L2KA Week 9

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Buffalo @ Cincinnati
05:20 PM • Nov 5, 2023
Cincinnati -2.5, -110 (Circa) #1 BEST BET

Minnesota @ Atlanta
10:00 AM • Nov 5, 2023
Atlanta -5, -110 (Circa) #2 BEST BET

Good luck!
My personal wagers are $3,500 - $6,681.82 for each with a 2 team parlay $500 - $1,800.

The Steelers -3 tonight is a LEAN with some loaded nachos money at risk.
EASY
 

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I'm not betting the TNF game tonight but I LEAN Pittsburgh -3. Pittsburgh was the #3 team on my list of strength but missed my cutoff for a bet. NO bet for me just a lean.
The Steelers won me some loaded nachos. Mmmmmm
 

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The Steelers won me some loaded nachos. Mmmmmm
1698983480975.png
 

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Heinke starting for Falcons now. Line down to 4. Does this factor into your play at all? Thxs again. Will you be posting amy games like the one time with your lines compared to what the games are. I do compare and have been using some in my cbs football picken league. Many thxs
 

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Heinke starting for Falcons now. Line down to 4. Does this factor into your play at all? Thxs again. Will you be posting amy games like the one time with your lines compared to what the games are. I do compare and have been using some in my cbs football picken league. Many thxs
No, it doesn't factor in to my play. My bet was made on Tuesday and if it wasn't id still lay the points. Cin technically is the stronger play but i bet both for the same amount. Cin has a 9+ point spread based differential based on betting market ratings and Atlanta 5+.
 

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Specifically, spread based rating differential using the lines on Tuesday were CIN +9.07 (-2.5), ATL +5.68 (-5), PITT 4.30 (-3).

In parenthesis are the lines on Tuesday. The more a line drops the value increases and it also can have the reverse affect. Hope that makes sense.
 

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Heinke starting for Falcons now. Line down to 4. Does this factor into your play at all? Thxs again. Will you be posting amy games like the one time with your lines compared to what the games are. I do compare and have been using some in my cbs football picken league. Many thxs
I use a couple different rating systems. My large bets (best bets) i use a market derived spread rating and I fade the sides with a 5+ differentual.

To explain further using the Pitt/Tenn game last night..... using the betting "market", Tennessee had a spread rating of -1.30 and they were +3 for the most part. That gave Pitt a +4.30 spread rating advantage fading the market. As I've stated i like a 5+ differential when the lines somewhat settle on Tuesday each week, which is why they were a lean for loaded nachos snack bar money, which was a joke with another member.
 

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Thanks very much for taking the time to explain. Following your best bets have been money.
 

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Thanks for sharing
 

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My personal wagers are $3,500 - $6,681.82 for each with a 2 team parlay $500 - $1,800.

The Steelers -3 tonight is a LEAN with some loaded nachos money at risk.
EASY
Added another $1,500 on Cincinnati. 31-17, 34-20 type game.....But don't get me wrong..... I'll take a 3-0 Cincinnati win 😆.
 

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Added another $1,500 on Cincinnati. 31-17, 34-20 type game.....But don't get me wrong..... I'll take a 3-0 Cincinnati win 😆.
Big Cin win and cover for me being my #1 Best Bet. I hope y'all had a profitable day. Best Bets for me this year, 8-1 with my #1 Best Bets 5-0 since week 5.
 

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Big Cin win and cover for me being my #1 Best Bet. I hope y'all had a profitable day. Best Bets for me this year, 8-1 with my #1 Best Bets 5-0 since week 5.
My 5 min edit time expired lol. Best Bets 8-1, #1 Best Bet 5-0 since week 5. Back at it next week. Best of luck.
 

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