Let's Wager On Some Hockey Games With Kevy > NHL Hockey 2015-2016

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Handicapper
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:toast:
 

The Miracle Worker
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Gentleman thanks for the good words.

Heading out to see the Hateful Eight. Will line
the three wednesday hockey games later tonight.

GL wednesday wagers.
 
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Gentleman thanks for the good words.

Heading out to see the Hateful Eight. Will line
the three wednesday hockey games later tonight.

GL wednesday wagers.



I'm always late to seeing shit. Haven't seen that but want to.... I just today bought tickets to The Revenant for tomorrow.
 

The Miracle Worker
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Tuesday January 19


Toronto Maple Leafs ML +135 :chest:


Both of my two sets of numbers project a Toronto win.
When I lined this game last night I lined it at Toronto -115
Getting a team at +135 that I lined at -115 sounds good to me.

GL Tuesday Hockey




Nice win. Now on to Wednesday.
 

The Miracle Worker
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Wednesday January 20



Detroit Red Wings ML -115


My two sets of numbers have Detroit winning by 2 on both sets.
And also my personal line that I set for this game was Detroit -250.
Detroit as a favorite fits in to my "We don't want value....We want winners"

GL Wednesday wagers.
 

The Miracle Worker
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If Detroit fucks us ( I know it is early ) I am done with these fuckers.
 

The Miracle Worker
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So fucking depressed that I wasted two wagers this week
( sunday and tonight ) on these shit bags.
 
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So fucking depressed that I wasted two wagers this week
( sunday and tonight ) on these shit bags.

shake it off bro. Anything involving Detroit will make anyone depressed. Start a new streak, no worries
 

The Miracle Worker
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I can not properly line or cap a Detroit Red Wings game it seems.

My personal line seems to way over value Detroit. And also my
two sets of numbers always has them strong and winning by two.

We will try and lay off them for a little while at least. Either they are
under-performing or I am over-valuing or a combo of both.

On to Thursday.
 

The Miracle Worker
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Wednesday January 20



Detroit Red Wings ML -115 kth)(&^


My two sets of numbers have Detroit winning by 2 on both sets.
And also my personal line that I set for this game was Detroit -250.
Detroit as a favorite fits in to my "We don't want value....We want winners"

GL Wednesday wagers.




Well we had won all 7 money line wagers in this thread. But we could not get the 8th
one tonight to keep the money line streak going. We are running real good in this thread.
I was sorta pissed earlier because I was hoping I could maybe hit 10 money lines with out a loss.
Thursday I will try and get another money line streak going. Now time to get back to work.
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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Hey man, if we went 7-1 every 8 plays we'd all be retired. Hell of a start to this thread and no one's complaining- we're all thankful. Keep up the good work, Kevy. Let's get back on the winning track on Thursday. BOL.
 

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I can not properly line or cap a Detroit Red Wings game it seems.

My personal line seems to way over value Detroit. And also my
two sets of numbers always has them strong and winning by two.

We will try and lay off them for a little while at least. Either they are
under-performing or I am over-valuing or a combo of both.

On to Thursday.

Or maybe it's just variance and the best team - or the team you see the value with - doesn't always win. I'm not someone who thinks a wager was bad just because it lost. What if you bet a +200 dog that you knew was guaranteed to win only 40% of the time. That would still be a great wager, right? Even though you'd lose more games than you'd win. Would that be a bad wager just because it lost the first game you tried it, or even the first 2? Of course not. I gather based on your fan base in here that you're experienced enough to know all this on your own, but I'm a bit mystified as to why you're willing to abandon a strategy or betting angle just because a game lost. Chin up dude, and on to Thursday.
 

The Miracle Worker
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Or maybe it's just variance and the best team - or the team you see the value with - doesn't always win. I'm not someone who thinks a wager was bad just because it lost. What if you bet a +200 dog that you knew was guaranteed to win only 40% of the time. That would still be a great wager, right? Even though you'd lose more games than you'd win. Would that be a bad wager just because it lost the first game you tried it, or even the first 2? Of course not. I gather based on your fan base in here that you're experienced enough to know all this on your own, but I'm a bit mystified as to why you're willing to abandon a strategy or betting angle just because a game lost. Chin up dude, and on to Thursday.




All is good. I run my two sets of numbers on ever game.
I see where they match up. And I create and set my own
personal line (side and total) for each and every game. I look
to see where my line is different from Vegas/Offshore. Then
I go back to my two sets of numbers and see how it compares
to what my line is.

In Baseball I would always run in to one team or maybe two that my
line and my two sets of numbers would always project that team to
be either way stronger or way weaker than what they actually were.

Detroit is a good team. But a jinx team of sorts for me. I went back
and looked at notes of games I lined for them (leans that i did not play)
And my line seems to always be way off for them whether they won or lost.

I always try to spot stuff like that and be aware of it.

GL thursdsy wagets.
 
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The ordinary bettor doesn't have the luxury to see where they went wrong imo. If you can do that for even half of your losses, you will only get even better.
 

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