Msmith, when I cap, it is pretty simple. In this instance, both teams average in the low-mid 70s. With Belmont, the underdog, being at home, I feel like they will get to their number or at least close enough, say 70ish. And Mid tenn st is a good shooting team and Belmont had given up 80+ to similar shooting teams this year. I envision a 78-73 type final. If Belmont underperforms, I think Mid ten st can get to 80 which gives me a good margin of error for the home dog as I don't see them being held under 60. Hope that helps!