Mistermj: Thanks so much for your system plays. Quick question regarding the timing of when to make the plays. Is it best to use the opening lines (and jump right in), midday lines (to check line movement) or closer to gametime - when making our actual selections. Just wanted to get your input to see if "timing" makes any difference. Thanks again and keep up the great work!
Don't overthink it...I don't know what difference it would make really....it might be a little better one way or the other but that would probably just be random anyway.
It has a long term winning history using closing lines...so you can't go too far wrong just waiting a little. I feel more comfortable waiting for a while off the opening lines...but if I had to use opening lines to make it work for my schedule... I would just do that.
I doubt it will make much difference over the long haul.
MLB "Select" Dogs Barking Loudly Lately...Five Day Run
04/12/20182-2-0 50.00% +$71.00
04/11/20183-3-0 50.00% +$71.50
04/10/20183-3-0 50.00% +$59.50
04/09/2018 2-2-0 50.00% +$48.50
04/08/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +$230.00
Assuming $50 wagers for tracking
04/12/20182-2-0 50.00% +$71.00
04/11/20183-3-0 50.00% +$71.50
04/10/20183-3-0 50.00% +$59.50
04/09/2018 2-2-0 50.00% +$48.50
04/08/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +$230.00
Assuming $50 wagers for tracking
Yesterday's Results MLB Early Season Select Dog Tracking 1-3-0 25.00% -$70.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Today's MLB Early Season Select Dog Trackers
Sat 4/14
01:05 PM COL +180
01:05 PM BAL +142
02:10 PM CHW +158
02:20 PM ATL +168
07:10 PM MIA +149
07:15 PM KC +152
09:10 PM ARI +155
Overall Record 32-37-0 46.38% +$519.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Today's MLB Early Season Select Dog Trackers
Sat 4/14
01:05 PM COL +180
01:05 PM BAL +142
02:10 PM CHW +158
02:20 PM ATL +168
07:10 PM MIA +149
07:15 PM KC +152
09:10 PM ARI +155
Overall Record 32-37-0 46.38% +$519.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Let's keep it real...the downs come with the ups.
Still up nearly +7 Units / $50 = 1 Unit For Tracking Purpose
Yesterday's MLB Results Early Season Dog Trackers
1-5-0 16.67% -$172 50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Overall 33-42-0 44.00% +$347.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Still up nearly +7 Units / $50 = 1 Unit For Tracking Purpose
Yesterday's MLB Results Early Season Dog Trackers
1-5-0 16.67% -$172 50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Overall 33-42-0 44.00% +$347.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
There is nothing quite like being on a Big Dog when some baseball magic happens....
---
Harper hits broken-bat HR, helps Nats rally past Mets 8-6
The Associated Press
NEW YORK (AP) The shear power of Bryce Harper was startling. The late comeback by the Washington Nationals? Yep, that was shocking, too.
Harper hit an eye-popping, broken-bat homer early, then grounded a key single during a six-run surge in the eighth inning that sent the Nationals past the New York Mets 8-6 Monday night.
The Nationals rallied against five pitchers in their big burst, winning for just the fourth time in 13 games. The Mets had been off to the best start in franchise history behind the top bullpen in the majors before collapsing.
''That was big, super big. I'm not going to sit here and lie,'' Nationals manager Dave Martinez said. ''It's a big pick-me-up. ... That dugout was electric.''
---
Harper hits broken-bat HR, helps Nats rally past Mets 8-6
The Associated Press
NEW YORK (AP) The shear power of Bryce Harper was startling. The late comeback by the Washington Nationals? Yep, that was shocking, too.
Harper hit an eye-popping, broken-bat homer early, then grounded a key single during a six-run surge in the eighth inning that sent the Nationals past the New York Mets 8-6 Monday night.
The Nationals rallied against five pitchers in their big burst, winning for just the fourth time in 13 games. The Mets had been off to the best start in franchise history behind the top bullpen in the majors before collapsing.
''That was big, super big. I'm not going to sit here and lie,'' Nationals manager Dave Martinez said. ''It's a big pick-me-up. ... That dugout was electric.''
Today's MLB Early Season Dog Trackers
Tues. 4/17
6:37 PM KC +175
7:05 PM COL +13
07:10 PM MIN +18
07:40 PM CIN +137
10:05 PM CHW +155
10:07 PM BOS +143
10:10 PM SD +172
10:10 PM SEA +157
Overall 34-44-0 43.59% +$327.00 For Fifty Dollar Bettor
Yesterday 1-1-0 50% +$30.00 For Fifty Dollar Bettor
Tues. 4/17
6:37 PM KC +175
7:05 PM COL +13
07:10 PM MIN +18
07:40 PM CIN +137
10:05 PM CHW +155
10:07 PM BOS +143
10:10 PM SD +172
10:10 PM SEA +157
Overall 34-44-0 43.59% +$327.00 For Fifty Dollar Bettor
Yesterday 1-1-0 50% +$30.00 For Fifty Dollar Bettor
[FONT="]For the rest of April I am going to filter out some teams based on hitting and pitching. We have enough stats to go on now...I don't think it makes sense to completely ignore current performance once we have some stats to go on. [/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]I showed you how to do this....so you can do it yourself if you don't want the filtered plays. Just go back to the beginning of this thread for the easy explanation and why you might want to do it.
[/FONT]So...today I filtered OUT... Cin , San Fran and Seattle are NOT PLAYs...based on Filtering for pitching/hitting.
That leaves us with just one play tonight.
If you have questions I will help you...but try to help yourself first by reading the beginning of the thread.
[FONT="]Do what you want...watch my tracking....play them how you want to...or follow my filtering.[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]It's up to you...I think it makes sense to filter them down now. [/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]Yesterday's Results 2-6-0[/FONT][FONT="] [/FONT][FONT="]25.00%[/FONT][FONT="] [/FONT][FONT="]-$163.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="] Today's MLB Filtered Select Early Season Dog Trackers[/FONT]
4/18
10:10 PM SD +155
Overall Record 36-50-0 41.86% +$163.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]I showed you how to do this....so you can do it yourself if you don't want the filtered plays. Just go back to the beginning of this thread for the easy explanation and why you might want to do it.
[/FONT]So...today I filtered OUT... Cin , San Fran and Seattle are NOT PLAYs...based on Filtering for pitching/hitting.
That leaves us with just one play tonight.
If you have questions I will help you...but try to help yourself first by reading the beginning of the thread.
[FONT="]Do what you want...watch my tracking....play them how you want to...or follow my filtering.[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]It's up to you...I think it makes sense to filter them down now. [/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]Yesterday's Results 2-6-0[/FONT][FONT="] [/FONT][FONT="]25.00%[/FONT][FONT="] [/FONT][FONT="]-$163.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="] Today's MLB Filtered Select Early Season Dog Trackers[/FONT]
4/18
10:10 PM SD +155
Overall Record 36-50-0 41.86% +$163.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
For the rest of April I am filtering the Select Dogs (+128 to +180 is what the "Select" means).
I'm filtering out playing against the top 20 pitchers. Most pitchers have a few games under their belt now...and every season there are some pitchers that are just "ON" ...so why go against somebody that is having one of those God like years when he just has nasty stuff?
The other filter is related to hitting. Jim Barnes swears hitting is more important than pitching. At least in some ways I think he is correct...although...like I just said ...there is no sense in going against the top 20 pitchers...of which some of those guys will be nearly un-hittable this season and have a career year.
So...today I filtered OUT : Toronto , Miami and San Fran.
This leaves us with just one pick again today....and it's Seattle.
Yesterday's filtering saved us close to a half a unit....I will keep an eye on the teams I filter out and make sure that it seems to be working.
I will do these filtered plays for the rest of April....then I will switch to a different system and provide plays for the rest of the season.
Yesterday's Results 0-1-0 0.00% -$50.00
Today's Filtered MLB Early Season Select Dog Trackers
3:40 PM SEA +163
Overall Record 36-51-0 41.38% +$113.50
I'm filtering out playing against the top 20 pitchers. Most pitchers have a few games under their belt now...and every season there are some pitchers that are just "ON" ...so why go against somebody that is having one of those God like years when he just has nasty stuff?
The other filter is related to hitting. Jim Barnes swears hitting is more important than pitching. At least in some ways I think he is correct...although...like I just said ...there is no sense in going against the top 20 pitchers...of which some of those guys will be nearly un-hittable this season and have a career year.
So...today I filtered OUT : Toronto , Miami and San Fran.
This leaves us with just one pick again today....and it's Seattle.
Yesterday's filtering saved us close to a half a unit....I will keep an eye on the teams I filter out and make sure that it seems to be working.
I will do these filtered plays for the rest of April....then I will switch to a different system and provide plays for the rest of the season.
Yesterday's Results 0-1-0 0.00% -$50.00
Today's Filtered MLB Early Season Select Dog Trackers
3:40 PM SEA +163
Overall Record 36-51-0 41.38% +$113.50
[FONT="]Today's MLB Filtered Select Dogs[/FONT]
[FONT="]4/20[/FONT]
[FONT="][/FONT]Nothing qualifies today.
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]Overall Record 36-52-0 40.91% +$63.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]Yesterday's Results 0-1-0 0.00% -$50.00
I have an idea for adding filtered faves into this system.
It seems like it naturally fits and it's a fun way to build a simple handicapping system.
I don't think this is the place to get into that too much.
Look me up in the twitterverse for that type of thing...or google is your friend.[/FONT]
[FONT="]4/20[/FONT]
[FONT="][/FONT]Nothing qualifies today.
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]Overall Record 36-52-0 40.91% +$63.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]Yesterday's Results 0-1-0 0.00% -$50.00
I have an idea for adding filtered faves into this system.
It seems like it naturally fits and it's a fun way to build a simple handicapping system.
I don't think this is the place to get into that too much.
Look me up in the twitterverse for that type of thing...or google is your friend.[/FONT]
[FONT="]I'm going to keep things very simple today.[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]We have two Filtered Select Dogs and another Filtered Fave. Play them or watch me track them. The choice is yours. [/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT]MLB Filtered Select Dogs
1:05 PM TOR +145
7:10 PM ATL +139
Overall Record 36-52-0 40.91% +$63.50
MLB Filtered Select Faves
4:05 PM PHI -173
Record 1-0-0 100% + $50
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT][FONT="]We have two Filtered Select Dogs and another Filtered Fave. Play them or watch me track them. The choice is yours. [/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="][/FONT]MLB Filtered Select Dogs
1:05 PM TOR +145
7:10 PM ATL +139
Overall Record 36-52-0 40.91% +$63.50
MLB Filtered Select Faves
4:05 PM PHI -173
Record 1-0-0 100% + $50
Two more Faves qualify today....no dogs made it through the filtering.
MLB Filtered Select Faves
01:10 PM DET -154
8:05 PM LAD -185
Yesterday's Results 1-0-0 100% +$50
Overall Record 2-0-0 100.00% +$100.00
MLB Filtered Select Dogs
Yesterday's Results 1-1-0 50.00% +$19.50
No Plays
Overall Results 37-53-0 41.11% +$83.00
MLB Filtered Select Faves
01:10 PM DET -154
8:05 PM LAD -185
Yesterday's Results 1-0-0 100% +$50
Overall Record 2-0-0 100.00% +$100.00
MLB Filtered Select Dogs
Yesterday's Results 1-1-0 50.00% +$19.50
No Plays
Overall Results 37-53-0 41.11% +$83.00
Nothing qualified yesterday...
MLB Select Faves
8:15 PM STL -162
8:40 PM COL -148
Updated Record 3-1-0 75.00% +$73.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Roughly speaking....it looks like the Filters have gained us approximately +4.5 Units so far...versus just playing the Select Dogs without filters.
These Faves are dog plays that were filtered OUT as NO PLAY....AND then playing on those FAVES that our filters find as PLAY ON.
It sounds complicated but it's not...in a nutshell...it's bad hitting vs. good hitting and making sure we aren't going against a top starting pitcher.
Very simple...very raw in this form...because...sometimes simple works. :toast:
MLB Select Faves
8:15 PM STL -162
8:40 PM COL -148
Updated Record 3-1-0 75.00% +$73.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Roughly speaking....it looks like the Filters have gained us approximately +4.5 Units so far...versus just playing the Select Dogs without filters.
These Faves are dog plays that were filtered OUT as NO PLAY....AND then playing on those FAVES that our filters find as PLAY ON.
It sounds complicated but it's not...in a nutshell...it's bad hitting vs. good hitting and making sure we aren't going against a top starting pitcher.
Very simple...very raw in this form...because...sometimes simple works. :toast:
I'm going to wrap this up today...I'm done with the Select Dogs and Select Faves. Final Records are below.
All I wanted to do was show people that they can do some of this themselves, and I wanted to illustrate some of the basics for filtering plays ect.
I will be doing more of this in the future playing around with systems and building filters.
Right now...I just don't have the time to keep doing these particular systems.
I intend to spend my time in the future giving you Better Systems and Information.
If I have a play today...which I might...I will post it here in the same thread.
Select Dogs Final Record
37-53-0 41.76% +$83.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Select Faves Final Record
4-2-0 66.67% +42.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
All I wanted to do was show people that they can do some of this themselves, and I wanted to illustrate some of the basics for filtering plays ect.
I will be doing more of this in the future playing around with systems and building filters.
Right now...I just don't have the time to keep doing these particular systems.
I intend to spend my time in the future giving you Better Systems and Information.
If I have a play today...which I might...I will post it here in the same thread.
Select Dogs Final Record
37-53-0 41.76% +$83.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
Select Faves Final Record
4-2-0 66.67% +42.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor
