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"S" has a UFC pick with writeup, & his record in this sport, +17 units overall (@ 2 units each), is pasted below:


logo_21.png
UFC Vegas 34
Jared Cannonier (Inside the Distance) +187 over Kelvin Gastelum


Pinnacle +165 BET365 +187 SportsInteraction N/A BetOnline +170Bookmaker N/A

Posted at 4:00 PM EST.

[FONT=arial !important]UFC Vegas 34 - UFC APEX - Las Vegas, NV

[FONT=arial !important]Jared Cannonier ITD +187 over Kelvin Gastelum[/FONT]

10:45 PM EST. This should be a violent clash between middleweight contenders, although if the line movement is any indication, the market has taken a side in this fight. At open, Kelvin Gastelum was a near 2-1 underdog, but that line has come down steadily since then, as he's just a fraction of that price today. Why?

[FONT=arial !important]A breakdown of Xs and Ox would suggest that Gastelum's superior wrestling ability will give him the edge and could possibly negate the heavy hands of Jared Cannonier. However, we don't see it that way at all. Gastelum is a tough fighter, but to ask him to stay away from the barrages of punches and kicks that Cannonier is going to fire off is a tough ask. In a 25 minute fight, the “Killa Gorilla" is likely to get his. A standup war in the smaller UFC Apex Octagon will not go well for Gastelum.

[/FONT][FONT=arial !important]Both of these fighters are coming off losses to Robert Whittaker, but it does not take long to see that Gastelum is on a rough slide with just one win in his last five trips to the Octagon. While the quality of his opposition has been tough (Israel Adesanya, Darren Till and Whittaker), Gastelum has not been able to take that next step. Hell, his title shot with Adesanya back in April of 2019 was built off the back of a two fight winning streak where he was fed what remained of Michael Bisping and defeated the aged Ronald Souza. Both fighters were great in their time but by the time Gastelum got to them, not so much. The 1-4 slide since his win over Souza suggests as much.

[/FONT][FONT=arial !important]Cannonier was slated to face Paulo Costa, but that dude was pulled from this fight on June 4 for undisclosed reasons. With over two months since the change of opponent, we doubt there will be any sort of letdown or surprises thrown at the "Killa Gorilla" that he can't handle. Since moving down to middleweight from the 205 LBS division, Cannonier is 3-1, with his only loss coming to Whittaker last time out. As we've seen over the years, there is no shame in losing to "Bobby Knuckles." Oddsmakers agreed, as Cannonier was pencilled in as a considerable favorite at open and now he's not. Rather than lay the lumber here, we are going to trust that the "Killa Gorilla" is going to be able to get his hands on Gastelum. If he does, this fight is not going to see the judge's scorecards.

[/FONT][/FONT]


SeasonRecord
20063-8-0 (-4.00)
200732-38-1 (+36.00)
200819-43-0 (0.00)
20094-14-1 (-13.00)
201021-27-2 (-2.00)
201115-26-0 (-11.00)
201210-14-0 (0.00)
201311-26-0 (-17.00)
20166-10-0 (-3.00)
20171-1-0 (0.00)
20180-2-0 (-2.00)
201923-11-0 (+35.00)
202040-50-0 (+10.00)
202119-33-0 (-12.00)

<tbody>
</tbody>



----------------------------------------------




Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.
"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
 
Joined
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"Known Bettor Alert

A "known" bettor placed 147% above their average wager on Gastelum +129 over Cannonier (LJP 0/0)

League: UFC"


---------------------------------------


A known bettor refers to a sharp.

Going head to head with S, sort of.



-----------------------------------------




Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.



 
Joined
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Messages
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H from under 30 minutes ago:

"[FONT=&quot]Manny Pacquiao - Yordenis Ugas[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Total – FT – Boxing Matches[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Under 10.5 (Rounds)[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]+182 Pinnacle"[/FONT]
 
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Pound that Keyboard with your meat X

Let’s get past all this stuff and get ya on board Streets total system

PM for details
 
Joined
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Saturday, August 21 recap:

S went 3-0 in football CFL + NFL (see NFL forum). He's 2-2 -0.14 & 6-1 +9.84 units YTD in those leagues. 8-3 +9.70 units overall in football YTD.

S lost with UFC +187 pick.

A "known" bettor lost with +129 UFC bet.

H continued regressing (as warned about yesterday) to a rare 0-4 run L4 with a loss on
Pacquiao u 12.5 +186. Going into yesterday he was [FONT=&quot] 52-31-1 (62.65%), his last 84 picks, +18.20 units, since May 18/21. And overall [/FONT][FONT=&quot]657-556-21 +79.67 UNITS at just one unit per pick.

[/FONT]
The "recreational" square bettor who placed...$903K on Pacquiao -361 lost. Faders at + money won big.

Angle #1 LA Angels +117 lost.

MLB algos on a 37-19-3 run the L59 continued regressing (as warned about yesterday) going 0-2.

Highest public concentrations...the public went 3-0-1 on "public Saturday".

On to Sunday, August 22. BOL.




 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
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"MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 33-43 for +0.1u

Orioles +147
ATL Tickets 81%
ATL Money 87%
RLM: BAL +156 to +147

I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."


---------------------------


The O's are on a 0-17 run. LOL.
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
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"Algorithms, including v2 fade now 37-21-3 the L62...

Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.

1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u)

1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

1st 5 (22-22 -3.1u) PIT/STL OV4.5 (-108), NYM/LAD OV4.5 (-108)

Game (37-32 +0.7)

Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"






-------------------------------------------




Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”



-------------------------------------



Free winners and keeping the touts honest thread...exposing the touts
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183019
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183832


Free "Winners. Want to know who's winning at sports betting. Look here":
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1179690


Secrets to winning at gambling:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1143182
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...887&highlight=


"Won 200 units from Dec.19 thru Feb/20.":
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...034&highlight=

"Responsible Gaming"..."Need help"?:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183748

 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
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"Highest public concentrations...

(MLB) Atlanta -161 & WAS/MIL OV9 (-113)

(NFL) Cleveland -4.5 & NYG/CLE OV35

Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."



 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
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Saturday, August 21 recap:

S went 3-0 in football CFL + NFL (see NFL forum). He's 2-2 -0.14 & 6-1 +9.84 units YTD in those leagues. 8-3 +9.70 units overall in football YTD.

S lost with UFC +187 pick.

A "known" bettor lost with +129 UFC bet.

H continued regressing (as warned about yesterday) to a rare 0-4 run L4 with a loss on
Pacquiao u 12.5 +186. Going into yesterday he was 52-31-1 (62.65%), his last 84 picks, +18.20 units, since May 18/21. And overall 657-556-21 +79.67 UNITS at just one unit per pick.

The "recreational" square bettor who placed...$903K on Pacquiao -361 lost. Faders at + money won big.

Angle #1 LA Angels +117 lost.

MLB algos on a 37-19-3 run the L59 continued regressing (as warned about yesterday) going 0-2.

Highest public concentrations...the public went 3-0-1 on "public Saturday".

On to Sunday, August 22. BOL.





Sunday, August 22 recap:

S won again with his Sunday LAC +6 NFL pick, for a 4-0 football weekend. He's 3-2 +1.86 units & 6-1 +9.84 units YTD in those leagues. 9-3 +11.70 units overall in football YTD.

Angle #1 Orioles +147 lost (for their 18th straight loss!).

MLB algos on a 37-21-3 run were 1-1.

Highest public concentrations...were 0-2 in NFL & 2-0 in MLB.

H won with SF -109 ML.

On to Monday, August 23. BOL.

 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
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From TSP daily briefing Monday August 23/21:


material early sharp buying...



  1. toronto +100 (mlb)
  2. getafe/sevilla un2 (-118) (spain’s la liga soccer)


**at the 500 selection mark, the performance of early sharp buys exceeded variance, thereby demonstrating a level of confidence that esb’s would be a +ev angle. However, i would strongly advise only those with a disciplined bankroll management system use esb’s for wagering. Due to the fact there could be as many as 35 in a given week, it could lend itself to periods of extreme volatility.**





my wagering strategy


i will continue playing any primary & secondary angles, any ljp 2u’s and higher, my mlb totals algorithm plays (outside 1st inning v2.0), and any book needs. If i change my strategy at any time, i will change the color of the text in this section to blue so it catches your eyes. Otherwise, this is my wagering plan until further notice.


Tsp daily briefing wagers

pass

that’ll do it for me today. I hope you have a wonderful day and good luck in your action!




................................................





Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
Tokens
Angle #1:

"MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 33-44 for -0.9u

TEX +252
BOS Tickets 70%
BOS Money 91%
RLM: TEX +279 to +252

I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
Tokens
"Algorithms, including v2 fade now 38-22-3 the L63...

Been a great run, caution advised.

1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u)

1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

1st 5 (23-23 -3.2u) SEA/OAK OV4.5 (+105)

Game (37-32 +0.7)

Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"


 
Joined
Feb 4, 2019
Messages
1,318
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​Are u a concerned citizen or what? WHY ARE YOU SENDING PM TO MY CUSTOMERS ASKING MY RECORDS LOL. GIVE IT UP YOU WON i'M NOT POSTING PLAYS ANYMORE!
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
Tokens
"Highest public concentrations...

Houston -221 & CWS/TOR OV9 (-103)...

Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."




-------------------------------------------




Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”



-------------------------------------



Free winners and keeping the touts honest thread...exposing the touts
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183019
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183832


Free "Winners. Want to know who's winning at sports betting. Look here":
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1179690


Secrets to winning at gambling:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1143182
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...887&highlight=


"Won 200 units from Dec.19 thru Feb/20.":
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...034&highlight=

"Responsible Gaming"..."Need help"?:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183748
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
Tokens
" A "recreational" bettor is really opening his wallet tonight and wagering substantially above his average wager with...

$65K on Gasquet -185 over Gerasimov (LJP 1OPEN)

I'll throw a pic on here for luck in case anyone decides to follow this gent.


E9gu1lEXIAIiEPX
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,643
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​Are u a concerned citizen or what? WHY ARE YOU SENDING PM TO MY CUSTOMERS ASKING MY RECORDS LOL. GIVE IT UP YOU WON i'M NOT POSTING PLAYS ANYMORE!


And you won't post your Horse Racing records either.
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
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Sunday, August 22 recap:

S won again with his Sunday LAC +6 NFL pick, for a 4-0 football weekend. He's 3-2 +1.86 units & 6-1 +9.84 units YTD in those leagues. 9-3 +11.70 units overall in football YTD.

Angle #1 Orioles +147 lost (for their 18th straight loss!).

MLB algos on a 37-21-3 run were 1-1.

Highest public concentrations...were 0-2 in NFL & 2-0 in MLB.

H won with SF -109 ML.

On to Monday, August 23. BOL.



Monday, August 23 recap:

TSP
material early sharp buying...Toronto +100 (mlb): win

TSP material early sharp buying...getafe/sevilla un2 (-118) (spain’s la liga soccer): win

Angle #1 Texas +252 ML: loss

H on Oakland -125 ML (MLB): loss
H prior to Monday was
53-32-1 (61.63%), his last 86 picks, +18.20 units, since May 18/21, daily best bet thread. One unit per pick allowed, all sports combined. Regression was & is still due, sooner or later, regarding that run.
H prior to Monday was overall: 658-557-21 +79.67 UNITS

MLB
algos on a 38-22-3 run the L63.... SEA/OAK OV4.5 (+105): loss

"Highest public concentrations...Houston -221 & CWS/TOR OV9 (-103)...: loss, loss (2-0 to faders of the public...BTW "S" had KC +211 ML over Houston, not posted here)

"S" lost with NFL-X New Orleans -4 (NFL forum post). Now 3-3 YTD & 9-4 in football overall.

A "recreational" bettor with...$65K on Gasquet -185 over Gerasimov (LJP 1OPEN) tennis ATP: win.

On to Tuesday, August 24. BOL.

 

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