Kentucky -14?

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The Gr8 1
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Obviously turnovers are a part of the game, but you cannot count on them and accurately handicap them. Anyone is going to look like a world beater when they get two gift fumble returns for a touchdown.

UK forces turnovers and Louisville likes to give the ball up. To me ... this is part of handicapping. If Louisville is going to turn the ball over, UK should have some good field position in this game. Good luck this weekend. I have UK at -12
 

The Gr8 1
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Stats are worth a lot. There are tons of misleading scores from week to week. The stats tell the true story. If you hold a team to 0.6 yards/rush you have dominated the line of scrimmage w/out question.

What I am trying to say is Louisville puts up good numbers usually, but they NEVER capitalize. So for them ... numbers don't mean much because they turn the ball over and don't capitalize in the red zone.
 

MY HEART IS A HOME AND FEAR DONT LIVE HERE
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damn you guys serious +27 is better? so you both agree there is a better chance of ul not being blown out then kentucky to win by more than one
 

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and Keeneland is better than Churchill, I've been to both
the only Kentucky Derby I missed was the one I went to live, I could't see the race from the infield they had a jumbotron, but the sun put too much glare on it
 

I can handicap circles around your ass!!
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UK forces turnovers and Louisville likes to give the ball up. To me ... this is part of handicapping. If Louisville is going to turn the ball over, UK should have some good field position in this game. Good luck this weekend. I have UK at -12

Maybe. Last year that was the case. This year, it is way too early to tell if UL will display poor ball security all year long.
 

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Speaking about "laying big points" in a rivalry game,

agree on this one. 27 points is way too much to be giving in a rivalry game.

Tennessee getting 31 seems unbelievable yet a lot of people will be laying those points (probably with good reason).
 

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