Obviously turnovers are a part of the game, but you cannot count on them and accurately handicap them. Anyone is going to look like a world beater when they get two gift fumble returns for a touchdown.
UK forces turnovers and Louisville likes to give the ball up. To me ... this is part of handicapping. If Louisville is going to turn the ball over, UK should have some good field position in this game. Good luck this weekend. I have UK at -12