Hi Jaypaw, thanks for the props.
What I do to calculate my ROI is divide my total profit up to date by the total units wagered up to date, i.e.
(total units profit) / (total wagered units)
So far, I have played 95 games, winning 50 and losing 45. Since I risk 1 unit on every game that's 95 total units wagered, with 21.55 units total profit. I just divided one by the other to get my figure of 22.7%, meaning that for every $1.00 wagered, I'm expecting a turnover of roughly 23 cents. That said, I've just had a fortunate run and realize it's near impossible to continue at this pace. Just hoping the inevitable downhill swing, whenever it comes, is relatively quick and merciful.
What I do to calculate my ROI is divide my total profit up to date by the total units wagered up to date, i.e.
(total units profit) / (total wagered units)
So far, I have played 95 games, winning 50 and losing 45. Since I risk 1 unit on every game that's 95 total units wagered, with 21.55 units total profit. I just divided one by the other to get my figure of 22.7%, meaning that for every $1.00 wagered, I'm expecting a turnover of roughly 23 cents. That said, I've just had a fortunate run and realize it's near impossible to continue at this pace. Just hoping the inevitable downhill swing, whenever it comes, is relatively quick and merciful.
Nepenthe,,,thats some really good stats and you only play even money or plus money which is really smart. With only 5 more winners than losers and being up 21.55 units laying flat its obvious that staying with this strategy should continue to work. Ive done the exact same thing going 40-33 with a +18.6 and also have no plays for monday.
oldmanTED: thank you very much. I've read a few of your threads in the past and from my limited exposure understand you to be a very wise and experienced capper. Best of luck in all you do as well.
gamblingshark, here's a drink for ya
Yesterday recap: no plays, good thing because underdogs got hammered across the board.
For tuesday:
CINCINNATI +101 @ Milwaukee
PHILADELPHIA +142 @ St. Louis
CHICAGO +126 @ Arizona
ATLANTA +107 @ San Francisco
Good luck.
gamblingshark, here's a drink for ya
Yesterday recap: no plays, good thing because underdogs got hammered across the board.
For tuesday:
CINCINNATI +101 @ Milwaukee
PHILADELPHIA +142 @ St. Louis
CHICAGO +126 @ Arizona
ATLANTA +107 @ San Francisco
Good luck.
Recap:
CINCINNATI +101 @ Milwaukee Tough Loss -1
PHILADELPHIA +142 @ St. Louis WIN +1.42
CHICAGO +126 @ Arizona Loss -1
ATLANTA +107 @ San Francisco WIN +1.07
2-2 +0.49 Units
Overall: 52-47 +22.04 Units (another new high)
That Cincinnati game was tough, as they gave up 3 runs in the bottom 9th.
For Wednesday:
Oakland @ NYY +110
TORONTO +118 @ Minnesota
PHILADELPHIA +135 @ St. Louis
NY METS +145 @ Los Angeles
Chicago @ ARIZONA +140
Atlanta @ SAN FRANCISCO +112
GL and I'd tread carefully as dogs could take a beating today....
CINCINNATI +101 @ Milwaukee Tough Loss -1
PHILADELPHIA +142 @ St. Louis WIN +1.42
CHICAGO +126 @ Arizona Loss -1
ATLANTA +107 @ San Francisco WIN +1.07
2-2 +0.49 Units
Overall: 52-47 +22.04 Units (another new high)
That Cincinnati game was tough, as they gave up 3 runs in the bottom 9th.
For Wednesday:
Oakland @ NYY +110
TORONTO +118 @ Minnesota
PHILADELPHIA +135 @ St. Louis
NY METS +145 @ Los Angeles
Chicago @ ARIZONA +140
Atlanta @ SAN FRANCISCO +112
GL and I'd tread carefully as dogs could take a beating today....
Yesterday recap:
Oakland @ NYY +110 WIN +1.10
TORONTO +118 @ Minnesota Loss -1
PHILADELPHIA +135 @ St. Louis WIN +1.35
NY METS +145 @ Los Angeles Loss -1
Chicago @ ARIZONA +140 Loss -1
Atlanta @ SAN FRANCISCO +112 WIN +1.12
3-3 +0.57 Units
Overall: 55-50 +22.61 Units (yet ANOTHER new high)
Well, somehow, some way, I keep on grinding out profitable days. Moving RIGHT along...
Plays for Thursday:
SEATTLE +115 @ Baltimore
Philadelphia @ ST. LOUIS +101
FLORIDA +108 @ San Francisco
NY METS +131 @ Los Angeles
GL.
Oakland @ NYY +110 WIN +1.10
TORONTO +118 @ Minnesota Loss -1
PHILADELPHIA +135 @ St. Louis WIN +1.35
NY METS +145 @ Los Angeles Loss -1
Chicago @ ARIZONA +140 Loss -1
Atlanta @ SAN FRANCISCO +112 WIN +1.12
3-3 +0.57 Units
Overall: 55-50 +22.61 Units (yet ANOTHER new high)
Well, somehow, some way, I keep on grinding out profitable days. Moving RIGHT along...
Plays for Thursday:
SEATTLE +115 @ Baltimore
Philadelphia @ ST. LOUIS +101
FLORIDA +108 @ San Francisco
NY METS +131 @ Los Angeles
GL.
Yesterday recap:
SEATTLE +115 @ Baltimore Loss -1
Philadelphia @ ST. LOUIS +101 WIN +1.01
FLORIDA +108 @ San Francisco WIN +1.08
NY METS +131 @ Los Angeles WIN +1.31
3-1 +2.40 Units
Overall: 58-51 +25.01 Units (new high, again)
I have to say, this is some kind of a run I'm on...some close wins by Florida and St. Louis today keeps the winning streak going.
Friday card a little later....
SEATTLE +115 @ Baltimore Loss -1
Philadelphia @ ST. LOUIS +101 WIN +1.01
FLORIDA +108 @ San Francisco WIN +1.08
NY METS +131 @ Los Angeles WIN +1.31
3-1 +2.40 Units
Overall: 58-51 +25.01 Units (new high, again)
I have to say, this is some kind of a run I'm on...some close wins by Florida and St. Louis today keeps the winning streak going.
Friday card a little later....
Yesterday Recap:
Toronto @ CHISOX +113 Postponed
ANAHEIM +101 @ Minnesota Loss -1
ARIZONA +162 @ Philadelphia Loss -1
Chicago @ ST. LOUIS +125 WIN +1.25
ATLANTA +116 @ Colorado Postponed
Florida @ SAN FRANCISCO +132 WIN +1.32
2-2 +0.57 Units
Overall: 60-53 +25.58 Units (dare I say it again...NEW HIGH again)
Grind...grind....grind...
Toronto @ CHISOX +113 Postponed
ANAHEIM +101 @ Minnesota Loss -1
ARIZONA +162 @ Philadelphia Loss -1
Chicago @ ST. LOUIS +125 WIN +1.25
ATLANTA +116 @ Colorado Postponed
Florida @ SAN FRANCISCO +132 WIN +1.32
2-2 +0.57 Units
Overall: 60-53 +25.58 Units (dare I say it again...NEW HIGH again)
Grind...grind....grind...
Saturday Recap:
Seattle @ DETROIT +115 WIN +1.15
BALTIMORE +141 @ Cleveland Loss -1
FLORIDA +130 @ San Francisco Loss -1
Arizona @ PHILADELPHIA +108 Loss -1
CHICAGO +100 @ St. Louis WIN +1
Atlanta G1 +130 @ Colorado Loss -1
Toronto @ CHICAGO G1 +128 WIN +1.28
3-4 -0.58 Units
Overall: 63-57 +25.00 Units (Previous High: +25.58 Units)
Well, the winning streak finally ended as most of the dogs got murdered today across the board. This may be the beginning of a losing streak so I'd proceed cautiously.
Moving along to Sunday:
Seattle @ DETROIT +108
BALTIMORE +114 @ Cleveland
ANAHEIM +125 @ Minnesota
ARIZONA +106 @ Philadelphia
CHICAGO +112 @ St. Louis
FLORIDA +105 @ San Francisco
GL!
Seattle @ DETROIT +115 WIN +1.15
BALTIMORE +141 @ Cleveland Loss -1
FLORIDA +130 @ San Francisco Loss -1
Arizona @ PHILADELPHIA +108 Loss -1
CHICAGO +100 @ St. Louis WIN +1
Atlanta G1 +130 @ Colorado Loss -1
Toronto @ CHICAGO G1 +128 WIN +1.28
3-4 -0.58 Units
Overall: 63-57 +25.00 Units (Previous High: +25.58 Units)
Well, the winning streak finally ended as most of the dogs got murdered today across the board. This may be the beginning of a losing streak so I'd proceed cautiously.
Moving along to Sunday:
Seattle @ DETROIT +108
BALTIMORE +114 @ Cleveland
ANAHEIM +125 @ Minnesota
ARIZONA +106 @ Philadelphia
CHICAGO +112 @ St. Louis
FLORIDA +105 @ San Francisco
GL!
Sunday recap:
Seattle @ DETROIT +108 Loss -1
BALTIMORE +114 @ Cleveland Postponed
ANAHEIM +125 @ Minnesota WIN +1.25
ARIZONA +106 @ Philadelphia Loss in Extra innings -1
CHICAGO +112 @ St. Louis Loss in Extra innings -1
FLORIDA +105 @ San Francisco Loss in Extra innings -1
1-4 -2.75 Units
Overall: 64-61 +22.25 Units (Previous High: +25.58 Units)
This day just plain old sucked. Three of the games I lost could easily have gone the other way in the extra innings. I don't even care about Detroit's blowout loss; it's the close games that eat away at your nerves and make you live shorter. At least I was right about one thing: this could be the beginning of a losing streak. Hopefully today was an isolated incident.
Seattle @ DETROIT +108 Loss -1
BALTIMORE +114 @ Cleveland Postponed
ANAHEIM +125 @ Minnesota WIN +1.25
ARIZONA +106 @ Philadelphia Loss in Extra innings -1
CHICAGO +112 @ St. Louis Loss in Extra innings -1
FLORIDA +105 @ San Francisco Loss in Extra innings -1
1-4 -2.75 Units
Overall: 64-61 +22.25 Units (Previous High: +25.58 Units)
This day just plain old sucked. Three of the games I lost could easily have gone the other way in the extra innings. I don't even care about Detroit's blowout loss; it's the close games that eat away at your nerves and make you live shorter. At least I was right about one thing: this could be the beginning of a losing streak. Hopefully today was an isolated incident.
Tuesday Recap:
MINNESOTA +144 @ Seattle LOSS in 16 INNINGS -1
NEW YORK +112 @ Oakland Comeback WIN +1.12
ST. LOUIS +103 @ Philadelphia WIN +1.03
LOS ANGELES +148 @ Florida 11th Inning WIN +1.48
SAN FRANCISCO +114 @ New York Loss -1
SAN DIEGO +115 @ Atlanta Loss -1
3-3 +0.63 Units
Overall: 67-64 +22.88 Units (Previous High: +25.58 Units)
A day mixed in with good and bad luck. Wednesday card follows:
CHICAGO +102 @ Baltimore
ST. LOUIS +132 @ Philadelphia
LOS ANGELES +157 @ Florida
SAN DIEGO +104 @ Atlanta, 7PM
San Francisco @ NY METS +118
Milwaukee @ CINCINNATI +102
GL.
MINNESOTA +144 @ Seattle LOSS in 16 INNINGS -1
NEW YORK +112 @ Oakland Comeback WIN +1.12
ST. LOUIS +103 @ Philadelphia WIN +1.03
LOS ANGELES +148 @ Florida 11th Inning WIN +1.48
SAN FRANCISCO +114 @ New York Loss -1
SAN DIEGO +115 @ Atlanta Loss -1
3-3 +0.63 Units
Overall: 67-64 +22.88 Units (Previous High: +25.58 Units)
A day mixed in with good and bad luck. Wednesday card follows:
CHICAGO +102 @ Baltimore
ST. LOUIS +132 @ Philadelphia
LOS ANGELES +157 @ Florida
SAN DIEGO +104 @ Atlanta, 7PM
San Francisco @ NY METS +118
Milwaukee @ CINCINNATI +102
GL.
Wed Recap:
CHICAGO +102 @ Baltimore WIN +1.02
ST. LOUIS +132 @ Philadelphia Loss -1
LOS ANGELES +157 @ Florida Loss -1
SAN DIEGO +104 @ Atlanta, 7PM WIN +1.04
San Francisco @ NY METS +118 WIN +1.18
Milwaukee @ CINCINNATI +102 WIN +1.02
4-2 +2.26 Units
Overall: 71-66 +25.14 Units (Previous High: +25.58 Units)
Finally a solid day. Thursday card later...
CHICAGO +102 @ Baltimore WIN +1.02
ST. LOUIS +132 @ Philadelphia Loss -1
LOS ANGELES +157 @ Florida Loss -1
SAN DIEGO +104 @ Atlanta, 7PM WIN +1.04
San Francisco @ NY METS +118 WIN +1.18
Milwaukee @ CINCINNATI +102 WIN +1.02
4-2 +2.26 Units
Overall: 71-66 +25.14 Units (Previous High: +25.58 Units)
Finally a solid day. Thursday card later...
