knickfan season long thread

[knickfan]

that's the scariest line movement we could've seen.... went up to -7 -101 then to -5..... if you didn't play this yet, don't follow or play super small.... I'm not buying any off, but don't feel good about missouri state here anymore.... at least it's not a big bet

 

[knickfan]

hope everyone had a merry xmas!

39-39 +14.65*

some early plays for tomorrow:

Minny -5 risk 2.16 to win 2*
smu -2.5 risk 1.08 win 1*

 

[knickfan]

national title:
minny risk .25* to win 100* (400:1 price)
This defense can get them past the sweet 16...... don't think they can win, but this price is quite good for a patino-family team.

 

[knickfan]

I increased that minny play to make risk 1* win 400*.... just such hedging value and I expect that line will fall after they beat mich state tonight..... think they should earn a 5 seed or so if they play like they can vs Indiana, Purdue, Wiscy...

 

[knickfan]

40-40 +13.89

Will post tonight's picks in a bit

 

[knickfan]

mandatory homer bet to open big east play:

risk .55* to win .5* PC +10
risk .2* to win 1* PC ml

Oregon +120 risk 3* win 3.6*

Ville -3 risk 2.1 to win 2* (lots of sharps will slam UVA here since they just came off a massive win. I expect ville to continue to impress at home)

 

[knickfan]

Houston -1..... risk 2.2* win 2*.... this uconn team is sooooo flawed.... I haven't seen houston play is only reason I'm hesitant to make this any larger

 

[heynow]

Houston -1..... risk 2.2* win 2*.... this uconn team is sooooo flawed.... I haven't seen houston play is only reason I'm hesitant to make this any larger

Begs the question, Houston at 9-3...why are they such a short favorite over a 5-6 UCONN team??

 

[knickfan]

ml parlay
ECU / MARQ / CREIGHTON +121 risk 1 to win 1.21*
(-382 / -257 / -382)

ECU -8
risk 1.1 to win 1*
Marq -6
risk 1.1 to win 1*

 

[knickfan]

Begs the question, Houston at 9-3...why are they such a short favorite over a 5-6 UCONN team??

Houston hasn't played a tough schedule so I don't think many of the people risking real money will put much stock in the 9-3 number..... again I can't say I love the play only risking 2.2, but I do think it's the right side... good luck with whatever you choose

 

[knickfan]

Creighton / ECU ml parlay risk 1* to win .57*

 

[heynow]

Thank you...saw that schedule that Houston played, looked like some high school teams may have been on it. Good luck

 

[knickfan]

ECU / MARQ risk .5* to win .38*

 

[knickfan]

Thank you...saw that schedule that Houston played, looked like some high school teams may have been on it. Good luck

lol, agreed... what it comes down to for me is uconn has no interior presence.... someone needs to tell this school that they need to recruit big men too.... purvis is completely capable of taking over a game and torching a team like houston..... I'm banking that houston will keep him in check and win what should be a pretty bad game to watch haha

 

[knickfan]

i see Houston was bet up to -3..... from +1.... maybe I should've made this a 5* haha

 

[heynow]

I see -3.5 now, is the value gone?

 

[knickfan]

Hmm I'd wait for the next hour and see if you can get 3..... at 3.5 thru 4.5 small play is fine like .5 or 1*

 

[heynow]

Houston -1..... risk 2.2* win 2*.... this uconn team is sooooo flawed.... I haven't seen houston play is only reason I'm hesitant to make this any larger

nice hit

 

[knickfan]

thanks man!

upgrade Oregon to risk 5*..... hit the ml....the extra 10-20cents is worth more than the point or two in this one.....

 

[knickfan]

add:
1H PC +5.5 risk .22* win .2*
1H ml +305 risk .1* win .305*
1H Louisville -1 risk .52* win .5*
1H Oregon +100 pk risk 1* win 1*