Al DeMarco
Monday's Play
5 Dime Run Line Release
Chicago Cubs (Dempster) -1 1/2 Runs over San Francisco (Sanchez)
The Cubs are getting healthy and they're finally starting to hit the way everyone expected as the offense keyed a three-game weekend sweep of the Marlins by putting 20 runs on the board. Keying the attack was Derrek Lee, whose grand slam Sunday was his second round-tripper in as many days. The lineup should get an additional boost tonight against San Francisco with the expected return of third baseman Aramis Ramirez, who was batting .352 with three homers and 14 RBI before being sidelined the past week. And Ramirez has been a Giant-killer at Wrigley Field, hitting .348 and driving in seven runs in San Francisco's last six visits to the Windy City.
But Ramirez hasn't been the only Cub feasting on San Fran's pitching at Wrigley. The Giants have dropped five of their last seven in Chicago in large part because of a 5.22 ERA compiled by its pitching staff. And this year's pitchers have also struggled on the road, where the team is off to a 2-7 start, as noted by its 5.79 ERA on the highway.
Has Ryan Dempster struggled in the past against San Francisco? Absolutely, but this play is predicated on Chicago's offense; thus the run line release. And, you might recall Dempster's teammate, Ted Lilly, had always fared poorly against Florida before dominating the Marlins at home over the weekend. Plus, although the Giants just took two-of-three at home versus the Rockies, they managed a total of just five runs in those games against a beleaguered Colorado pitching staff.
Monday's Play
5 Dime Run Line Release
Chicago Cubs (Dempster) -1 1/2 Runs over San Francisco (Sanchez)
The Cubs are getting healthy and they're finally starting to hit the way everyone expected as the offense keyed a three-game weekend sweep of the Marlins by putting 20 runs on the board. Keying the attack was Derrek Lee, whose grand slam Sunday was his second round-tripper in as many days. The lineup should get an additional boost tonight against San Francisco with the expected return of third baseman Aramis Ramirez, who was batting .352 with three homers and 14 RBI before being sidelined the past week. And Ramirez has been a Giant-killer at Wrigley Field, hitting .348 and driving in seven runs in San Francisco's last six visits to the Windy City.
But Ramirez hasn't been the only Cub feasting on San Fran's pitching at Wrigley. The Giants have dropped five of their last seven in Chicago in large part because of a 5.22 ERA compiled by its pitching staff. And this year's pitchers have also struggled on the road, where the team is off to a 2-7 start, as noted by its 5.79 ERA on the highway.
Has Ryan Dempster struggled in the past against San Francisco? Absolutely, but this play is predicated on Chicago's offense; thus the run line release. And, you might recall Dempster's teammate, Ted Lilly, had always fared poorly against Florida before dominating the Marlins at home over the weekend. Plus, although the Giants just took two-of-three at home versus the Rockies, they managed a total of just five runs in those games against a beleaguered Colorado pitching staff.
I don't think it be smart to fade Merrill. Maybe stop playing his plays. I am actually going to continue playing his plays unless it conflicts with the 2-3 other cappers I follow.
You fade Merrill, I'll keep playing his plays, I think he's a winner, even if his record last week was about 50-50. I might be wrong, but I don't think I am.
Either way, you fade, I'll play, and will see whose on top at the end of THIS week.
If he stinks it up this week, I will stop playing his plays.
Good luck
Too funny about Redd; yesterday he took credit of a win with his half time Dallas/Denver ... when the line closed at 4 for the half ... should had been a "push".
Last time he took "a push" instead of a lost ... as he used the final odd in his advantage and yesterday he took the lowest odd -3.5 but the line was at -4 when I went to bet.
That line was at 3.5 everywhere I looked you just got a bad line. I never saw Denver -8 so maybe you waited right before tip-off to bet it, which is bad because usually you hit favorites early. He has been straight up on the way he grades his wagers. One time he even called a bet a push even though at some places you could have won the bet (I won it). So don't make it look like the guy is a cheat because he has been money since he started over at Budin's site and anyone that is fading him would be down a lot by now.
