im saying the following
in race 6 at randwick the 5 horse has a 68 % win chance - its current price reads 10-1 its a good bet at that price --- yet it may still lose
in eurusd - for 130 point profit with 37 point risk the chance of that occurring is about 28-29 %
in roulette the number 6 has approximately a 40 % chance of being the next number yet i can get 35-1 - of course there is randomness to numbers there always is in patterns-- its just calculating the probability to bet at a time to maximise the return.
to say that im wrong is not related to the other 7 horses in the race, or the other market participants or the randomness of roulette itself - but if those numbers are accurate then Im betting at my advantage not the casino's
if anyone cant change the odds in their favor and play the game as it stands then you cant win. that has never been in dispute
PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE STOP! How could one number ever have a 40% chance of winning? Why because it hasn't been selected in 100 times? That doesn't give it a 40% chance of winning. Sure over the long run the same number of sixes will come up as 5's. But the long run is Trillions of trials. I think that is what everyone is missing that agrees with either of these two. This is not days of work, this would be 100's of years of data that you would have to collect from one table, and still it may take infinite amount of time for it to even out.
THESE NUMBERS DO NOT CORRELATE! There is no direct correlation between getting one number one time and another the next. I think that is what you are missing. The main problem is the wheel is checked and changed sometimes at the end of everyday so if you think that the wheel may have a pattern it will change the next day. I can not believe that people actually think they can beat the numbers.
Do you think you can fly to? Can you beat physics?