<meta http-equiv="CONTENT-TYPE" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"><title></title><meta name="GENERATOR" content="OpenOffice.org 3.0 (Win32)"><style type="text/css"> <!-- @page { margin: 0.79in } P { margin-bottom: 0.08in } --> </style> Rule #1
Matchbook always has the best line for both sides. If they don't, go to the other book and bet that line. It's a winner.
Rule #2
Matchbook needs action on both sides to function. It's an exchange. If they aren't taking action on one side of the game (throwing out a ridiculous line that's nowhere close to .01), bet on that team. It's a winner.
RULE #3 - Watch 5Dimes
All books use .10 lines, except for Matchbook which is an exchange. However, in an exchange, you simply can't put down whatever bet you want. It has to be matched to be accepted.
There is one book (excluding Pinnacle's .08 lines) that feature lines less than .10 where your bet is instantly accepted. That's 5dimes, and that's only overnight.
If you're a professional bettor looking for the cheapest lines where you can put a large amount on one side and allow it to be accepted, you would go to 5Dimes, and you would bet overnight.
5Dimes changes overnight lines back to .10 around 9:00am EST. They frequently move the line in favor of one team as money has come in on this team overnight. Bet on that team.
Here's the PHI-SDG game (this would indicate a PHI bet)
06/03 12:20AM: +106 / -111
06/03 07:56AM: +100 / -110
Here's the CLE-MIN game (this would indicate a CLE bet)
06/02 11:53PM: -107 / +102
06/03 08:47AM: -114 / +104
Make sure the line move is significant. When the line moves 3 points in one team's favor, and 2 points in the other team's favor is not significant.
RULE #4
Remember the opening number.
Look at the opening number. Now look at how the line has moved. If the opening number was the best number for the team, and since they've moved the line far away from that team, bet that team.
I'll explain with games from yesterday.
Line History:
Jamaica
Game:
New York Mets
vs
Washington Nationals
MONEYLINES
06/04 04:10PM: +113 / -123
06/05 08:02AM: +111 / -121
06/05 08:49AM: +108 / -118
06/05 08:54AM: +105 / -115
06/05 10:50AM: +104 / -114
06/05 11:23AM: +103 / -113
06/05 11:23AM: +102 / -112
06/05 11:25AM: +101 / -111
06/05 01:38PM: +100 / -110
06/05 05:21PM: -101 / -109
06/05 06:24PM: -103 / -107
06/05 06:54PM: -105 / -105
06/05 07:01PM: -106 / -104
BetJamaica is one of the 5 books to offer afternoon lines, by that I mean lines that are available 4:00 the day before. Them and Pinnacle are the only reduced juice books to offer this, TheGreek and CRIS/Bookmaker offer 20 cent lines.
The number they opened with for the Mets was +113. Now look at the line movement. Never again did that line hit +113. The Mets won in extras.
I wanted to point out the difference between "sharp" line movement and "public" line movement.
Sharp movement happens during two times - once the line opens in the afternoon (at Pinnacle/CRIS/Olympic) and overnight. Public line movement happens hours before the game.
I'm not going to be posting "plays" and tracking a record. I just want to give information that you can use for analysis like I do.
For example, I've decided to bet on Arizona tonight using the rules.
Arizona
Line opened at -114 at BetJam, already up to -129
Steady ascending movement, no moves back to SDG
5Dimes .05 line was -120, when changed to .10 this morning it was -130
Bad line at Wager Street (-120) compared to Matchbook (-125)
Matchbook features .01 lines, although some games with high juice have ~.05 lines. There are times near the closing number when one of the numbers is out of wack, and there's a .30+ line. That's because there simply is too much demand on one side - this is an exchange and you need to agree on a number. When you see the .30 line, you bet on the team with the line that is way off.
Take the BOS-DET game for example. Boston was around -145 at all the books. At Matchbook, they're -187. No one is going to bet -187, the book is showing a terrible number because it's a winner.
Just use Rule #2 on games where the lines are way off in favor of one side at Matchbook. The OAK-CWS game wasn't, it shouldn't be included, it was off on both sides. The BOS-DET game is an example of what you should do.
I should note that these games rarely happen.
Matchbook always has the best line for both sides. If they don't, go to the other book and bet that line. It's a winner.
Rule #2
Matchbook needs action on both sides to function. It's an exchange. If they aren't taking action on one side of the game (throwing out a ridiculous line that's nowhere close to .01), bet on that team. It's a winner.
RULE #3 - Watch 5Dimes
All books use .10 lines, except for Matchbook which is an exchange. However, in an exchange, you simply can't put down whatever bet you want. It has to be matched to be accepted.
There is one book (excluding Pinnacle's .08 lines) that feature lines less than .10 where your bet is instantly accepted. That's 5dimes, and that's only overnight.
If you're a professional bettor looking for the cheapest lines where you can put a large amount on one side and allow it to be accepted, you would go to 5Dimes, and you would bet overnight.
5Dimes changes overnight lines back to .10 around 9:00am EST. They frequently move the line in favor of one team as money has come in on this team overnight. Bet on that team.
Here's the PHI-SDG game (this would indicate a PHI bet)
06/03 12:20AM: +106 / -111
06/03 07:56AM: +100 / -110
Here's the CLE-MIN game (this would indicate a CLE bet)
06/02 11:53PM: -107 / +102
06/03 08:47AM: -114 / +104
Make sure the line move is significant. When the line moves 3 points in one team's favor, and 2 points in the other team's favor is not significant.
RULE #4
Remember the opening number.
Look at the opening number. Now look at how the line has moved. If the opening number was the best number for the team, and since they've moved the line far away from that team, bet that team.
I'll explain with games from yesterday.
Line History:
Jamaica
Game:
New York Mets
vs
Washington Nationals
MONEYLINES
06/04 04:10PM: +113 / -123
06/05 08:02AM: +111 / -121
06/05 08:49AM: +108 / -118
06/05 08:54AM: +105 / -115
06/05 10:50AM: +104 / -114
06/05 11:23AM: +103 / -113
06/05 11:23AM: +102 / -112
06/05 11:25AM: +101 / -111
06/05 01:38PM: +100 / -110
06/05 05:21PM: -101 / -109
06/05 06:24PM: -103 / -107
06/05 06:54PM: -105 / -105
06/05 07:01PM: -106 / -104
BetJamaica is one of the 5 books to offer afternoon lines, by that I mean lines that are available 4:00 the day before. Them and Pinnacle are the only reduced juice books to offer this, TheGreek and CRIS/Bookmaker offer 20 cent lines.
The number they opened with for the Mets was +113. Now look at the line movement. Never again did that line hit +113. The Mets won in extras.
I wanted to point out the difference between "sharp" line movement and "public" line movement.
Sharp movement happens during two times - once the line opens in the afternoon (at Pinnacle/CRIS/Olympic) and overnight. Public line movement happens hours before the game.
I'm not going to be posting "plays" and tracking a record. I just want to give information that you can use for analysis like I do.
For example, I've decided to bet on Arizona tonight using the rules.
Arizona
Line opened at -114 at BetJam, already up to -129
Steady ascending movement, no moves back to SDG
5Dimes .05 line was -120, when changed to .10 this morning it was -130
Bad line at Wager Street (-120) compared to Matchbook (-125)
Matchbook features .01 lines, although some games with high juice have ~.05 lines. There are times near the closing number when one of the numbers is out of wack, and there's a .30+ line. That's because there simply is too much demand on one side - this is an exchange and you need to agree on a number. When you see the .30 line, you bet on the team with the line that is way off.
Take the BOS-DET game for example. Boston was around -145 at all the books. At Matchbook, they're -187. No one is going to bet -187, the book is showing a terrible number because it's a winner.
Just use Rule #2 on games where the lines are way off in favor of one side at Matchbook. The OAK-CWS game wasn't, it shouldn't be included, it was off on both sides. The BOS-DET game is an example of what you should do.
I should note that these games rarely happen.
Rules repost:
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Matchbook always has the best line for both sides. If they don't, go to the other book and bet that line. It's a winner.
Rule #2
Matchbook needs action on both sides to function. It's an exchange. If they aren't taking action on one side of the game (throwing out a ridiculous line that's nowhere close to .01), bet on that team. It's a winner.
RULE #3 - Watch 5Dimes
All books use .10 lines, except for Matchbook which is an exchange. However, in an exchange, you simply can't put down whatever bet you want. It has to be matched to be accepted.
There is one book (excluding Pinnacle's .08 lines) that feature lines less than .10 where your bet is instantly accepted. That's 5dimes, and that's only overnight.
If you're a professional bettor looking for the cheapest lines where you can put a large amount on one side and allow it to be accepted, you would go to 5Dimes, and you would bet overnight.
5Dimes changes overnight lines back to .10 around 9:00am EST. They frequently move the line in favor of one team as money has come in on this team overnight. Bet on that team.
Here's the PHI-SDG game (this would indicate a PHI bet)
06/03 12:20AM: +106 / -111
06/03 07:56AM: +100 / -110
Here's the CLE-MIN game (this would indicate a CLE bet)
06/02 11:53PM: -107 / +102
06/03 08:47AM: -114 / +104
Make sure the line move is significant. When the line moves 3 points in one team's favor, and 2 points in the other team's favor is not significant.
RULE #4
Remember the opening number.
Look at the opening number. Now look at how the line has moved. If the opening number was the best number for the team, and since they've moved the line far away from that team, bet that team.[FONT="]<o
></o>[/FONT]
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{page:Section1;} --> </style><!--[if gte mso 10]> <style> /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]--> Rule #1Matchbook always has the best line for both sides. If they don't, go to the other book and bet that line. It's a winner.
Rule #2
Matchbook needs action on both sides to function. It's an exchange. If they aren't taking action on one side of the game (throwing out a ridiculous line that's nowhere close to .01), bet on that team. It's a winner.
RULE #3 - Watch 5Dimes
All books use .10 lines, except for Matchbook which is an exchange. However, in an exchange, you simply can't put down whatever bet you want. It has to be matched to be accepted.
There is one book (excluding Pinnacle's .08 lines) that feature lines less than .10 where your bet is instantly accepted. That's 5dimes, and that's only overnight.
If you're a professional bettor looking for the cheapest lines where you can put a large amount on one side and allow it to be accepted, you would go to 5Dimes, and you would bet overnight.
5Dimes changes overnight lines back to .10 around 9:00am EST. They frequently move the line in favor of one team as money has come in on this team overnight. Bet on that team.
Here's the PHI-SDG game (this would indicate a PHI bet)
06/03 12:20AM: +106 / -111
06/03 07:56AM: +100 / -110
Here's the CLE-MIN game (this would indicate a CLE bet)
06/02 11:53PM: -107 / +102
06/03 08:47AM: -114 / +104
Make sure the line move is significant. When the line moves 3 points in one team's favor, and 2 points in the other team's favor is not significant.
RULE #4
Remember the opening number.
Look at the opening number. Now look at how the line has moved. If the opening number was the best number for the team, and since they've moved the line far away from that team, bet that team.[FONT="]<o
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