Live Handicapping Thread Saturday 4/3/21

[MrGandT]

just didn't think Irad is gonna win another one.....

Total wagered $164.00
Total returned $322.30

SA Race 8

This race is really head scratcher for me. On paper, one has to take 7- Medina Spirit. Here are few things that causes me to have reservations. Yes, he is trained by Baffert and has pretty run faster than any one else here. But he is a Florida bred that cost only $35k. He hasn't beaten anyone that is really good.... at these odds, I am gonna pass. The 2-Dream Shake seems like the next logical winner, he is out Twirling Candy, trained by Eurton whom I liked. But Eurton has a terrible stake record, will it change today?? Not sure. The 3-Rock Your World looked good winning the first two, but they were on turf, but the big switch now?? 4-Parnelli ML 30-1, enough said. 5-Back Ring Luck and 6- Ottothelegend has yet run a Beyer that his 80... passed. 8-Law Professor just broke maiden... and trainer McCarthy is having a tough meet... 9- The Great One may be the great one, but what happened last time?? That leaves us the 10- Defunded, ML 8-1, and trained by Baffert, bred in Kentucky, cost $210k, out of Dialed In colt...

Today, Cox came 1,2 and Pletcher came 1,2 at Kee and Aqu... So why not Baffert??

$10WP 10
$5ExB 7,10

Risking $30

 

[Michelangelo]

Oak
11th
$6.00 exactas
#2 over #s 3, 4, 7
$2.00 exactas
#s 3, 4, 7 Over #2
($24.00 total bet)
5 min

My #2 went off at 8-1 but the stinkin' 4/5 fav won. I hit the exacta but lost .80 cents. (See Gravy. Should have weighted this bet to the 4/5 horse. Nope. Dope.)

-436.00 -24.00 = -460.00
+303.20 +23.20 = +326.40

 

[Gravy]

Last race for me today

SA Race 8 (+142.75)

.50 Tri wheel

3 7 10 / 2 3 6 7 8 10 / 2 3 6 7 8 9 10


37.50 Total Bet

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
8th
$4.00 exaca boxes
#9 with #s 2, 8, 10
$8.00 exacta
#s 7, 9
($40.00 total bet)
1 min

 

[MrGandT]

SA Race 8

This race is really head scratcher for me. On paper, one has to take 7- Medina Spirit. Here are few things that causes me to have reservations. Yes, he is trained by Baffert and has pretty run faster than any one else here. But he is a Florida bred that cost only $35k. He hasn't beaten anyone that is really good.... at these odds, I am gonna pass. The 2-Dream Shake seems like the next logical winner, he is out Twirling Candy, trained by Eurton whom I liked. But Eurton has a terrible stake record, will it change today?? Not sure. The 3-Rock Your World looked good winning the first two, but they were on turf, but the big switch now?? 4-Parnelli ML 30-1, enough said. 5-Back Ring Luck and 6- Ottothelegend has yet run a Beyer that his 80... passed. 8-Law Professor just broke maiden... and trainer McCarthy is having a tough meet... 9- The Great One may be the great one, but what happened last time?? That leaves us the 10- Defunded, ML 8-1, and trained by Baffert, bred in Kentucky, cost $210k, out of Dialed In colt...

Today, Cox came 1,2 and Pletcher came 1,2 at Kee and Aqu... So why not Baffert??

$10WP 10
$5ExB 7,10

Risking $30

\
Guess they saw something they like and try him on dirt on a big race....

Total wagered: $194.00
Total returned: $322.30

That's it for me, no more form to study... See you all tomorrow.

 

[Michelangelo]

Last race for me today

SA Race 8 (+142.75)

.50 Tri wheel

3 7 10 / 2 3 6 7 8 10 / 2 3 6 7 8 9 .


37.50 Total Bet

You got another one, Gravy.

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
8th
$4.00 exaca boxes
#9 with #s 2, 8, 10
$8.00 exacta
#s 7, 9
($40.00 total bet)
1 min

The #9 stunk.

-460.00 -40.00 = -500.00
+326.40

 

[Michelangelo]

\
Guess they saw something they like and try him on dirt on a big race....

Total wagered: $194.00
Total returned: $322.30

That's it for me, no more form to study... See you all tomorrow.

Three more at SA, Mr G&T.

 

[Gravy]

Last race for me today

SA Race 8 (+142.75)

.50 Tri wheel

3 7 10 / 2 3 6 7 8 10 / 2 3 6 7 8 9 10


37.50 Total Bet

There is my boy Umberto hell yeah

Winner comes 3 - 7 -2 - 10 - 8

50 Tri pays 30.25

Lose 7.25 on the race

+135.50 for the day

everybody have a nice Easter and take care

 

[Gravy]

You got another one, Gravy.

Thxs Michelangelo Umberto is a very underrated rider at SA doesnt get the pub I think he deserves I know Prat is king but this kid to me is special and only will get better and better

 

[MrGandT]

Three more at SA, Mr G&T.

yeah, but I didn’t buy the form for SA today, Race 8 was DRF Race of the day so free pp for that race. GL everyone.

 

[Gravy]

By the way Baffert has only 2 horses left for the Derby IMO

Concert Tour who is his best chance and Hozier

Medina Spirit is done no chance for the Derby no heart

 

[MrGandT]

Thxs Michelangelo Umberto is a very underrated rider at SA doesnt get the pub I think he deserves I know Prat is king but this kid to me is special and only will get better and better

I am not sure if he is underrated, he is definitely very good. To me, I think Prat is overrated, can’t stand him....

 

[MrGandT]

By the way Baffert has only 2 horses left for the Derby IMO

Concert Tour who is his best chance and Hozier

Medina Spirit is done no chance for the Derby no heart

Medina is definitely done, funky cold... lol

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
9th
$16.00 Win
$8.00 Place
#7 Rideforthecause
1 min

There is a ton of speed in this race. As they all tire this horse should be coming from the clouds. I hope.

 

[Michelangelo]

You've gotta give both Pratt and Rispoli an extra hard look when playing SA. They get the mounts.

Real nice ride by Rispoli today.

 

[Longsilver]

+111$. REM-R3) #2 Mr C Cartel 5,50$WP

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
9th
$16.00 Win
$8.00 Place
#7 Rideforthecause
1 min

There is a ton of speed in this race. As they all tire this horse should be coming from the clouds. I hope.

What did we just say. My horse just didn't have the kick I hoped for. But guess who ran 1, 2? Yep. Pratt, Rispoli.

-500.00 -24.00 = -524.00
+326.40

 

[Longsilver]

+111$. REM-R3) #2 Mr C Cartel 5,50$WP

2nd paid 11,55$

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
10th
$6.00 exactas
#9 over #s 1, 4, 5, 6
($24.00 total bet)
8 minutes