Lets consider Miami hasn;t moved the ball at all, only score came when they got the ball on the other side of the 50, if they have to go the length of the field, forget about it. Plus FG's will soon be out of the equation.
Miami isn't going to let another team run them off the field at home. They will be able to come back here. I'm not sure they will win but they should cover 6 1/2 points.