MLS etc

[rolltide]

new thread....

YTD 217-19-162 +70.63 (staked 504.90)


Sat NASL
Tampa Bay +120 2.5u to win 3u

also will be on 4th, and last, shot at Montreal to be drawn at HT. remarkable that they've not only scored or conceded in 1H of every match but that they still haven't gone to the break even yet. hopefully today or has been a big failure....obviously if you haven't been chasing the draw don't play these stakes

Sat MLS
Montreal HT X 2.75u to win 3.3u

love a match in Venezuela but no odds up at my outs just yet....

 

[rolltide]

My venez match is/was Aragua tonight but no odds available at the main outlets so nothing official. Take it with confidence if you have it...


Costa Rica sunday

Dvo Saprissa -0.75 3.5u to win 3.6u

 

[rolltide]

10am Scotland

St Johnstone under 2.5 1u to win .75u

 

[rolltide]

Sun brazil double

Corinthians/Cruzeiro 1u to win 1.25u

 

[rolltide]

2-3 on weekend -1.90 (9.5u risked)

 

[rolltide]

Tue

Germany -1.75 1.14u to win 1u

 

[rolltide]

game is wed, not tue

 

[rolltide]

Wed 7:30am Asian Cup

Oman 1u to win .64u

 

[rolltide]

Sat 12:30 Germany

Gladbach 1.5u to win 1.36u

 

[rolltide]

Sat 10:00 England

Hammers 1u to win 1.05u ... unbeaten against bottom half clubs at home last year

 

[nojuice9]

Good luck with Germany. If you have time I would like to hear your thoughts on the Ireland - Wales match...I'm leaning to the under in a large wager. Thanks if your able to respond.

 

[rolltide]

well anytime you have ireland/wales missing bale and keane it's hard to see goals. saw a crazy stat that in qualies 2/3 of wales' goals have come in final 15' of matches which means they have no offense for 75'. Trapattoni a brutally defensive manager and ireland 10-2 under in last 12 friendlies incl 5-0 under in away friendlies. Wales suck though and will allow a goal....worst case 1-2 final but i think you're ok with any under when Trap is coaching

 

[rolltide]

Wed 2:30

Hungary pk 1u to win 1.05u

 

[rolltide]

two diff statistical projections for the new PL season...

[h=2]English Premier League[/h]

Last updated 8/12

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Champs	Top 4	Top 10	Relegation
1	Chelsea	38	24.8	7.5	5.8	78.9	31.1	47.8	81.7	35.1%	93.4%	100.0%	0.0%
2	Manchester City	38	24.3	7.8	5.9	75.9	30.5	45.4	80.8	28.7%	89.5%	99.8%	0.0%
3	Manchester United	38	24.4	7.0	6.6	84.9	37.6	47.3	80.3	25.5%	87.7%	98.0%	0.0%
4	Arsenal	38	21.6	8.0	8.4	74.1	41.2	32.9	72.8	7.5%	64.0%	99.7%	0.0%
5	Tottenham	38	19.3	8.8	9.9	65.2	42.9	22.3	66.8	2.0%	34.0%	98.6%	0.0%
6	Liverpool	38	18.6	9.1	10.3	61.7	42.8	18.9	64.8	1.2%	24.1%	94.7%	0.0%
7	Everton	38	14.7	10.1	13.1	49.2	46.3	2.9	54.3	0.1%	4.1%	74.5%	1.8%
8	Newcastle United	38	12.9	9.0	16.1	51.5	60.3	-8.8	47.6	0.0%	0.7%	45.2%	7.1%
9	Swansea	38	12.3	10.0	15.7	45.3	53.6	-8.3	46.9	0.0%	0.6%	41.9%	8.1%
10	West Ham	38	12.4	9.6	16.0	46.8	56.0	-9.2	46.8	0.0%	0.5%	41.7%	8.4%
11	Southampton	38	12.2	9.2	16.6	48.5	59.7	-11.3	45.9	0.0%	0.4%	37.4%	9.9%
12	Aston Villa	38	11.9	9.2	16.9	47.7	60.5	-12.8	44.9	0.0%	0.3%	32.3%	11.9%
13	Fulham	38	11.5	9.4	17.1	45.3	59.3	-14.0	43.9	0.0%	0.3%	29.0%	14.5%
14	West Bromwich Albion	38	11.6	9.2	17.2	46.9	61.3	-14.4	43.9	0.0%	0.2%	28.1%	15.3%
15	Sunderland	38	11.0	9.9	17.1	41.4	56.0	-14.6	42.9	0.0%	0.2%	25.7%	17.2%
16	Norwich	38	10.8	9.0	18.2	45.7	64.3	-18.6	41.5	0.0%	0.0%	18.8%	20.2%
17	Stoke	38	9.8	10.6	17.7	35.3	53.1	-17.9	39.8	0.0%	0.1%	13.9%	29.8%
18	Cardiff	38	9.9	9.4	18.7	40.8	62.0	-21.3	39.2	0.0%	0.0%	12.5%	31.1%
19	Hull	38	8.1	9.2	20.7	35.5	65.5	-30.0	33.5	0.0%	0.0%	3.4%	58.7%
20	Crystal Palace	38	7.9	8.4	21.7	38.5	73.3	-34.8	32.1	0.0%	0.0%	2.5%	65.7%

​

League Table Stats

MP: Matches Played W: Wins D: Draws L: Losses GF: Goals For GA: Goals Allowed GD: Goal Differential Pts: League Points

BSports Forecast Stats

ePts: Expected League Points Winner: % chance of winning the league Top 3/4: % chance of finishing in the Top 3 or Top 4 Relegation: % chance of being relegated Bottom 2: % chance of finishing in the Bottom 2

BSports have added a unique feature for each league that identifies the average ‘Magic Number’ of points needed to win the league or avoid relegation, as well as the outcome probabilities for certain scenarios.​

Magic Numbers:
- Average number of points required to win the league:	88.9
- Average number of points required to finish in the top three:	72.8
- Average number of points required to avoid relegation:	36.4
Other key probabilities:
- Chance that all three promoted teams face relegation:	6.6%
- Chance that at least one of the promoted teams is relegated:	93.9%
- Chance that Manchester United, Manchester City and Chelsea all finish in the top three:	38.6%

____________________________________________________

​

[h=4]Premier League Projected Table and Odds[/h]

CLUB	W	D	L	PTS	G	GA	GD	TOP4%	REL%	TITLE%	5TH%
Manchester City	23	9	6	78	75	37	38	84%	0%	37%	4%
Chelsea	21	9	8	72	71	41	30	65%	0%	16%	9%
Manchester United	21	9	8	72	71	41	30	65%	0%	16%	10%
Tottenham Hotspur	20	10	8	70	68	42	26	55%	0%	11%	12%
Arsenal	20	9	9	69	68	42	25	52%	0%	10%	12%
Liverpool	19	10	9	67	66	44	22	43%	0%	7%	14%
Everton	17	11	10	62	61	46	15	23%	0%	2%	15%
Swansea City	15	10	13	54	57	54	3	6%	2%	0%	8%
Southampton	14	10	14	51	53	54	-1	3%	3%	0%	5%
Newcastle	12	10	16	46	50	60	-10	1%	10%	0%	2%
Norwich	12	10	16	45	47	57	-10	1%	11%	0%	2%
West Bromwich Albion	11	11	16	45	49	60	-11	1%	12%	0%	2%
Fulham	11	10	17	44	49	62	-13	0%	14%	0%	1%
West Ham United	11	10	17	44	48	61	-13	0%	15%	0%	1%
Aston Villa	11	10	17	42	47	61	-15	0%	19%	0%	1%
Sunderland	10	10	18	41	45	61	-17	0%	24%	0%	1%
Stoke City	9	11	18	38	40	59	-19	0%	32%	0%	0%
Cardiff City	9	10	19	38	43	65	-21	0%	34%	0%	0%
Crystal Palace	8	9	21	33	40	69	-29	0%	59%	0%	0%
Hull City	8	9	21	32	39	71	-31	0%	64%	0%	0%

both agree with me that Stoke have to be considered for a bet to either relegate or fail to reach 40 points. one decent signing, dropping half your starters, and bringing in a crap manager to coach a junk squad is a rough combo. Dude got one of the highest wage bills relegated last year so what chance does he have with this group?

 

[rolltide]

adding Brazil Sunday

Cruzeiro -1 goal 2u to win 1.80u

 

[rolltide]

sat MLS

RBNY 2.5u to win 2.03u

 

[Dr.T]

Any EPL picks for this weekend?

 

[rolltide]

Any EPL picks for this weekend?

post #10 from Tuesday

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

as bad as stoke projects, the side liverpool are putting out today is not too much to write home about....a top 6 finish with this squad should get brendan knighted...i saw all i had to of a washed up Kolo playing center back the last few years whenever the wop threw him a bone...now, he starts on merseyside?(allow me to cleanup my spilled coffee from the giggles)...don't agree w/chelski on top...think it(title) stays in greater manchester yet again....hopefully blue side, but wouldn't shock me in least if red side took it down again...can not argue w/history nor chemistry even without ol' red nose n the ongoing posturing of shrek to chelski...cheers good luck this season on the other side of town,,,,,but not too much

 

[rolltide]

england and scotland adds....10am

EPL - Norwich +1/2 1u to win .75u
- canaries just 3 losses in 10 matches vs top half teams at home last year, everton just 2 wins in 10 road games vs bottom half clubs last year. if i'm right roberto martinez will show he's over his head in 2013

SPL - St Johnstone under 2.25 1u to win .95u
Scot 1- Dundee -.75 1u to win .82u

hammers are now +108 so money on cardiff.....we'll see