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so why reply to something that's pointless? maybe you're the idiot who needs to find something better to do.

ur the one making a golden rule because of 5 games not me. unc and duke are both teams the public is in love with so who really cares who they take in this game?
 

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there is a game tonight that points were added to that no one is even talking about is the hysterical thing.
 

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there is a game tonight that points were added to that no one is even talking about is the hysterical thing.

Houston, down from 8 1/2 to 7 despite 94% on Houston? no, you said points were added, i got so many scartch outs on my index card here....is it towson? UMASS from 10 to 11? i respect everyone's opinion and try to give mine respectfully.

i was only trying to point out to the thread starter that fading the public is a 50/50 proposition. i am trying to find some trends to play, but you are right, sooner or later all trends even out, but when one evens out another emerges. my handicapping sux and i have a bad habit of tailing the wrong guys, just trying something different.
 

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no man its the sooners game they go from a 7 point home favorite against baylor to a 2.5 road favorite in 2 weeks. there now a 4 point favorite when the game is really a tossup or should be baylor -1 or -2 but obviously they cant make that as the line. but the power rankings dont change nearly that fast believe me.

and baylor has been playing like shit no doubt but oklahoma hasnt exactly been setting the world on fire last 3 games either.
 

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This spread is an absolute joke. Should be UNC -8 or so. UNC by 10+ tonight. Duke is a joke.
 

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no man its the sooners game they go from a 7 point home favorite against baylor to a 2.5 road favorite in 2 weeks. there now a 4 point favorite when the game is really a tossup or should be baylor -1 or -2 but obviously they cant make that as the line. but the power rankings dont change nearly that fast believe me.

and baylor has been playing like shit no doubt but oklahoma hasnt exactly been setting the world on fire last 3 games either.

i have backed baylor in a couple other threads. i think they win SU. What you think about Memphis/tulsa? took a buzzer beater for memphis to win the last game between them as a 2 1/2 point fave, now they lay 14 at home a month later?
 

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no this post is a joke how dumb do you have to be to take unc -8 in this game

Not that dumb in my opinion. I have been saying all year Duke is a joke. I think the actual spread should be around -8. At this number it would make me think about who to take. At -2 it is a no brainer. UNC wins this game 9 out of 10 times. They are better at every position and just a better team all around.

Now did Vegas set the line right getting equal action on both sides? I guess time will tell. But my line for this game was -8. Good luck whatever way you go.
 

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ah im not sure on that memphis tulsa line seems a shade high to me memphis could let down after the zags game i would lean to tulsa, im 100% sure that points were added oklahoma in this game though, baylor winning striaght up wouldnt be that much of a shock at all, i really thikn ur seeing oklahoma at their highest point and baylor at there absolute lowest.
 

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Not that dumb in my opinion. I have been saying all year Duke is a joke. I think the actual spread should be around -8. At this number it would make me think about who to take. At -2 it is a no brainer. UNC wins this game 9 out of 10 times. They are better at every position and just a better team all around.

Now did Vegas set the line right getting equal action on both sides? I guess time will tell. But my line for this game was -8. Good luck whatever way you go.

i think 2 is a shade low honestly but 8 is way to high i thought 3 3.5 at the most.
 

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Not that dumb in my opinion. I have been saying all year Duke is a joke. I think the actual spread should be around -8. At this number it would make me think about who to take. At -2 it is a no brainer. UNC wins this game 9 out of 10 times. They are better at every position and just a better team all around.

Now did Vegas set the line right getting equal action on both sides? I guess time will tell. But my line for this game was -8. Good luck whatever way you go.

obviously not, 85% on unc. despite that, line has hardly moved all day, which makes me think vegas has a line they like.
 

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ah im not sure on that memphis tulsa line seems a shade high to me memphis could let down after the zags game i would lean to tulsa, im 100% sure that points were added oklahoma in this game though, baylor winning striaght up wouldnt be that much of a shock at all, i really thikn ur seeing oklahoma at their highest point and baylor at there absolute lowest.

i'm curious if they are factoring in the distraction of the tornadoes that swept through oklahoma, both ou and tulsa playing road games the next day. if i was a better researcher i would go and look at how teams do away from home under similar circumstances....
 

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the line not moving is another misconception, it doesnt really mean that much IMO because its entirely possible that the big money is on duke because they dont really see the line getting any better perhaps.

it should also go noted that the big money is stubborn just like everyone else, when they see a high quality team like duke getting points at home they are going to go with it 100% of the time, especially when duke has a better coach.
 

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i'm curious if they are factoring in the distraction of the tornadoes that swept through oklahoma, both ou and tulsa playing road games the next day. if i was a better researcher i would go and look at how teams do away from home under similar circumstances....

ah im not so sure its that big of a factor really if i had to guess.
 

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the line not moving is another misconception, it doesnt really mean that much IMO because its entirely possible that the big money is on duke because they dont really see the line getting any better perhaps.

it should also go noted that the big money is stubborn just like everyone else, when they see a high quality team like duke getting points at home they are going to go with it 100% of the time, especially when duke has a better coach.

figure with it being 2 high profile teams on national tv, it was a sharp line from the beginning. the ou/baylor # hasn't moved. syarcuse/UCONN has gone to -12, although the public is leaning 60/40 in favor of uconn where it was 75/25.

but yeah, i was on uconn last week no matter what because i was getting points.
 

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ya exactly those are 2 big names they are going to get a ton of action on the game regardless they would be thrilled to get 50 50 action and make a ton of juice barring a push of course.
 

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just because more people are on unc and less are on duke doesnt really mean they arent getting equal action in terms of cash
 

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just because more people are on unc and less are on duke doesnt really mean they arent getting equal action in terms of cash

Good point... and big money doesnt necessarily equate to smart money. Huge misconception by a lot of people.
 

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Good point... and big money doesnt necessarily equate to smart money. Huge misconception by a lot of people.

it is a good point, especially since there are a lot of rich duke alums out there. i have to go now though enjoy the games tonight
 

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Not that dumb in my opinion. I have been saying all year Duke is a joke. I think the actual spread should be around -8. At this number it would make me think about who to take. At -2 it is a no brainer. UNC wins this game 9 out of 10 times. They are better at every position and just a better team all around.
.

This goes to proving my point
 

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