MLB information, angles, etc

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Thursday, August 26 recap:

H had MLB NYY -106 ML: win
H prior to Thursday H was 54-34-1 (61.36%), his last 89 picks, +16.95 units, since May 18/21 daily best bet thread. One unit per pick allowed, all sports combined. Regression was & is still due, sooner or later, regarding that run.
H prior to Winsday was overall: 658-559-21 +77.42 units

Angle #1 had Baltimore +106: win

MLB algorithms: nothing doing. Back Friday.

Book Needs: Low on Baltimore +106 (1st 5 -102): win, win. 2-0.

Highest public concentrations......LA Angels -127 & NYY/OAK OV8.5 (-106): loss, win. 1-1.

Book Needs: Low on Arizona +135 (1st 5 +110): win, win. 2-0.

On to Friday, August 27. BOL.




Friday, August 27 recap:

After 2 good days for sharper info on Winsday & Thursday, Friday was really bad:

Angle #1 Twins +119 ML: win

MLB algos: 0-3

S lost his CFL pick (NFL forum)

H lost with his NFL pick.

Highest public concentrations...(MLB) Philadelphia -241 & MIL/MIN OV9.5 (-100): Win, Loss. 1-1.

Highest public concentrations..(NFL) Kansas City -4 & MIN/KC OV38.5: Loss, Win. 1-1.

Book Needs...Low on Marlins +126 (1st 5 +112): Loss, loss. 0-2.

WTA Tennis...Sorribes Tormo +100: Loss.

On to Saturday, August 28. BOL!
 
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"MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 35-46 for +1.9u

Indians +132
BOS Tickets 67%
BOS Money 58%
RLM: CLE +139 to +132

...
I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."
 
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Here are the MLB algorithm records up to & excluding the present season:


Algorithms
MLB 1st Inning Totals v1.0524056.5%6.7
MLB 1st Inning Totals v2.0453457.0%9.0
MLB 1st 5 Innings Totals563859.6%15.1
MLB Full Game Totals504751.5%-0.6
MLB Grand Salami201655.6%3.0
MLB Underdog Algorithm (Beta)1150.0%0.3

<tbody>
</tbody>


Units W/L are, per each column above:

+6.7
+9.0
+15.1
-0.6
+3
+0.3


Hope that helps.

And as for the present season:


"Algorithms, including v2 fade now 40-26-3 the L69...

An 0-3 day yesterday, continued caution advised.

1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u)

1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

1st 5 (25-25 -3.2u) STL/PIT OV4.5 (+102), PHI/AZ UN5 (-119)

Game (37-34 -1.3)

Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"
 
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Regarding all the info/content i've posted in this thread:


--------------------------------



Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”

"Be cautious of regression after such a strong run..."
Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.
Been a great run, caution advised.





-------------------------------------






Free winners and keeping the touts honest thread...exposing the touts
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183019
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183832


Free "Winners. Want to know who's winning at sports betting. Look here":
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1179690


Secrets to winning at gambling:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1143182
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...887&highlight=


"Won 200 units from Dec.19 thru Feb/20.":
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...034&highlight=

"Responsible Gaming"..."Need help"?:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183748
 
Joined
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"Highest public concentrations...

...
Cincinnati -112 & HOU/TEX OV8.5 (-115)

...
Baltimore -3.5 & TB/HOU OV36

...Fresno St -27.5 & HAW/UCLA UN67.5

Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."

 
Joined
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Friday, August 27 recap:

After 2 good days for sharper info on Winsday & Thursday, Friday was really bad:

Angle #1 Twins +119 ML: win

MLB algos: 0-3

S lost his CFL pick (NFL forum)

H lost with his NFL pick.

Highest public concentrations...(MLB) Philadelphia -241 & MIL/MIN OV9.5 (-100): Win, Loss. 1-1.

Highest public concentrations..(NFL) Kansas City -4 & MIN/KC OV38.5: Loss, Win. 1-1.

Book Needs...Low on Marlins +126 (1st 5 +112): Loss, loss. 0-2.

WTA Tennis...Sorribes Tormo +100: Loss.

On to Saturday, August 28. BOL!


Saturday, August 28 recap:

Angle #1 Indians +132: 0-1

MLB algos: 2-0

S (NCAAF forum): 2-1

H (not posted before game time): 0-1

Highest public concentrations: MLB 0-2, NFL 2-0, NCAAF 2-0

On to Sunday, August, 29.
 

Dain Bramaged
Joined
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Yea Boi!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

M'$$$$$$$$:103631605

:toast:
 
Joined
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Messages
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Yea Boi!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

M'$$$$$$$$:103631605

:toast:


Like the M's today, eh, T? You and H. BOL!

very-nice.gif
 
Joined
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"MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 35-47 for +0.9u

Royals +134
SEA Tickets 64%
SEA Money 68%
RLM: KC +147 to +134

I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."



 
Joined
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"Highest public concentrations...


...
Tampa -210 & MIL/MIN OV10 (-101)


...
New England -3.5 & JAX/DAL OV36


...
Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."
 
Joined
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"Algorithms, including v2 fade now 42-26-3 the L71...

A 2-0 Saturday! Been awhile since a 1st Inning total...

1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u) SF/ATL OV0.5 (-116)

1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

1st 5 (27-25 -1.2u)

Game (37-34 -1.3)

Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"




--------------------------------------------




For anyone interested in the MLB algorithm records up to & excluding the present season, see post #623.




-----------------------------------------------





Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”

"Be cautious of regression after such a strong run..."
Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.
Been a great run, caution advised.



 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
Tokens
Saturday, August 28 recap:

Angle #1 Indians +132: 0-1

MLB algos: 2-0

S (NCAAF forum): 2-1

H (not posted before game time): 0-1

Highest public concentrations: MLB 0-2, NFL 2-0, NCAAF 2-0

On to Sunday, August, 29.


Sunday, August 29 recap:

H on MLB Seattle -148 ML: 1-0

Angle #1 KC
+134: 0-1

Highest public concentrations: MLB 1-1 & NFL 1-1

MLB algo: 0-1

S CFL Calgary +7 (NFL forum): 1-0

On to Monday, August 30. BOL
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
Tokens
Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”

"Be cautious of regression after such a strong run..."
Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.
Been a great run, caution advised.
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
Tokens
"Algorithms, including v2 fade now 42-27-3 the L72...

An 0-1 Sunday.

1st Inn v1 (5-4 +0.6u)

1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

1st 5 (27-25 -1.2u)

Game (37-34 -1.3) STL/CIN OV9.5 (+104)

Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"


----------------------------------------------


For anyone interested in the MLB algorithm records up to & excluding the present season, see post #623.


 
Joined
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Messages
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"A lot of mixed markets today for the US Open. However, there is some sharp buying coming in on...

Juvan -125 over Watson achieves a 68 (out of 100) on the TSP Live Radar. There is not enough money in the market to generate an LJP Score at this time."


-------------------------


WTA - US Open.


 
Joined
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"Material Early Sharp Buying...


  1. Roberto Bautista Agut -4 (-104) (ATP US Open)
  2. Minnesota -125 (MLB)


**At the 500 selection mark, the performance of Early Sharp Buys exceeded variance, thereby demonstrating a level of confidence that ESB’s would be a +EV angle. However, I would strongly advise only those with a disciplined bankroll management system use ESB’s for wagering. Due to the fact there could be as many as 35 in a given week, it could lend itself to periods of extreme volatility.**




My Wagering Strategy


I will be evolving this section, perhaps on a daily basis once football starts. For now and as football approaches I will continue playing any Primary & Secondary Angles, any LJP 2U’s and higher, and any Book Needs (outside Arizona or Baltimore). I will also be adding any Sharp Consensus (Premium/Just Missed Premium Plays) to my arsenal. If I change my strategy at any time, I will change the color of the text in this section to blue so it catches your eyes. Otherwise, this is my wagering plan until further notice.

TSP Daily Briefing Wagers


PASS, good win yesterday, I will enjoy it today and hold off on any wagers. Not to mention I am not even thinking right after a long and hectic first weekend of analytics.


That’ll do it for me today. I hope you have a wonderful day and good luck in your action!"
 

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