March Madness System Plays & *Ratings Thread (YTD: 124-80)

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With you on MSU and UNC :103631605 Played the 1st half over on the MSU/UCON game. I'll be looking for some 2nd half value.
 

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Final 4 Card goes 3-1

Hit both of the plays of the day and the doggy outright winner!!!
-Dead on with the Under in the UNC game I had it capped at 153!!!
:toast:

:103631605System Plays
3* UNC -7 Easy$

--I have UNC as -9 point favorites, I believe it will be a close game at half and the Tar Heels create some distance in the second half on their way to the Championship--
3* UNC Under 160.5 Easy$
--For the Season I have 7.5 Value points for the Under, and since the Conference Tourney's I have 11 Value points-- Both teams will push the ball in transition but looking for an Under Game--
2* Mich St. +5 Outright
2* Mich St. Under 134.5
lose
 

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Monday 4/6/09 Championship Game



:103631605System Plays
5* UNC Outright (ML-370)
3* UNC -7 (-120)
3* UNC/ Mich St. Under 153

--For the season, I have 4.5 Value points for the Under... However since the conference tournament games the under is a stronger play. The score of this game tonight will be somewhat of evidence that what matters the most is how the teams are playing now. The best way to look at this is to look at the games these teams have been played recently. Mainly the tournament style games that have been played on "neutral courts" [depending on the regions, but still considered (N)]. Since the the conference tournament games I have 6.5 Value Points on the Under. I have UNC getting a small lead and slowly extending it throughout the second half. The important thing here comes down to the final minutes as always. I look for UNC to have about a 5-7 point lead in these last minutes and extending the lead in the final minutes to win the National Championship by a score of 78-68-- Both teams will have the ability to push the ball in transition. However, this game will be determined by the game plan of the two teams. Michigan St. will attempt to slow the pace down and use traps and halfcourt sets on defense to cause havoc for UNC's fullcourt style. This may work and the game might slow down or cool off as shooters get hot/cold but in the end Hansbrough and Lawson will simply be too much. Alot of times the deciding factor in games are simply "better" players". This has been the case in the past tournament games for UNC. For example Nova and Oklahoma are great teams but simply not as good as UNC no matter how many times they play each other. This will also be the case tonight as well. UNC will hold on to the lead throughout the game and pull away in the end. This is the last game as a Tar Heel for these two seniors, along with Green and others and tonight they will go out as Champions.
-Here are some stats for the team leaders for UNC
Team Leaders
Points Tyler Hansbrough 20.8
Assists Ty Lawson 6.6
Rebounds Tyler Hansbrough 8.2
FG% Ty Lawson 53.9
Steals Ty Lawson 2.0
Blocks Ed Davis 1.8

N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons

:toast:
bballc.gif
 

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Thinking under and UNC like you, but haven't pulled the trigger
 

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Championship 5* Winner and Season/Tourney Update

:103631605System Plays
5* UNC Outright (ML-370) GOY$
3* UNC -7 (-120) Winner as predicted
3* UNC/ Mich St. Under 153 lose
--For the season, I have 4.5 Value points for the Under... However since the conference tournament games the under is a stronger play. The score of this game tonight will be somewhat of evidence that what matters the most is how the teams are playing now. The best way to look at this is to look at the games these teams have been played recently. Mainly the tournament style games that have been played on "neutral courts" [depending on the regions, but still considered (N)]. Since the the conference tournament games I have 6.5 Value Points on the Under. I have UNC getting a small lead and slowly extending it throughout the second half. The important thing here comes down to the final minutes as always. I look for UNC to have about a 5-7 point lead in these last minutes and extending the lead in the final minutes to win the National Championship by a score of 78-68-- Both teams will have the ability to push the ball in transition. However, this game will be determined by the game plan of the two teams. Michigan St. will attempt to slow the pace down and use traps and halfcourt sets on defense to cause havoc for UNC's fullcourt style. This may work and the game might slow down or cool off as shooters get hot/cold but in the end Hansbrough and Lawson will simply be too much. Alot of times the deciding factor in games are simply "better" players". This has been the case in the past tournament games for UNC. For example Nova and Oklahoma are great teams but simply not as good as UNC no matter how many times they play each other. This will also be the case tonight as well. UNC will hold on to the lead throughout the game and pull away in the end. This is the last game as a Tar Heel for these two seniors, along with Green and others and tonight they will go out as Champions.
-Here are some stats for the team leaders for UNC
Team Leaders
Points Tyler Hansbrough 20.8
Assists Ty Lawson 6.6
Rebounds Tyler Hansbrough 8.2
FG% Ty Lawson 53.9
Steals Ty Lawson 2.0
Blocks Ed Davis 1.8


N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons

:toast:
bballc.gif
:103631605Season Update:
Round 1: 7-7
Round 2: 6-6
Sweet 16: 6-4
Elite 8: 2-3
Final 4: 3-1
Championship: 2-1 GOY $
NIT/CBI: 4-3
Tournament: 30-25 (+6 Units)
:103631605Season: 157-114 (+53.5 Units)
 
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