No worries Serbone.
Cincinnati is good against the spread as a dog at home, 5-0-1 last six.
Pittsburgh off a physical, taxing game up in Buffalo. Believe Cincinnati saves Marvin Lewis' job this week. Bottom line is I think the line is a little too inviting and oddsmakers want you on the Steelers. Dalton will play well against Pittsburgh today; Bernard getting hurt has forced Cincinnati to commit more touches to Hill and they have finally found a run game. Also a huge revenge game for the last time they played at this stadium. This one will make you sick to your stomach to take but it is my favorite pick of the year and those kind that make you sick to your stomach to take; at least in my life have been the best ones
Cincinnati is good against the spread as a dog at home, 5-0-1 last six.
Pittsburgh off a physical, taxing game up in Buffalo. Believe Cincinnati saves Marvin Lewis' job this week. Bottom line is I think the line is a little too inviting and oddsmakers want you on the Steelers. Dalton will play well against Pittsburgh today; Bernard getting hurt has forced Cincinnati to commit more touches to Hill and they have finally found a run game. Also a huge revenge game for the last time they played at this stadium. This one will make you sick to your stomach to take but it is my favorite pick of the year and those kind that make you sick to your stomach to take; at least in my life have been the best ones
Ahem, you ain't the only one here nailing games at 67% clip this season... you're one of twowe've both been the most valuable handicappers on this site
Excellent season and tremendous work by the way, hope we can both keep rolling strong into the postseason
By year end all goes back to hovering around 60%. Which doesn't mean I don't wish y'all luck. I've seen plenty people can do that which I'm actually following from time to time. Like I said, many can have a one year wonder... Need to learn to stay humble because gambling is a treacherous path.
you get down and grovel for two "bookies" who are not bookies who basically are 50/50 juice making machines yet you come into a thread for someone documenting picks and say this. That was my issue in the first place. Keep following those super duper monsters all the way to buying that new sea doo friendo
Hey, Kid. First off good luck for the rest of the season and it's good that you're having a winning season.
I have to keep it real with you though. In 2014 you went 15-14-1 with your posted plays meaning you hit 51.7%. Roughly, you need to hit 52.4% in the NFL to break even so anyone who bet with you lost money that year. In 2015 you went 5-15 in your posted plays hitting 33%, so again anyone who followed you lost money. You went 1-4 in your final plays going into the new year and you stopped posting.
The reason I'm even bringing this up is because you keep going on and on about how "you can't show me anyone here who's picking games at 67% a clip," when hitting 67%, 63% now, basically doesn't mean anything over the course of roughly 60 games. You could flip a coin 60 times and hit 75% or more no problem, so you can see how insignificant of a sample that is. I remember you really struggling last year which is why I'm posting this up now, I didn't say anything then. Feel free to fact check me yourself or anyone following your plays. I'm having a break even/slightly winning year myself but it's not a big deal because I haven't bet that many games. In 2014, I hit over 60%. In 2015, I hit around 55%. Again this is all relatively meaningless until you have capped 500, 800, 1000+ games which would probably take over a decade of betting the NFL at the rate you're betting. Realistically, you'd need at the bare minimum 500-1000 games before you will really have any idea if you're winning at "67% a clip" simply due to the volatile nature/variance of betting the NFL. Just bringing you down to earth a little bit. Take it as you will. Good luck the rest of the season kid. We need good cappers here on the RX.
I have to keep it real with you though. In 2014 you went 15-14-1 with your posted plays meaning you hit 51.7%. Roughly, you need to hit 52.4% in the NFL to break even so anyone who bet with you lost money that year. In 2015 you went 5-15 in your posted plays hitting 33%, so again anyone who followed you lost money. You went 1-4 in your final plays going into the new year and you stopped posting.
The reason I'm even bringing this up is because you keep going on and on about how "you can't show me anyone here who's picking games at 67% a clip," when hitting 67%, 63% now, basically doesn't mean anything over the course of roughly 60 games. You could flip a coin 60 times and hit 75% or more no problem, so you can see how insignificant of a sample that is. I remember you really struggling last year which is why I'm posting this up now, I didn't say anything then. Feel free to fact check me yourself or anyone following your plays. I'm having a break even/slightly winning year myself but it's not a big deal because I haven't bet that many games. In 2014, I hit over 60%. In 2015, I hit around 55%. Again this is all relatively meaningless until you have capped 500, 800, 1000+ games which would probably take over a decade of betting the NFL at the rate you're betting. Realistically, you'd need at the bare minimum 500-1000 games before you will really have any idea if you're winning at "67% a clip" simply due to the volatile nature/variance of betting the NFL. Just bringing you down to earth a little bit. Take it as you will. Good luck the rest of the season kid. We need good cappers here on the RX.
