MLB FADE THE PUBLIC 5-GAME CHASE (risk .0075% of bankroll, then 75% of loss martingale)

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Now that i get a day off i will dabble a bit about this "mojo" system of mine and take a poll.

I developed this "mojo" rating system in the summer of 2006. Before 2006 i only used biorhythms to complement fundamental handicapping. I realized that even though most sporting events are all skilled based there are some luck involved.

One week Eli Manning looks like a legitimate Pro Bowler and the next week he'll throw 5 interceptions -- a few of those might not be his faut; its just how the ball rolls. Even the most skilled of all talents like LeBron James and Kobe Bryant will have off days.

Some very lucky guy, with the stars aligned in his favor, will step up to a craps table and roll for 1 hour. It happens. Just ask any dealer or floor person -- they've seen it all.

A light bulb went on while i was pacing the grounds of Mandalay Bay in the summer of 2006. A new concept to add to my arsenal of esoteric sports handicapping was born. The beginning of the "mojo" system -- skill + luckiness or unluckiness.

It wasn't until 2011 and thanks to the usefulness of Google Docs (now called Google Drive) i began compiling spreadsheets and keeping track of what works and in certain parameters. For MLB, this is the 4th season i have been making these daily spreadsheets. And for the past 3 years i have been trying to develop a system, within a system; toying around with many incarnations of the baseball systems you see today in the sports forums. May 20, 2014 is the debut of my 5-Game Fade the Public Chase System. A system where i am betting on unpopular teams/pitchers against teams/pitchers where everyone [and their mother] is unloading on. A system where i am siding with the books on a season-long basis. Should be profitable, right?

Now that the system is 32-0 here are a few questions i will take a poll with:

Do you like or do not like the system because

A) There are no forced plays; its all systemized. Some days there will be 1-4 plays and some days there are no plays. This is also true for the time of day that the games are played. There is one early Cubs home game on Friday -- lets force a play for some action. There is only one Sunday night game -- lets force a play for some action. There is no forced action from my system. There have never been a day i post 5-10 plays -- could be good or bad.

B) There are not enough plays. See above. This is the 29th day of the system and there have only been about 50 or so qualified plays. (Which by the way is hitting around 56% with an average price of +110. So even if you don't chase, its still a profitable system.) There have never been a day i post 5-10 plays -- could be good or bad depending on how you look at it.

C) At what point can this be called a legitimate [chase] system? Now at 32-0? At 50-0? At 100-0? At what ever loss and profit is tallied at the end of the season? 5 years down the road?

D) Do some of you really hate one continuous season-long threads? Really?

E) Do some of you loathe any kind of "chase" system? Is it because you have been burned in the past or you think "chasing" is dumb in general?
 

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I like your system because of A.

C) I believe in 2 years/seasons of successful run of System

D) I like one thread so it's easy to pick up history and documented results. For what good are documented results if they're scattered across daily thread?

E) Chase is an equalizer for people who knows how to use it.

Keep up the good work!
 

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Here is what we're looking at for Tuesday, July 1:

MIN 80% J. Shields B-
KC 20% R. Nolasco B

SEA 75% H. Iwakuma C
HOU 25% J. Cosart C+

Same business as usual. Betting on pitchers and teams that doesn't have much a chance.
 

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E) Do some of you loathe any kind of "chase" system? Is it because you have been burned in the past or you think "chasing" is dumb in general?




Here is my take on this Happy.

Over time (forever), the term "chase" has gotten a horrible, rotten, stinking, crappy, and LOSING reputation in sports betting.

That reputation has been very well deserved.

Hope you continue to win. You seem like a great guy.

But...... if your systems wins..... it CAN'T be a chase system.

If it is indeed a chase system..... it CAN'T win!

I think it needs a different name to be credible and hold people's interest.

Don't know if what I say seems right...... but these seem to be the the facts to me.
 

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2 for Tuesday:

CHASE 33, 1st of 5
Twins +112
$62 to win $69.44

CHASE 34, 1st of 5
Astros +120
$62 to win $74.40
 

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1-1 on Tuesday brings the YTD record to 33-0. Up $1,313.55.

A few possible qualifiers for Wednesday:

KC 78% J. Vargas C-/D-
MIN 22% K. Correia C-

CIN 87% J. Cueto B-
SD 13% T. Ross C-

TEX 28% M. Mikolas B-
BAL 72% C. Tillman B+

PHI 65% C. Hamels C-
MIA 35% T. Koehler C-

STL 75% A. Wainwright B
SF 25% R. Vogelsong C-

Possible plays on the Twins, Padres, Rangers, Marlins, and Giants.
 

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Don't like this play but got to have faith in the system.

Locking in:

CHASE 34, 3rd of 5
Rangers +130
$191 to win $248.30
 

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There were no "fade the public" plays the last two days.

Thursday's ledger:

CHASE 34, 2nd of 5 LOSE $109
CHASE 35, 1st of 5 WIN $60
CHASE 34, 3rd of 5 LOSE $191
CHASE 36, 1st of 5 WIN $60
CHASE 37, 1st of 5 LOSE $60

YTD record: 35-0. Up $1,081.35.

Here are Saturday's qualifiers:

TB 21% C. Archer A+
DET 79% A. Sanchez C+

SF 74% T. Hudson B-
SD 26% O. Despaigne C-

HOU 28% S. Feldman C-
LAA 72% H. Santiago C-
 

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1-1 on Saturday brings the YTD record to 36-0. Up $1,358.25

Onto Sunday:

ARI 26% W. Miley C+
ATL 74% A. Wood C-

TOR 36% D. Hutchinson A+
OAK 64 J. Samardzija C-

TB 38% D. Price B+
DET 62% R. Porcello B+

Will most likely pass on the Diamondbacks. Big underdogs are automatically disqualified and Arizona is +150 at 5Dimes right now.
 

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0-1 on Sunday brings the YTD record to 36-0. Up $1,167.25.

CHASE 37 will go to 4th try.

Missed out on the TB Rays Sunday night game; was an easy winner.

Onto Monday:

SF 37% R. Vogelsong B-
OAK 63% J. Chavez C+
 

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Monday update:

NYY 35% S. Greene B+
CLE 65% J. Masterson A/B+

SF 37% R. Vogelsong B-
OAK 63% J. Chavez C+
 

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