A small bet for Tuesday:
NCAAF Iowa Howkeys +3 spread -110 10:00 pm (bet 1%) 38:22
Good news is that we have made a tiny overall profit (+0.99%), looks like following the cappers will pay off in long term, my hope is transforming to reality really slowly, slower then I thought but I think it will be worth the months of hard work I have in this. The 300 bet long losing series almost made be stop but I had strength and will to continue on.
Of course I'm not stupid and I know that some of you are following these picks and that's why I place the bets before I post the picks, so you won't ruin my great odds or lines.
As for today's bet, I suggest placing it later (1 hour before matchup), couse the line is moving slowly in our favor.
NCAAF Iowa Howkeys +3 spread -110 10:00 pm (bet 1%) 38:22
Good news is that we have made a tiny overall profit (+0.99%), looks like following the cappers will pay off in long term, my hope is transforming to reality really slowly, slower then I thought but I think it will be worth the months of hard work I have in this. The 300 bet long losing series almost made be stop but I had strength and will to continue on.
Of course I'm not stupid and I know that some of you are following these picks and that's why I place the bets before I post the picks, so you won't ruin my great odds or lines.
As for today's bet, I suggest placing it later (1 hour before matchup), couse the line is moving slowly in our favor.
That's 10% of my bankroll.
And it's the percent of the original 10000 dollar bankroll. I'm planning to higher bet size after making +40%.
I'll also lower bet size if losing 40%, this will keep us safe.
I have made 721 bets which made us an overall +1.9%
I don't know if this is a waste 5 minutes of your life, that's why I'm testing it.
This +1.9% profit is represented using the -110 line, but I bet at -105 using pinnacle and you can calculate how much more up I am. If I win, I get 0.08% more after a 2% bet then the other guys out there. (The 1-2% is my risked amount, not my winning goal.)
So if I just have won 50% of my bets I would get 360*0.08% more which is 28.8%. But I have won more then 50% with a 5 cent better line then the most gamblers out there. So if you ad the +28.8% and the +1.9%, you can realise my real bankroll is up +30% using the best odds.
My stats represents how would your bankroll look like starting with 10000 dollars and using the worst odds out there.
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The other thing is that I didn't used to write down if I don't have a bet, so I don't post on those days. I'm just telling this to let you know if I miss out a few days that doesn't mean I'm not here.
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My stats are here and refreshed when I ever have time to refresh it:
Here are the exact stats about it
Our profit maximum point was at +72.68%
And our minimum point was at -22.37%.
Luckily we are in profit again and at +1.9%.
And considering that if you had joined us at our maximum (+72.68%) you would dropped down to -22.37% that's a 95.05% drop.
So clearly betting 2-3% is too risky, so I suggest everybody to bet 1%/bet that's what I use. I also don't have more megabets (3%), couse betting 3% is really not safe.
I post 1-2% bets on the forum just to show the people bigger profit.
If I need to bet honest my real bankroll is exactly 18.23% up since I started this and I'm planning to recalculate the 1% if I reach +20%.
So my money management tactic is betting 1% of the original bankroll no matter what and recalculate the bet size after +/-20%.
So clearly betting 2-3% is too risky, so I suggest everybody to bet 1%/bet that's what I use. I also don't have more megabets (3%), couse betting 3% is really not safe.
I post 1-2% bets on the forum just to show the people bigger profit.
If I need to bet honest my real bankroll is exactly 18.23% up since I started this and I'm planning to recalculate the 1% if I reach +20%.
So my money management tactic is betting 1% of the original bankroll no matter what and recalculate the bet size after +/-20%.
Thursday night NBA:
NBA Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 spread -110 8:00 pm (bet 2%) 11:1
NBA Minnesota Timberwolves -4 spread -110 8:00 pm (bet 2%) 11:1
I was here every day, but there were no profitable bets that I could find, that's why I was away for long time. I only post if their is certainly a profitable bet out there.
NBA Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 spread -110 8:00 pm (bet 2%) 11:1
NBA Minnesota Timberwolves -4 spread -110 8:00 pm (bet 2%) 11:1
I was here every day, but there were no profitable bets that I could find, that's why I was away for long time. I only post if their is certainly a profitable bet out there.
