Less Plays More Money - System

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In the last 6 days I went:
14 W - 17 L - 2 P / -16.201 u

I am pwned all this period...
Today's picks will be played for 5 units.
 

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I will have 9 more plays on the night games...
This is the biggest card by far since I'm running this system, both by the number of plays and bankroll in play in a single day.

So it looks this will be a "make or break" day for the system, if not finally, but having effect for a very long time on the record.
 

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Adding:

5 u - Pittsburgh -1 -122 / 7:05 PM
5 u - NY Yankees +127 / 7:05 PM
5 u - NY Mets -1 -111 / 7:10 PM
5 u - St. Louis -126 / 7:10 PM
5 u - Texas -113 / 8:05 PM
5 u - Chi. White Sox -111 / 8:10 PM
5 u - Colorado +110 / 8:40 PM
5 u - Boston -1 -124 / 10:05 PM
5 u - LA Dodgers -1.5 -105 / 10:10 PM
 

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Friday's Results

5 u - Chi. Cubs -1.5 -110 = 2-1, Lost 5.5 u
5 u - Pittsburgh -1 -122 = 0-1, Lost 6.1 u
5 u - NY Yankees +127 = 0-8, Lost 3.937 u
5 u - NY Mets -1 -111 = 1-4, Lost 5.55 u
5 u - St. Louis -126 = 2-3, Lost 6.3 u
5 u - Texas -113 = 10-8, Won 5 u
5 u - Chi. White Sox -111 = 11-4, Won 5 u
5 u - Colorado +110 = 14-7, Won 5 u
5 u - Boston -1 -124 = 16-2, Won 5 u
5 u - LA Dodgers -1.5 -105 = 2-4, Lost 5.25 u

Record of the day: 4 W - 6 L / -12.637 u
Overall record: 77 W - 64 L - 8 P / +16.122 u
 

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Saturday, September 3, 2016

Early games:

5 u - Chi. Cubs -128 / 2:20 PM
5 u - Cincinnati +108 / 4:10 PM
5 u - Toronto -1 -124 / 6:10 PM
 

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Adding:

5 u - Atlanta +110 / 7:05 PM
5 u - Washington -129 / 7:10 PM
5 u - Boston -1.5 -120 / 9:05 PM
5 u - LA Dodgers -1.5 -125 / 9:10 PM
 

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Saturday's Results

5 u - Chi. Cubs -128 = 2-3, Lost 6.4 u
5 u - Cincinnati +108 = 9-1, Won 5 u
5 u - Toronto -1 -124 = 5-7, Lost 6.2 u
5 u - Atlanta +110 = 6-4, Won 5 u
5 u - Washington -129 = 1-3, Lost 6.45 u
5 u - Boston -1.5 -120 = 11-2, Won 5 u
5 u - LA Dodgers -1.5 -125 = 5-1, Won 5 u

Record of the day: 4 W - 3 L / +0.95 u
Overall record: 81 W - 67 L - 8 P / +17.072 u
 

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In the last 8 days I went:
22 W - 26 L - 2 P / -27.888 u

I'm getting pwned all this period... it seems I can't get any break, like a serious winning day of at least 15 units.... or 2 winning days in row of at least 10 units each.
I'm continuing with 5 unit wagers, because I'm afraid to go higher that that.
 

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Sunday, September 4, 2016

5 u - Atlanta -1 -135 / 1:35 PM
5 u - Pittsburgh -1 -135 / 1:35 PM
5 u - Detroit -103 / 2:15 PM
5 u - Texas -1 -120 / 3:05 PM
5 u - Boston -125 / 4:05 PM
5 u - Cleveland -1.5 -105 / 4:10 PM
5 u - LA Angels / 4:10 PM
5 u - Colorado -1 -142 / 4:10 PM
5 u - LA Dodgers -1.5 -105 / 4:10 PM
 

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Sunday's Results

5 u - Atlanta -1 -135 = 2-0, Won 5 u
5 u - Pittsburgh -1 -135 = 0-10, Lost 6.75 u
5 u - Detroit -103 = 6-5, Won 5 u
5 u - Texas -1 -120 = 6-7, Lost 6 u
5 u - Boston -125 = 0-1, Lost 6.25 u
5 u - Cleveland -1.5 -105 = 6-5, Lost 5.25 u
5 u - LA Angels +111 = 4-2, Won 5 u
5 u - Colorado -1 -142 = 5-8, Lost 7.1 u
5 u - LA Dodgers -1.5 -105 = 7-4, Won 5 u

Record of the day: 4 W - 5 L / -11.35 u
Overall record: 85 W - 72 L - 8 P / +5.722 u
 

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This is brutal... ##) ;+)- ##)

August 5 - August 26 (22 days):
59 W - 41 L - 6 P / +44.96 u
HItting 59% winners.

August 27 - September 4 (9 days):
26 W - 31 L -2 P / -39.238 u
Hitting 45.6% winners.

... Something which looked very promising for more than 3 weeks, looks a worthless system now.
One thing is sure: the money management I used here is not working, is suicidal.

Some time ago I said that probably this money management is not good, and would be better to go always wagering to win the same size unit, 3, 4 or 5. But just looking at the whole record now, I see that it's 81 W / 67 L, and that's 54.73% hitting. The problem I see here is that this may be not good enough to make any plus money betting to win same unit (level staking), because I have too many losers in the -125 to -145 range.

Even if I would approximate every loser with -120 odds, this would be just +0.6 units at this point.

So, all I can do right now is to stop with this kind of money management (this is obvious) and to recalculate everything how much it would be with level staking.
If I am in a little profit with that I may continue, otherwise I think it makes no sense to go on with this system,
 

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Monday, September 5, 2016

NY Yankees -136 / 1:05 PM
Baltimore +105 / 1:10 PM
Chi. Cubs -1.5 -115 / 1:10 PM
Cincinnati +106 / 1:10 PM
LA Angels +119 / 4:05 PM
Pittsburgh -105 / 4:05 PM
Texas -120 / 4:10 PM
Detroit -105 / 4:10 PM
Boston -1.5 -130 / 4:40 PM
Cleveland +107 / 7:10 PM

I had no time yet to calculate the record for level stake wagers.
 

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Monday's Results

NY Yankees -136 = 5-3, Won 1 u
Baltimore +105 = 7-3, Won 1 u
Chi. Cubs -1.5 -115 = 7-2, Won 1 u
Cincinnati +106 = 0-5, Lost 0.943 u
LA Angels +119 = 10-7, Won 1 u
Pittsburgh -105 = 6-12, Lost 1.05 u
Texas -120 = 6-14, Lost 1.2 u
Detroit -105 = 5-3, Won 1 u
Boston -1.5 -130 = 1-2, Lost 1.3 u
Cleveland +107 = 2-6, Lost 0.935 u

Record of the day: 5 W - 5 L / -0.428 u
Overall record: 90 W - 77 L - 8 P / +? u (I will calculate this today)
 

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I just recalculated the total record for every play = 1 unit.
It is: 90 W - 77 L - 8 P /+0.418 u

This means this system is neutral after 175 picks.
I can't see if makes any sense to running it any more, but maybe I will still do it, but just to look upon these computer picks if I can put in some extra filter. Otherwise this is lost time.
 

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Tuesday, September 6, 2016

Cleveland -1.5 +100 / 7:10 PM
Kansas City +116 / 8:10 PM
Chi. Cubs -1.5 -110 / 8:10 PM
LA Angels -115 / 10:05 PM
Boston -1.5 -110 / 10:10 PM
 

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Tuesday's Results

Cleveland -1.5 +100 = 3-4, Lost 1 u
Kansas City +116 = 10-3, Won 1 u
Chi. Cubs -1.5 -110 = 5-12, Lost 1.1 u
LA Angels -115 = 2-3, Lost 1.15 u
Boston -1.5 -110 = 5-1, Won 1 u

Record of the day: 2 W - 3 L / -1.25 u
Overall record: 92 W - 80 L - 8 P / -0.832 u
 

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