Martinga's Bets

[Martinga]

Bolivia vs Argentina (-0.5 and -1) @ 1.877 = (10 units)

Czech Republic (-1) vs Slovakia @ 1.901 = (1 unit)

Wales vs Germany (-1) @ 1.800 = (1 unit)

Georgia vs Montenegro (+0) @ 2.100 = (1 unit)

Austria (0 and +0.5) vs Romania @ 1.917 = (1 unit)

My record as of April 7th stands at +2.5 units (29 wins - 24 loss - 6 push)


I was right on one thing, Argentina would score AT LEAST 1 goal, lmao.


Yeah it was brutal watching my team get butchered like that.

Anyway i expect to get back on track sometime this week



Picks for UEFA:

Villarreal vs Arsenal (+0) for Game 1.813 = (2 units)

I do know about Villareals insane streaks at home, and how they haven't lost to an English team in a long time. That said Arsenal is 100% healthy and will be bringing heavy ammo to this game.
Villareal won't be counting on Santi Cazorla, considering he is out with an injury.
Anyone who witnessed last weekends game from Arsenal would def consider betting on them. They look strong and very solid.



Manchester United vs Porto for Game 1.405 = (5 units)

Hopefully the squad isn't so tired and can manage to defeat Porto. Not a lot of value in the play, but hey, you can't compare Man U with Porto. I'm hoping Man U plays hard and scores so they can have a break for the next game.


Manchester United (-1 and -1.5) vs Porto for Game 1.990 (1 unit)

 

[Martinga]

Lost a lot of units on those games, so hopefully we'll get some units today.


Barcelona (-1 and -1.5) vs Bayern München for Game 1.980

I believe Barca will win simply cause both teams are playing offensively, but Barca just has the better offense and is playing at HOME.
Truth is that this bet could just be a -1 or pk bet, but the value on that is around the 1.3- 1.5 mark. Hence no real challenge or point on making such bets.


Barcelona/Bayern München (O 3) for Game 2.080

Both teams play offense, so expect to see lots of goals (whether the offense just dominates and manages to score, or because the defense on both teams isn't that amazing). With the way both teams have been scoring and letting goals in, its hard to imagine than we won't see more than 3 goals (remember, 3 goals = push)

Pinnacle doesn't allow me to bet on actual scores, which is unforunate.

I see Barca winning 3-1 or 4-1



These bets are risky but do have value (i'll explain better over the weekend)



I do have a small lean on Liverpool, but even a bigger lean on the UNDER. If you take a look at those two teams when matched up the scores are often 0-0 , 0-1 , 1-1, 0-0, etc


Liverpool game: 1-0 for Liverpool on a very boring match

 

[jimmy0607]

Que cagada con estos cuadros de mierda boludo , liverpool down 3 to 1, the under is way gone , and manchester yesterday just fuck everything up , barcelona is the only one that's holding me from going crazy

 

[Martinga]

Una cagada total. Igual tuve suerte y de orto no aposte en el de Liverpool contra el Chelsea.

I wanna go to sleep so i'll post the picks i made each for 1 unit

Chievo vs AC Milan (-1) for Game 2.740

Chievo vs AC Milan for Game 1.917

Napoli (-1) vs Atalanta for Game 2.650

Napoli vs Atalanta for Game 1.862

Genoa vs Juventus (+0) for Game 1.781

Genoa vs Juventus for Game 2.560


I'll do updates probably on Sunday

 

[Martinga]

Crappy Crappy weekend:

Update coming at night


For now some more picks:

Estudiantes La Plata vs Boca Juniors (0 and -0.5) for Game @ 2.280 = 2 units

Estudiantes La Plata vs Boca Juniors for Game @ 2.640 = 1 unit

Daily League Goals Argentine/Sunday 4 Matches (O 10) @ 1.990 = 1 unit

Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid (+0) for 1st Half @ 2.100 = 1 unit

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (+0) vs SV Werder Bremen for 1st Half @ 1.794 = 1 unit

 

[Martinga]

My record as of April 14th stands at -2.5 units (33 wins - 33 loss - 9 push)

Bayern München vs Barcelona (+0) for Game 2.040 = (2 units)

Bayern München vs Barcelona for Game 2.800 (0.5 unit)

Chelsea vs Liverpool for Game 3.050 (0.5 unit)

Chelsea vs Liverpool (0 and +0.5) for Game 1.800 (1 unit)


Explanation =

Bayern will play hard for maybe the first half (actually, a play on the first half for Bayern wouldn't be a bad idea)

But come on, we all know they won't score 4... not against Barcelona. If they wanna do that they'll go ALL offense.

Here is my prediction:

Bayern 1-0 or tie at half. Second half Messi comes in (yeah, i guarantee you he will not start). Messi will score on the second half, and Barcelona will win this one 2-1 or will just tie.

By the 70th if Bayern isn't up by at LEAST 2 goals (preferably 3) they'll give up and the rest of the game will just pace down.



For the Liverpool game, i'm honestly clueless. I think Liverpool with the way they have been playing (except against Chelsea) have been playing INSANE. Chelsea will be out of Terry, and hopefully Mascherano will be back for Liverpool.

I believe Liverpool can at LEAST tie this (which would still give me some kind of edge on the play. I'm not 100% sure about the win, but too much value on the line to pass up (3.050). Still betting small on these plays.

BOL