Let's talk about the NFL ... Week #9 .... What do you like ??

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Appreciate the insight, didn't realize or know that record. Won't back me down though. You GB backers, I'd tread extremely light. I'm going to the game, they're going nuts over it here in Charlotte. I suspect that debacle last Monday night was due to a little look ahead. I'd be really surprised if the Panthers didn't win by a touchdown. Personally not playing the game, but I see some "I want respect" coming. GL to your wagers.

~T~
Yeah I think the big ben v Raiders record is fluky.

CAR/GB a game I have 0 interest in. GB WR's having major issues separating, Hilton/Moncrief could not separate and are arguably better than Cobb/Adams.

Cobb has had major issues separating, don't think facing a top 3 CB in the league will cure that. Tillman very oddly playing good coverage this year, GL to all though I hope everyone wins.
 

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I wonder when it was that the Raiders last won 3 games in a row? I kind of think that would be quite an accomplishment for them, lol.
 

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I wonder when it was that the Raiders last won 3 games in a row? I kind of think that would be quite an accomplishment for them, lol.

Actually just looked I up. 2011. Not that long go.
 

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I wonder when it was that the Raiders last won 3 games in a row? I kind of think that would be quite an accomplishment for them, lol.

Actually just looked I up. 2011. Not that long go.



Good teams win 3 games in a row about twice a year......Raiders are not a good team as you stated, they haven't done it since 2011.......4 years ago.
 

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Rams +2
Packers ML

2 Huge plays.....Good luck!
 

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I'm surprised, but at the same time not, how quickly people can jump off the Aaron Rodgers band wagon. The guy comes out flat on the road, off a bye, vs the best defense in the league, and all of sudden people don't have faith he can beat CAR. The game this week means much more to GB than the game at DEN last week. Will have huge impact on home field advantage for the NFC playoffs.

I agree. The Car D is good but they are not in the same league as the Den D. As long as Rodgers stays away from J Norman I think he will do pretty well. Plus the Car D line looked awfully tired last week in the 4th quarter against Ind, and If GB can get the running game going a little bit they might be able wear them down.
 

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I agree. The Car D is good but they are not in the same league as the Den D. As long as Rodgers stays away from J Norman I think he will do pretty well. Plus the Car D line looked awfully tired last week in the 4th quarter against Ind, and If GB can get the running game going a little bit they might be able wear them down.


Denver D is incredible. They keep winning games for Manning. I won't be surprised if they lose to Indy this week. Carolina has been special this season. I can only cross my fingers this week!!!
 
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I so much wanted to use the Steelers, but I just couldn't do it.

Everyone i talk to is on them
 
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I agree. The Car D is good but they are not in the same league as the Den D. As long as Rodgers stays away from J Norman I think he will do pretty well. Plus the Car D line looked awfully tired last week in the 4th quarter against Ind, and If GB can get the running game going a little bit they might be able wear them down.

Denver D is incredible. They keep winning games for Manning. I won't be surprised if they lose to Indy this week. Carolina has been special this season. I can only cross my fingers this week!!!

and it's because of that 4th quarter, the way they were Gassed I hate to use them in the LVH.
But Everything points to them to at least Cover. I could see this game landing on 1 either way.

GL
 

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Why would you pay the juice on GB when you can get -2.5? Odds are this game doesn't end 1-2 point diff. about 8% chance. is it worth the juice?

Games decided by
1 pt 4.27%
2 pts 3.74%

That's factoring in every NFL game to date including ones that are supposed to be blowouts. The chances have to be higher in this particular game. My models show CAR winning by a point this game. This is one of those games that it wouldn't surprise me if it were 1 pt - 10%, 2 pts - 8% if ran 100 times. I think the money line bet here makes a lot of sense if one chooses to do it. Applying an overall stat to a game is situational based on which teams are playing.

Also out of three away games they played the Bears (W 31-23), SF (W 17-3) and Denver (L 29-10). It's not like they are going on the road and smoking teams by a bunch of points. They should have ran off with the Bears game and obliterated SF with Kap (one of the worst, if not worst QB statistically). From what we've seen from them this season, a close game here is very likely.
 

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I'm surprised, but at the same time not, how quickly people can jump off the Aaron Rodgers band wagon. The guy comes out flat on the road, off a bye, vs the best defense in the league, and all of sudden people don't have faith he can beat CAR. The game this week means much more to GB than the game at DEN last week. Will have huge impact on home field advantage for the NFC playoffs.

Slurve - Not that surprising. This is the first time a home team that is 7-0 has been a home dog since 2007. Green Bay is not a road team and everyone knows it. #1 WR Jordy Nelson out hurts, a lot. O-line struggling. Denver does have the best defense in the league. I have went back and forth on this game all week, so many conflicting factors. When I do that, I tend to think it's just a no play. I can't wait for this game! BOL this weekend dude!
 

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Here are my ideas so far

NYJ -7
Edge everywhere. jax will struggle to do anything on O. jax giving up ~ 30 ppg and losing by 9 on avg.

CAR +2.5
gb giving up 4.7 ypr facing the top rushing team in the league. Look for Rogers to struggle again vs one of the better pass D’s, gb only avging 19 ppg on the road

IND +5.5
IND came to life vs CAR and D healthy. den much tougher at home. Giving up 4 sk/gm missing 2 starting OT. On paper both teams similar so take the pts

DAL +3.5
If they can keep it close w Sea they can against phi. Should be another low scoring affair, Bradford has an opr of 76 one of the lowest in the league DAL one of top rushing Os and have WR Bryant healthy

NO – 8
ten hasn’t scored more than 13 pts in last 4 outings. NO edge everywhere. New HC Mike Mularkey is an avg NFL coach at best. Rookie QB still error prone and ten avg 1 TO per game
 

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Slurve - Not that surprising. This is the first time a home team that is 7-0 has been a home dog since 2007. Green Bay is not a road team and everyone knows it. #1 WR Jordy Nelson out hurts, a lot. O-line struggling. Denver does have the best defense in the league. I have went back and forth on this game all week, so many conflicting factors. When I do that, I tend to think it's just a no play. I can't wait for this game! BOL this weekend dude!

Totally agree.

Biggest problem lately for GB both against SD/DEN is separation from the WRs. Cobb has seemingly lost all ability to separate from anyone. He couldn't even separate from Brandon Flowers who, actually is the worst CB in the NFL according to PFF. That is sad.

A-Rod is definitely fine and on his game, as godly as ever, but no separation means nothing he can do. Worried about that for this game to, not a game to bet on IMO but GL all!
 
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Here are my Solo Entry Picks ...

BET ALL SPORTSNYJBUFCARNYGDEN

Looks like I'm stuck on going 3-2 for the 4th Week in a Row... YTD record, 29-15-1 ....Gives me a Season Total of 29.5 Points for the LVH Super Contest

Can't complain I guess because it's better than 2-3, 1-4 or 0-5

I just knew that Pitt would burn people, just had a feeling and glad I didn't use them.
 

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I had Pitt in a teaser, and after reading that you couldn't pull the trigger, helped me from jumping to giving the points.
Thanks Bud
 

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