MisterMJ NFL Looking for that Special Sauce

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Baltimore does not cover Thursday night.
The record now goes to 17-8-1

Sunday picks coming today or early Sunday morning.
 

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17-8-1 overall. 65% ATS

This week we have a bunch more. Good luck to us!
MisterMJ NFL Special Sauce Plays
Play on Tampa Bay 1pm ET
Fade Detroit Play on Pitt. 1pm ET
Fade the NYJets Play on Buffalo 1pm ET
Fade Jacksonville Play on Indianapolis 1pm ET
Play on Arizona 4:05pm ET

*I use the closing line at Covers to determine wins and losses
 

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Too late to play but for the system.

Fade Atlanta tonight...Play on New England.
 

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Last week playing on Buffalo was a winner
1-4-0 last week
The record went to 18-12-1

This week the system had a winner Thursday night( I posted the pick one minute before game time...not very playable obviously, I screwed up on the late post but wanted to keep the system clean for future reference)

So getting the record up to date and current, Thursday nights Fade of Atlanta was a winner and the record is now 19-12-1 61% ATS

This weeks picks are going up soon.
 

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Most of your loses last week had bad situations
You may want to consider that intead of just going with fade or play
Steelers back up QB
Arizona back up QB
Redskins big home dog off a bye
Anyway....maybe a tweek can make the sauce even more sweet
Just a thought
19-12 is very good either way
 

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Most of your loses last week had bad situations
You may want to consider that intead of just going with fade or play
Steelers back up QB
Arizona back up QB
Redskins big home dog off a bye
Anyway....maybe a tweek can make the sauce even more sweet
Just a thought
19-12 is very good either way
Thanks for the comments...I understand what you are saying but it's very tricky to discern exactly what is a "bad situation" ...and then it stops being a system and gets back into regular subjective handicapping...so to speak.

I may want to rule out games without the regular starting QB however...when in fact the system depends on the talents of the starting QB to be the system pick in the first place. I do think that makes sense and may in fact avoid some losses.

Thanks again for the input.
 

F me, F U
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Thanks for the comments...I understand what you are saying but it's very tricky to discern exactly what is a "bad situation" ...and then it stops being a system and gets back into regular subjective handicapping...so to speak.

I may want to rule out games without the regular starting QB however...when in fact the system depends on the talents of the starting QB to be the system pick in the first place. I do think that makes sense and may in fact avoid some losses.

Thanks again for the input.
I'm not completely in favor as you've alluded to...since we see exactly what Vegas does when such a QB/Star is out...line changes 1/2 to 1 point max...longer term maybe lines adjusted but I've seen it too many times that when 'Star' out, team/player steps up and in and collectively play to par or better...BOL and continued success...
 

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I'm not completely in favor as you've alluded to...since we see exactly what Vegas does when such a QB/Star is out...line changes 1/2 to 1 point max...longer term maybe lines adjusted but I've seen it too many times that when 'Star' out, team/player steps up and in and collectively play to par or better...BOL and continued success...
I think it is different when you are a favorite and a significant one as both Arizona and Pitt were though
Judgement call I suppose
 

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This is a system in progress. I had an idea formulated from over 15 years experience in handicapping... and now I am trying to perfect it as much as possible without ruining the original idea.
The beauty of this , is that this particular system is transferable (in my opinion) to almost any other sport.
It's the culmination of a LOT of experimentation and work over the years. Many of you know me from way back...I've been here off an on for over 15 years and there is nothing I wouldn't try if I had a creative idea to handicap a sport. (I could tell some stories...for sure. It's amazing how many of my crazy ideas worked...but sometimes it's soooo labor intensive)

Anyway, this is evolving into my final handicapping system for all sports...the work done here applies across the board, and being retired now...represents something I would enjoy doing in the future as my hobby ...so to speak.It's less data intensive compared to what I used to do...more fun for me. ;-)

The NFL looks pretty good...College Football will come around I think.
NBA and NCAAB are next. MLB...I dunno...maybe just take the summer off or do something very very basic.
 

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Sunday Nov. 21
*MisterMJ NFL Special Sauce
Fade Houston Play on Tennessee 1pm ET
Fade Detroit Play on Cleveland 1pm ET
Play on Dallas 4:25pm ET
Overall Record 19-12-1 61% ATS

*I use the closing line at Covers to determine ATS wins and losses because that's how I do it. Nothing is perfect, but generally it works best for me and is maybe more fair and honest as well to people playing along.
Line cheating isn't a real system...if this isn't real and available for people to play along...what is the point?
 

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Oops....missed one pick.
Adding Play on Buffalo 1pm ET
 

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Ugly 0-4 last week...it sucks but it is what it is.
Record goes to 19-16-1 54% ATS
Two more today. Terrific spots for bounce backs but we will see.

MisterMJ NFL Special Sauce Thanksgiving Thursday Nov. 25
ATS wins and losses determined by Covers closing line.
Play on Dallas 4:30 pm ET
Play on Buffalo 8:20 pm ET
Good luck to us!..and Happy Thanksgiving to all.:cheers:
 

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1-1 on Thanksgiving.
ATS Record goes to 20-17-1/ We have our first O/U today so the record is 0-0-0
MisterMJ NFL Special Sauce Sun. Nov. 28
*Closing lines at Covers are used for ATS and O/U wins/losses

Play on Houston and the Over 1pm ET
Fade Tampa Bay Play on Indianapolis 1pm ET
Play on Green Bay 4:25pm ET
Good luck to us!
 

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1-2-0 last week
Record goes to 21-19-1
*I use the closing line at Covers to determine ATS wins and losses

*MisterMJ NFL Special Sauce Sunday Dec. 5 and Monday Dec.6
Play on Cincinnati 1pm ET
Play on Arizona 1pm ET
Fade the Jets and Play on Philadelphia 1pm ET
Monday Dec. 6
Play on New England 815pm ET
Good luck to us!
 

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2-1 yesterday. Record goes to 23-20-1
One more tonight.
Play on New England 815pm ET
 

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We get one more with New England on Monday night.
Record goes to 24-20-1
 

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Overall Record is 24-20-1/ O/U 0-1-0

Sunday Dec. 12
Wow...we have a bunch today, opportunities start kicking in here at the end of the season if we can get em. Flat bet for the same amount. I use closing lines at Covers.

MisterMJ NFL Special Sauce System
Sunday Dec. 12
Play on Tennessee 1pm ET
Play on Dallas 1pm ET
Play on Carolina 1pm ET
Play on New Orleans 1pm ET
KC game Under 1pm ET
Clev game Under 1pm ET
Houston game Under 1pm ET
Washington game Under 1pm ET
Denver game Under 4:05pm ET
Play on Green Bay 8:20pm ET

Good luck to us...and may God help me :ROFLMAO:
 

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