season. The right-hander won his second straight start Tuesday, striking out a career-high 11 in seven scoreless innings of a 5-3 win over Florida. Kevin Correia (1-3, 5.11) takes the mound for the Padres after giving up season highs of six runs and nine hits in his last start - a 6-5 loss at Arizona on Tuesday that snapped San Diego's 10-game winning streak. Correia is 1-1 with a 4.60 ERA in one start and seven relief appearances against Philadelphia. Howard is batting .375 with three homers and 14 RBIs in 13 career games in San Diego. He went 5 for 12 with a double, triple and home run in the three-game set against the Padres in April. Utley batted .308 with three homers and six RBIs in that series. The Phillies have had a history of success against the padres and today's struggling starting pitcher Correia which should continue tonight.
TAKE PHILADELPHIA-113
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES vs. SAN DIEGO PADRES
The Philadelphia Phillies have the major league's best road record, but they face the San Diego Padres(25-25) who try to extend their 10-game winning streak at Petco Park in the opener of a three-game series.The NL East-leading Phillies (28-20) will try to continue their dominance in San Diego after winning their third straight Sunday over Washington. The Phillies are 12-4 at Petco Park since 2004, and has won 14 of its last 18 in San Diego although the Padres are 17-6 at home, including the franchise's first 9-0 homestand from May 15-24. Adrian Gonzalez leads MLB with 20 home runs. Gonzalez, who batted .364 (4 for 11) with two homers and three RBIs as the Padres took two of three in Philadelphia from April 17-19 is 2 for 8 lifetime against Phillies scheduled starter Joe Blanton, who looks to build off his best start of the season. The right-hander won his second straight start Tuesday, striking out a career-high 11 in seven scoreless innings of a 5-3 win over Florida. Kevin Correia (1-3, 5.11) takes the mound for the Padres after giving up season highs of six runs and nine hits in his last start - a 6-5 loss at Arizona on Tuesday that snapped San Diego's 10-game winning streak. Correia is 1-1 with a 4.60 ERA in one start and seven relief appearances against Philadelphia. Howard is batting .375 with three homers and 14 RBIs in 13 career games in San Diego. He went 5 for 12 with a double, triple and home run in the three-game set against the Padres in April. Utley batted .308 with three homers and six RBIs in that series. The Phillies have had a history of success against the padres and today's struggling starting pitcher Correia which should continue tonight.
TAKE PHILADELPHIA-113
GamblersWorld
Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: MLB
Game: 7:05PM New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians
Prediction: New York -155
Current Line: New York -155
Over/Under: 10.5
Reason: The New York Yankees and the Cleveland Indians will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Progressive Field.
Righthander Joba Chamberlain will take the mound for the Yankees to start this game. Chamberlain is 2-1 this season with a 3.97 ERA.
It'll be Jeremy Sowers toeing the rubber for the Indians in this contest. Lefthander Sowers is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Yankees listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Indians, while the game's total is sitting at 10½.
The Indians defeated the Yankees 5-4 as a +130 underdog on Sunday. The nine runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (10).
Jhonny Peralta was 3-4 with three RBI, including the game-winning run in the bottom of the ninth inning for Cleveland and Asdrubal Cabrera was 2-4 with a pair of runs scored in the win.
Mark Teixeira homered and drove in four runs for the Yankees.
Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: MLB
Game: 7:05PM New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians
Prediction: New York -155
Current Line: New York -155
Over/Under: 10.5
Reason: The New York Yankees and the Cleveland Indians will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Progressive Field.
Righthander Joba Chamberlain will take the mound for the Yankees to start this game. Chamberlain is 2-1 this season with a 3.97 ERA.
It'll be Jeremy Sowers toeing the rubber for the Indians in this contest. Lefthander Sowers is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Yankees listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Indians, while the game's total is sitting at 10½.
The Indians defeated the Yankees 5-4 as a +130 underdog on Sunday. The nine runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (10).
Jhonny Peralta was 3-4 with three RBI, including the game-winning run in the bottom of the ninth inning for Cleveland and Asdrubal Cabrera was 2-4 with a pair of runs scored in the win.
Mark Teixeira homered and drove in four runs for the Yankees.
Karl Garrett
Philadelphia -125 at SAN DIEGO
Late night tonight at Petco, go with the visiting Phillies over the upstart Padres.
San Diego had a nice run, but the Fathers have cooled off a tad, as they have dropped 3 of their last 5 games, and starter Kevin Correia is just 1-3 with an over 5 ERA this season.
The Phillies head west having won 3 straight, and 7 of their last 10, and playing on the road is really where Philadelphia has excelled, as the World Series champs are 16-6 away from home this season.
Joe Blanton looks to build on his best start in quite some time, as the burly righty just worked 7 scoreless in a win over division-rival Florida.
Philadelphia is 5-2 the last 2 years at Petco Park, and I will back them to open this series with the win tonight as the small road favorite.
4♦ PHILADELPHIA
Philadelphia -125 at SAN DIEGO
Late night tonight at Petco, go with the visiting Phillies over the upstart Padres.
San Diego had a nice run, but the Fathers have cooled off a tad, as they have dropped 3 of their last 5 games, and starter Kevin Correia is just 1-3 with an over 5 ERA this season.
The Phillies head west having won 3 straight, and 7 of their last 10, and playing on the road is really where Philadelphia has excelled, as the World Series champs are 16-6 away from home this season.
Joe Blanton looks to build on his best start in quite some time, as the burly righty just worked 7 scoreless in a win over division-rival Florida.
Philadelphia is 5-2 the last 2 years at Petco Park, and I will back them to open this series with the win tonight as the small road favorite.
4♦ PHILADELPHIA
LT Profits
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Livan Hernandez has turned back the clock for the New York Mets lately, and Ian Snell had been pitching well for the Pittsburgh Pirates until his last start, and we do not see the total output of this game reaching double-digits.
Seemingly out of nowhere, the ageless Hernandez has reeled of five Quality Starts in his last six outings, and his last start may be his best one yet. Hernandez tossed a Complete Game vs. the Washington Nationals in a 6-1 Mets victory last Tuesday, and he also posted a Quality Start vs. these Pirates in his only appearance against them three weeks ago, allowing two runs in six innings.
Now Snell has always been a head case, but his ability is undeniable and he seemed to turn a corner, posting seven Quality Starts out of eight starts entering his last outing vs. the Chicago Cubs. Well, make it seven out of nine after the Cubs hit him hard that day. Still, Snell did bounce back nicely from his last bad start, and he too had a Quality Start in his only start vs. the Mets this season, surrendering three runs and six hits in six innings.
Finally, the Mets offense has tailed off vs. right-handed pitchers lately, batting a modest .253 against them the last 10 games, and the erratic Pirates have hit just .236 vs. right-handers over this same span, so look for a safe Under here.
Pick: Mets/Pirates Under 9.5
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Livan Hernandez has turned back the clock for the New York Mets lately, and Ian Snell had been pitching well for the Pittsburgh Pirates until his last start, and we do not see the total output of this game reaching double-digits.
Seemingly out of nowhere, the ageless Hernandez has reeled of five Quality Starts in his last six outings, and his last start may be his best one yet. Hernandez tossed a Complete Game vs. the Washington Nationals in a 6-1 Mets victory last Tuesday, and he also posted a Quality Start vs. these Pirates in his only appearance against them three weeks ago, allowing two runs in six innings.
Now Snell has always been a head case, but his ability is undeniable and he seemed to turn a corner, posting seven Quality Starts out of eight starts entering his last outing vs. the Chicago Cubs. Well, make it seven out of nine after the Cubs hit him hard that day. Still, Snell did bounce back nicely from his last bad start, and he too had a Quality Start in his only start vs. the Mets this season, surrendering three runs and six hits in six innings.
Finally, the Mets offense has tailed off vs. right-handed pitchers lately, batting a modest .253 against them the last 10 games, and the erratic Pirates have hit just .236 vs. right-handers over this same span, so look for a safe Under here.
Pick: Mets/Pirates Under 9.5
Tom Freese
Cincinnati at St.Louis
Cincinnati is 8-0 on the road with Edinson Volquez vs. winning teams and they are 14-3 with Volquez if they are off a loss. The Reds are 24-9 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 7-3 their last 10 Monday games. St. Louis is 2-8 with Todd Wellemeyer in his last 10 starts vs. winning teams. Wellemeyer is 3-8 vs. NL Central teams. The Cardinals are 2-6 at home off a road trip of 7 or more days and they are 2-5 in Game One of a series. PLAY ON CINCINNATI (Volquez vs. Wellemeyer)
Cincinnati at St.Louis
Cincinnati is 8-0 on the road with Edinson Volquez vs. winning teams and they are 14-3 with Volquez if they are off a loss. The Reds are 24-9 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 7-3 their last 10 Monday games. St. Louis is 2-8 with Todd Wellemeyer in his last 10 starts vs. winning teams. Wellemeyer is 3-8 vs. NL Central teams. The Cardinals are 2-6 at home off a road trip of 7 or more days and they are 2-5 in Game One of a series. PLAY ON CINCINNATI (Volquez vs. Wellemeyer)
Cajun Sports
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
Petco Park will be the site of a three-game series between the host San Diego Padres and the visiting Philadelphia Phillies with the first game set for Monday night at 10:05PM EST. The Phillies open a ten-game road trip in San Diego and the NL East leading Phillies also have the best road record in the majors posting a record of 16-6 W/L this season. Petco Park has been a favorite of the Phillies with a record of 12-4 W/L since it opened back in 2004, they have won fourteen of their last eighteen in San Diego overall. The Padres will send Kevin Correia to the bump with his 1-3 W/L record and ERA of 5.11 on the season. Correia was roughed up in his last outing which was a loss at Arizona 6 to 5 giving up six runs and nine hits. He is 1-1 W/L with an ERA of 4.60 in one start and seven relief appearances versus the Phillies. Philadelphia will counter with Joe Blanton who is coming off his second straight win and in his last outing he struck out a career high eleven in seven scoreless innings of work in a 5 to 3 win versus the Marlins. The Phillies are 4-0 W/L their last four as a road favorite of -150 or less, 21-8 W/L as a road favorite, 37-18 W/L versus teams with a winning record at home, 13-3 W/L their last 16 Blanton’s starts and 6-0 W/L if he starts game one of a series. The Padres are 2-5 W/L in Correia’s last seven starts as an underdog. Lay the short price as the Phillies capture game one of this series on Monday night in San Diego.
Graded Selection: 2* Philadelphia Phillies 5 San Diego Padres 3
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
Petco Park will be the site of a three-game series between the host San Diego Padres and the visiting Philadelphia Phillies with the first game set for Monday night at 10:05PM EST. The Phillies open a ten-game road trip in San Diego and the NL East leading Phillies also have the best road record in the majors posting a record of 16-6 W/L this season. Petco Park has been a favorite of the Phillies with a record of 12-4 W/L since it opened back in 2004, they have won fourteen of their last eighteen in San Diego overall. The Padres will send Kevin Correia to the bump with his 1-3 W/L record and ERA of 5.11 on the season. Correia was roughed up in his last outing which was a loss at Arizona 6 to 5 giving up six runs and nine hits. He is 1-1 W/L with an ERA of 4.60 in one start and seven relief appearances versus the Phillies. Philadelphia will counter with Joe Blanton who is coming off his second straight win and in his last outing he struck out a career high eleven in seven scoreless innings of work in a 5 to 3 win versus the Marlins. The Phillies are 4-0 W/L their last four as a road favorite of -150 or less, 21-8 W/L as a road favorite, 37-18 W/L versus teams with a winning record at home, 13-3 W/L their last 16 Blanton’s starts and 6-0 W/L if he starts game one of a series. The Padres are 2-5 W/L in Correia’s last seven starts as an underdog. Lay the short price as the Phillies capture game one of this series on Monday night in San Diego.
Graded Selection: 2* Philadelphia Phillies 5 San Diego Padres 3
Jimmy The Moose
New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Under
The under is 6-2-1 in the Yankees last 9 games. In their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter the under is 6-2-2. The under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a lefty. The under is 5-1 in the Indians last 6 games following a win. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. In their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter the under is 11-3. The under is 7-1 in the Yankees last 8 trips to Cleveland. The under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Play the under.
New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Under
The under is 6-2-1 in the Yankees last 9 games. In their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter the under is 6-2-2. The under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a lefty. The under is 5-1 in the Indians last 6 games following a win. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. In their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter the under is 11-3. The under is 7-1 in the Yankees last 8 trips to Cleveland. The under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Play the under.
Frank Jordan
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals
Play: Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati got swept over the weekend in Milwaukee as they lost some close games. Cincinnati will look to get back to winning with Volquez on the mound who is 4-2 with an era of 4.25, but has struggled in his last two starts. St. Louis is playing good ball at home with 17 wins in 26 games and come home off a 4-2 road trip. Look for Volquez and Cincinnati to snap their funk as Pujols and St. Louis are quiet in their first game back home. Play Cincinnati
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals
Play: Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati got swept over the weekend in Milwaukee as they lost some close games. Cincinnati will look to get back to winning with Volquez on the mound who is 4-2 with an era of 4.25, but has struggled in his last two starts. St. Louis is playing good ball at home with 17 wins in 26 games and come home off a 4-2 road trip. Look for Volquez and Cincinnati to snap their funk as Pujols and St. Louis are quiet in their first game back home. Play Cincinnati
Matt Rivers
For Monday take some coin back with the Orioles.
Seattle definitely had a very solid series in Anaheim over the weekend and Jarrod Washburn is a decent enough lefthander but when push comes to shove to get some money back with the Orioles in this spot is enough to give it a go.
I like Rich Hill. No the last start was not great but the Southpaw has shown me enough in parts of his stints with the Cubs and now in Baltimore that the guy is alright. I'm not saying he is the next Cy Young by any means but Hill should be fine against a mediocre at the very best Mariner offense and with Matt Wieters now in the bigs this Orioles lineup is pretty solid. Throw in the future All-Star with guys like Roberts, Markakis, Mora and a red hot Luke Scott among others and Baltimore is the more potent squad with the sticks and all in all is the better and more well balanced overall club.
This is far from the Lock of my Life but on this small all baseball slate I'll back Hill and the O's plus a little bit.
For Monday take some coin back with the Orioles.
Seattle definitely had a very solid series in Anaheim over the weekend and Jarrod Washburn is a decent enough lefthander but when push comes to shove to get some money back with the Orioles in this spot is enough to give it a go.
I like Rich Hill. No the last start was not great but the Southpaw has shown me enough in parts of his stints with the Cubs and now in Baltimore that the guy is alright. I'm not saying he is the next Cy Young by any means but Hill should be fine against a mediocre at the very best Mariner offense and with Matt Wieters now in the bigs this Orioles lineup is pretty solid. Throw in the future All-Star with guys like Roberts, Markakis, Mora and a red hot Luke Scott among others and Baltimore is the more potent squad with the sticks and all in all is the better and more well balanced overall club.
This is far from the Lock of my Life but on this small all baseball slate I'll back Hill and the O's plus a little bit.
Red Dog Sports
Baltimore at Seattle
Play: Over 9
The Orioles have played 47 overs, 21 unders and 3 pushes in their last 71 on the road. They have played 11 overs, 5 unders and one push in the last 17 in Seattle. The ERA of Hill is 6.14 in his last 3 starts and Washburn for Seattle has an ERA of 5.29 in his last 3. Look for an over to profit on Monday night in Seattle.
Baltimore at Seattle
Play: Over 9
The Orioles have played 47 overs, 21 unders and 3 pushes in their last 71 on the road. They have played 11 overs, 5 unders and one push in the last 17 in Seattle. The ERA of Hill is 6.14 in his last 3 starts and Washburn for Seattle has an ERA of 5.29 in his last 3. Look for an over to profit on Monday night in Seattle.
Drew Gordon
Milwaukee at FLORIDA -115
Two pitchers going in opposite directions, and while the Brewers are coming off a strong 3-game sweep of the Reds, I'm not convinced that translates very well tonight in South Florida.
While there's no doubt the Fish are struggling since starting the season red-hot, it isn't because of their pitching staff, and definately isn't because of lefty Andrew Miller. The young southpaw has started to show some of the promise the Marlins envisioned when they traded for him, allowing 4 earned over his last 13 innings (2 starts), striking out 13 in the process! He's been the victim of some pretty shoddy run support, but things are looking better for him in this match up.
Herein lies the problem for the Brewers, as Jeff Suppan continues to give up home runs like their going out of style, allowing 3 against the Cards in his last one, upping his total to 12 allowed on the season! That's bodes well for the free swinging Marlins, who knocked one out of the park in each of the last 4 times they've seen him. Also, while his 3-1 record on the road is good, his 4.54 ERA away is nothing to write home about. Out-pitching Andrew Miller, who's just starting to "get it," will be a lot easier said than done tonight.
Finally, neither team is swiging the bats particularly well, but with the Brew Crew batting just .246 against lefties on the road, their backers should be worried matching up against Miller, especially since they've never seen him. It's no secret the Marlins have been struggling, but after going 4-3 over their last 7 games, thanks to their pitching staff posting a 2.66 ERA over that span, I say they get back on track at home in support of their young southpaw in this one.
Small play on Florida behind Miller over Milwaukee and Suppan in this MLB match up.
1♦ FLORIDA
Milwaukee at FLORIDA -115
Two pitchers going in opposite directions, and while the Brewers are coming off a strong 3-game sweep of the Reds, I'm not convinced that translates very well tonight in South Florida.
While there's no doubt the Fish are struggling since starting the season red-hot, it isn't because of their pitching staff, and definately isn't because of lefty Andrew Miller. The young southpaw has started to show some of the promise the Marlins envisioned when they traded for him, allowing 4 earned over his last 13 innings (2 starts), striking out 13 in the process! He's been the victim of some pretty shoddy run support, but things are looking better for him in this match up.
Herein lies the problem for the Brewers, as Jeff Suppan continues to give up home runs like their going out of style, allowing 3 against the Cards in his last one, upping his total to 12 allowed on the season! That's bodes well for the free swinging Marlins, who knocked one out of the park in each of the last 4 times they've seen him. Also, while his 3-1 record on the road is good, his 4.54 ERA away is nothing to write home about. Out-pitching Andrew Miller, who's just starting to "get it," will be a lot easier said than done tonight.
Finally, neither team is swiging the bats particularly well, but with the Brew Crew batting just .246 against lefties on the road, their backers should be worried matching up against Miller, especially since they've never seen him. It's no secret the Marlins have been struggling, but after going 4-3 over their last 7 games, thanks to their pitching staff posting a 2.66 ERA over that span, I say they get back on track at home in support of their young southpaw in this one.
Small play on Florida behind Miller over Milwaukee and Suppan in this MLB match up.
1♦ FLORIDA
EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION
Game: Oakland A's @ Chicago White Sox
(916) Chicago White Sox -$134
(Listing Colon and Cahill)
I look for the White Sox starting pitcher Bartolo
Colon to have a quality outing. In his last three
starts Colon's ERA is only 1.32. Oakland's starting
pitcher Trevor Cahill is 0-3 in his last three starts
with and ERA of 6.32. I look for the Chicago bats
to due some damage to Cahill in this game.
Lay the juice with the White Sox.
2009 Free Selections Record 81-67 (54.7%)
Game: Oakland A's @ Chicago White Sox
(916) Chicago White Sox -$134
(Listing Colon and Cahill)
I look for the White Sox starting pitcher Bartolo
Colon to have a quality outing. In his last three
starts Colon's ERA is only 1.32. Oakland's starting
pitcher Trevor Cahill is 0-3 in his last three starts
with and ERA of 6.32. I look for the Chicago bats
to due some damage to Cahill in this game.
Lay the juice with the White Sox.
2009 Free Selections Record 81-67 (54.7%)
Craig Davis
Monday's Lineup
30 Dime ---- Phillies-Padres OVER
Phillies-Padres OVER --- It's been a while since I've released a TOTAL play, but I just can't help myself today... this one is too good to be true. Vegas has looked at the Phillies lack of offense recently combined with the fact the Padres really aren't a run-producing team at home, and have listed this total much lower than it should be without regard to who the starting pitchers are.
First off, let's be real, we all know the Phillies are capable of scoring runs at will with Rollins, Utley, Ibanez, Howard, etc. This offense is loaded with talent and, despite their lack of production recently, they're capable of going over the total by themselves. The Phils have averaged over 6 runs per game on the road this year, not to mention the fact that all three games previously this year with San Diego went over tonight's posted total (8 as of the time of this writing). In that three-game series in Philadelphia back in April, these were the final scores: 5-4, 8-5 and 8-7. Granted, tonight's starting pitchers didn't throw in any of those games, but that might actually be a blessing in disguise. Neither pitcher tonight poses much of a threat and is clearly capable of allowing 4 or 5 runs in just a few innings of work.
Joe Blanton was brought over from Oakland last year to help the Phils get over the hump, and although he wasn't great he did his job and you know the rest of the story. However, this season has been quite different for Blanton, as he currently sits with a 6.14 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP, and just hasn't been himself this season. Blanton has allowed four or more runs five separate times this season and two of his last three outings have been on the road and were not good (four and five ERs).
Kevin Correia counters for San Diego, and he has been equally bad this season with his 5.11 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Correia's last start, at Arizona, lasted just over five innings where he allowed 9 hits and 6 ERs. Just once this year has Correia has pitched 7 innings, but as good as Philadelphia is, it's hard to imagine seeing him last more than five innings.
This game is OVER by the 7th inning and you can rest easy the final two innings. One and only play of the day on the Phillies/Padres OVER the total.
Monday's Lineup
30 Dime ---- Phillies-Padres OVER
Phillies-Padres OVER --- It's been a while since I've released a TOTAL play, but I just can't help myself today... this one is too good to be true. Vegas has looked at the Phillies lack of offense recently combined with the fact the Padres really aren't a run-producing team at home, and have listed this total much lower than it should be without regard to who the starting pitchers are.
First off, let's be real, we all know the Phillies are capable of scoring runs at will with Rollins, Utley, Ibanez, Howard, etc. This offense is loaded with talent and, despite their lack of production recently, they're capable of going over the total by themselves. The Phils have averaged over 6 runs per game on the road this year, not to mention the fact that all three games previously this year with San Diego went over tonight's posted total (8 as of the time of this writing). In that three-game series in Philadelphia back in April, these were the final scores: 5-4, 8-5 and 8-7. Granted, tonight's starting pitchers didn't throw in any of those games, but that might actually be a blessing in disguise. Neither pitcher tonight poses much of a threat and is clearly capable of allowing 4 or 5 runs in just a few innings of work.
Joe Blanton was brought over from Oakland last year to help the Phils get over the hump, and although he wasn't great he did his job and you know the rest of the story. However, this season has been quite different for Blanton, as he currently sits with a 6.14 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP, and just hasn't been himself this season. Blanton has allowed four or more runs five separate times this season and two of his last three outings have been on the road and were not good (four and five ERs).
Kevin Correia counters for San Diego, and he has been equally bad this season with his 5.11 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Correia's last start, at Arizona, lasted just over five innings where he allowed 9 hits and 6 ERs. Just once this year has Correia has pitched 7 innings, but as good as Philadelphia is, it's hard to imagine seeing him last more than five innings.
This game is OVER by the 7th inning and you can rest easy the final two innings. One and only play of the day on the Phillies/Padres OVER the total.
