damn, picked the wrong one - 5-3-4SAR R3
You have the #3 and #4, both of whom seem to have an aversion to crossing the finish line first. So, to me, it's between the #2 and #5. The 5 is taking a step up in class while the 2 is taking a step down. There ya go.
#2 Elysian Meadows - $20 Win
$4 exacta 2/3,4