JJacks NCAAB/NBA Judgetment Plays (From NBA forum)

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_2/6/14_ Plays

NBA
None

NCAAB
2 Units: Teaser 8 points [SMU -4.5, Lousiana Tech -1.5, Arizona -3.5]
1 Unit: Uconn @ Cincinnati -5.5
1 Unit: Austin Peay +1 @ Tennessee State
1 Unit: North Texas -1.5 @ Rice
.5 Unit: Teaser 8 points [Georgia +11, Utah -1, Arizona State +1]
 

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_2/6/14_ Plays

NBA
None

NCAAB
2 Units: Teaser 8 points [SMU -4.5, Lousiana Tech -1.5, Arizona -3.5] - No comment on that meaningless tip in. LOSS
1 Unit: Uconn @ Cincinnati -5.5 LOSS - push for me, but didn't post the half point I bought.
1 Unit: Austin Peay +1 @ Tennessee State WIN
1 Unit: North Texas -1.5 @ Rice LOSS
.5 Unit: Teaser 8 points [Georgia +11, Utah -1, Arizona State +1] WIN

Updated Judgement Plays
NBA
2 units: 1-0
1 unit: 12-11


NCAAB
3 units: 4-2
2 units: 8-7
1 unit: 30-28-4
.5 unit: 3-4


Profit:
NBA and NCAAB:
3 unit bets: +5.3 units
2 unit bets: +2.6 units
1 unit bets:-3.1 units
.5 unit bets: -.2 units
Overall: +4.6 units
 

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_2/7/14_

NBA
2 units: Brookyln @ Detroit +2
1 unit: Denver @ New York +1
1 unit: Sacramento @ Boston +1
1 unit: Minnesota @ New Orleans +1

NCAAB
1 unit: UNC Charlotte -3.5 @ Tulane
1 unit: Iona -8.5 @ Niagra
.5 unit: Teaser [Marshall +29, Harvard -6, Nova -2.5, Iona +1.5]
 

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_2/7/14_

NBA
2 units: Brookyln @ Detroit +2
1 unit: Denver @ New York +1
1 unit: Sacramento @ Boston +1
1 unit: Minnesota @ New Orleans +1

NCAAB
1 unit: UNC Charlotte -3.5 @ Tulane
1 unit: Iona -8.5 @ Niagra
.5 unit: Teaser [Marshall +29, Harvard -6, Nova -2.5, Iona +1.5]

Might want to check your NBA lines and modify your picks/lines...
 

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_2/7/14_

NBA
2 units: Brookyln @ Detroit -1 buying .5 point
1 unit: Denver @ New York -2
1 unit: Sacramento @ Boston +2
1 unit: Minnesota @ New Orleans Pk

NCAAB
1 unit: UNC Charlotte -3.5 @ Tulane
1 unit: Iona -8.5 @ Niagra
.5 unit: Teaser [Marshall +29, Harvard -6, Nova -2.5, Iona +1.5]

I have to post in the morning, otherwise its from my phone which is harder to do. Changed everything I saw.
 

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quote_icon.png
Originally Posted by jjacks6790
_2/7/14_

NBA
2 units: Brookyln @ Detroit -1 buying .5 point WIN
1 unit: Denver @ New York -2 WIN
1 unit: Sacramento @ Boston +2 WIN
1 unit: Minnesota @ New Orleans Pk WIN

NCAAB
1 unit: UNC Charlotte -3.5 @ Tulane LOSS
1 unit: Iona -8.5 @ Niagra LOSS
.5 unit: Teaser [Marshall +29, Harvard -6, Nova -2.5, Iona +1.5] WIN

Updated Judgement Plays
NBA
2 units: 2-0
1 unit: 15-11

NCAAB
3 units: 4-2
2 units: 8-7
1 unit: 30-30-4
.5 unit: 4-4

Profit:
NBA and NCAAB:
3 unit bets: +5.3 units
2 unit bets: +4.6 units
1 unit bets:-2.3 units
.5 unit bets: +.3 units
Overall: +7.9 units
 

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Saturday Plays (from phone)

NBA
1 unit: Golden State @ Phoenix -2
1 unit: Miami @ Utah +9

NCAAB
3 units: Nebraska @ Northwestern -2.5
3 units: UTEP -2 @ Old Dominion
2 units: Kentucky @ Miss St +13 (bought .5)
2 units: George Mason @ Duquesne -4
2 units: WVU +14 @ Kansas
2 units: Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +1
1 unit: Michigan +5 @ Iowa
1 unit: UVA -7 @ Georgia Tech
1 unit: North Carolina @ Notre Dame +1.5
1 unit: College of Charleston @ Towson -5
1 unit: MTSU -5.5 @ FIU
1 unit: providence +6.5 @ Xavier
1 unit: duke @ Boston college +11 (bought .5)
1 unit: Cinci @ SMU -3
1 unit: Wash St. @ Utah -13
1 unit: VCU @ St. Joe's +3
1 unit: northern Colorado +7 @ weber st.
1 unit: eastern Washington @ Montana -7
 

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Saturday Plays (from phone)

NBA
1 unit: Golden State @ Phoenix -2 WIN +1
1 unit: Miami @ Utah +9 WIN +1

NCAAB
3 units: Nebraska @ Northwestern -2.5 LOSS -3.30 (I just can't decide if Collins is a good coach or not. Until I do will probably avoid NW)
3 units: UTEP -2 @ Old Dominion WIN +3 (Tim Floyd, nuff said)
2 units: Kentucky @ Miss St +13 (bought .5) WIN +2 (Miss st. has an up and coming coach, Uk doesn't play that well on road against inferior teams)
2 units: George Mason @ Duquesne -4 LOSS -2.20 (You can only do so much at Duquesne, maybe in a few years but I still really like Jim Ferry)
2 units: WVU +14 @ Kansas PUSH -.2 (Frustrating game, should not have been a push)
2 units: Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +1 LOSS -2.20 (Mark Anderson, the better coach, won. Should have ignored road woes)
1 unit: Michigan +5 @ Iowa LOSS -1.05 (Michigan too high off Nebraska blowout)
1 unit: UVA -7 @ Georgia Tech WIN +1 (Georgia Tech and Brian Gregory are garbage)
1 unit: North Carolina @ Notre Dame +1.5 LOSS -1.05 (The only successful duke assistant to head coach is falling off my radar)
1 unit: College of Charleston @ Towson -5 WIN
1 unit: MTSU -5.5 @ FIU LOSS -1.10
1 unit: providence +6.5 @ Xavier WIN
1 unit: duke @ Boston college +11 (bought .5) LOSS -1.10 (Should have done 1H, will probably start transitioning into a lot of first half bets in games similar to this)
1 unit: Cinci @ SMU -3 WIN +1
1 unit: Wash St. @ Utah -13 WIN +1 (Should have gone with 2 unit bet on 1H like I wanted...)
1 unit: VCU @ St. Joe's +3 WIN +1
1 unit: northern Colorado +7 @ weber st. LOSS -1.10
1 unit: eastern Washington @ Montana -7 LOSS -1.05

Games I played didn't post: Considering the large amount of plays I already had up, and my low level of confidence in these games I did not play them. If anyone would like me to post EVERY pick I do let me know and I will. I just don't like making any followers having to pick and choose between one unit bets so I usually refrain from posting every intuition I have. I ended up going 6-5 in these picks so it is kind of irrelevant, but it did help prevent losses today, regardless here they are:
Memphis -4.5 WIN (Mark Few vastly overrated)
Murray St. -6.5 WIN (TSU is Horrible)
Oklahoma -5 WIN (I honestly just missed this in my post from my phone I love Long Kruger and his ability to build a program)
Minnesota -4.5 WIN
(Rick Pitino Jr. facing Tom Crean, had players ready)
Ole Miss -2 (Frank Haith is garbage, and lucky)
George Washington -15 (I honestly just thought the line was too big, clearly I was wrong)
Toledo -10 LOSS
(I'm clearly overestimating the readiness of mid majors on the road, even against horrible teams), Texas +3.5 LOSS (This was honestly just a stupid bet to take, I've been annoyed with Kansas St. ever since they fired Frank Martin to hire Bruce Weber? Still, he's better than Rick Barnes at home and I should have thought better)
St. Bonaventure -3.5 LOSS(I like Mark Schmidt, but Dayton scared me so I didn't post)
Miami FL -4 LOSS (I think Gottfried is a better coach, but Larrañaga was a home... sigh)
LSU -9.5 LOSS (Auburn is garbage, apparently LSU didn't care about covering up the trash)
(Obviously I'm not adding these to the totals, just posting what else I played and why I played it... if people want me to post all my posts and reasoning behind each pick I'm more than willing to just need to find the time probably late at night)


Updated Judgement Plays
NBA
2 units: 2-0
1 unit: 17-11


NCAAB
3 units: 5-3
2 units: 9-9-1
1 unit: 36-36-4
.5 unit: 4-4


Profit:
NBA and NCAAB:
3 unit bets: +5.0 units
2 unit bets: +2.0 units
1 unit bets: -0.9 units
.5 unit bets: +.3 units
Overall: +6.4 units
 

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2/9/14 Plays

NBA
2 units: New York @ Oklahoma City -9 (bought .5)
1 unit: Dallas @ Boston +5
1 unit: New Orleans +5 @ Brooklyn
1 unit: Sacramento +5 @ Washington
1 unit: Memphis -3.5 @ Cleveland

NCAAB
2 units: Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois +4
1 unit: Marshall @ Tulane -2
1 unit: Temple @ Houston -2 (bought .5)
1 unit: Drake +10 @ Indiana St.
1 unit: Manhattan -7 @ Niagra
1 unit: 1st Half Uconn @ UCF +3
1 unit: Oakland @ Valparaiso -8
.5 unit: Washington @ Colorado -8
.5 unit: Creighton @ St. John's Money Line
 

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2/9/14 Plays

NBA
2 units: New York @ Oklahoma City -9 (bought .5) WIN +2
1 unit: Dallas @ Boston +5 LOSS -1.1
1 unit: New Orleans +5 @ Brooklyn LOSS -1.1
1 unit: Sacramento +5 @ Washington LOSS -1.1
1 unit: Memphis -3.5 @ Cleveland LOSS -1.1

NCAAB
2 units: Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois +4 WIN +2
1 unit: Marshall @ Tulane -2 WIN +1
1 unit: Temple @ Houston -2 (bought .5) WIN +1
1 unit: Drake +10 @ Indiana St. WIN +1
1 unit: Manhattan -7 @ Niagra LOSS -1.1
1 unit: 1st Half Uconn @ UCF +3 LOSS -1.05
1 unit: Oakland @ Valparaiso -8 LOSS -1.1
.5 unit: Washington @ Colorado -8 WIN +1
.5 unit: Creighton @ St. John's Money Line WIN +1.6

Updated Judgement Plays
NBA
2 units: 3-0
1 unit: 17-15

NCAAB
3 units: 5-3
2 units: 10-9-1
1 unit: 39-43-4
.5 unit: 6-4

Profit:
NBA and NCAAB:
3 unit bets: +5.0 units
2 unit bets: +6.0 units
1 unit bets: -4.55 units
.5 unit bets: +2.9 units
Overall: +9.35
 

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_2/10/14_ Plays

NBA
2 units: New Orleans @ Toronto -7 (buying .5)
1 unit: Boston @ Milwaukee +1.5
1 unit: San Antonio @ Detroit +4 (buying .5)
1 unit: Houston @ Minnesota +5 (buying .5)

NCAAB
3 units: Iowa State @ WVU +2
1 unit: Hofstra +6 @ James Madison
1 unit: WKU @ Arkansas St. -3
1 unit: Miami FL @ FSU -5
1 unit: Furman +13 @ Western Carolina
1 unit: Fairfield @ Siena -8
1 unit: Towson -3.5 @ UNC Wilmington
1 unit: Kansas -4 @ Kansas State
 

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_2/10/14_ Plays

NBA
2 units: New Orleans @ Toronto -7 (buying .5) PUSH -.4
1 unit: Boston @ Milwaukee +1.5 LOSS -1.05
1 unit: San Antonio @ Detroit +4 (buying .5) WIN +1
1 unit: Houston @ Minnesota +5 (buying .5) LOSS -1.2

NCAAB
3 units: Iowa State @ WVU +2 WIN +3
1 unit: Hofstra +6 @ James Madison PUSH -.1
1 unit: WKU @ Arkansas St. -3 WIN +1
1 unit: Miami FL @ FSU -5 LOSS -1.1
1 unit: Furman +13 @ Western Carolina WIN +1
1 unit: Fairfield @ Siena -8 LOSS -1.1
1 unit: Towson -3.5 @ UNC Wilmington LOSS -1.1
1 unit: Kansas -4 @ Kansas State LOSS -1.1

Updated Judgement Plays
NBA
3 units: 0-0
2 units: 3-0-1
1 unit: 18-17


NCAAB
3 units: 6-3
2 units: 10-9-1
1 unit: 41-47-5
.5 unit: 6-4


Profit:
NBA and NCAAB:
3 unit bets: +8.0 units
2 unit bets: +5.6 units
1 unit bets: -8.3 units
.5 unit bets: +2.9 units
Overall: +8.2 units [Without 1 unit bets I would be up 16.5...... will probably be dropping 1 unit plays to a few a night till this improves]
 

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_2/13/14_ Plays

NCAAB
3 units: Minnesota +9 @ Wisconsin
2 units: Utah -3 @ USCw
2 units: St. John's -1 @ Seton Hall
1 unit: Colorado +11 @ UCLA
1 unit: Montana +4 @ Northern Colorado
1 unit: Teaser [Hawaii @ UC Riverside +16, UC Davis @ UC Fullerton +14.5, Cal Poly @ CS Northridge +10, Loyola Marymount +17.5 @ Portland]
 

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_2/13/14_ Plays

NCAAB
3 units: Minnesota +9 @ Wisconsin WIN +3
2 units: Utah -3 @ USCw WIN +2
2 units: St. John's -1 @ Seton Hall PUSH -0.4
1 unit: Colorado +11 @ UCLA LOSS -1.1
1 unit: Montana +4 @ Northern Colorado WIN +1
1 unit: Teaser [Hawaii @ UC Riverside +16, UC Davis @ *UC DAVIS*+14.5, Cal Poly @ CS Northridge +10, Loyola Marymount +17.5 @ Portland] WIN +1

I posted that pretty quickly, it was UC Davis +16, not Fullerton. Anyone who took it hopefully adjusted from the obvious screw up.

Updated Judgement Plays
NBA
3 units: 0-0
2 units: 3-0-1
1 unit: 18-17


NCAAB
3 units: 7-3
2 units: 11-9-2
1 unit: 43-48-5
.5 unit: 6-4


Profit:
NBA and NCAAB:
3 unit bets: +11.0 units
2 unit bets: +7.2 units
1 unit bets: -7.6 units
.5 unit bets: +2.9 units
Overall: +13.5 units
 

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_2/14/14_ Plays

NBA
None

NCAAB
1 unit - SMU -7 @ Rutgers
1 unit - Canisius @ Niagara +4
 

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_2/15_14 Plays
Didn't really like anything in the morning, was thinking about Oklahoma but decided against it,

NBA

NCAAB
3 units 5 pt Teaser [Utah + 14, Kentucky +3]
2 units LSU @ Arkansas -5
2 units Cal at Washington +2
2 units Alabama @ USCe -1
1 unit Tennessee +3 @ Missouri
1 unit UNLV @ Utah St. -3.5
1 unit Miami -3 @ Virginia Tech
1 unit Fordham @ Richmond -11
1 unit WVU +6 @ Texas
1 unit Montana +4 @ North Dakota
1 unit Utah +9 @ UCLA
1 unit Florida @ UK -2
 

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Didn't really like anything in the morning, was thinking about Oklahoma but decided against it,

NBA

NCAAB
3 units 5 pt Teaser [Utah + 14, Kentucky +3] LOSS -3.4
2 units LSU @ Arkansas -5 WIN +2
2 units Cal at Washington +2 LOSS -2.2
2 units Alabama @ USCe -1 PUSH -.2
1 unit Tennessee +3 @ Missouri LOSS -1.1
1 unit UNLV @ Utah St. -3.5 LOSS -1.05
1 unit Miami -3 @ Virginia Tech LOSS -1.1
1 unit Fordham @ Richmond -11 WIN +1
1 unit WVU +6 @ Texas LOSS -1.05
1 unit Montana +4 @ North Dakota LOSS -1.1
1 unit Utah +9 @ UCLA LOSS -1.1
1 unit Florida @ UK -2 LOSS -1.15

I've been noticing some trends relevant to mediocre teams playing one another. Going to start chasing those.
 

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_2/14/14_ Plays

NBA
None

NCAAB
1 unit - SMU -7 @ Rutgers WIN +1
1 unit - Canisius @ Niagara +4 Loss -1.1
Will update totals.

Updated Judgement Plays
NBA
3 units: 0-0
2 units: 3-0-1
1 unit: 18-17

NCAAB
3 units: 7-4
2 units: 12-10-3
1 unit: 45-56-5
.5 unit: 6-4

Profit:
NBA and NCAAB:
3 unit bets: +7.6 units
2 unit bets: +6.8 units
1 unit bets: -14.35 units
.5 unit bets: +2.9 units
Overall: +2.95 units
 

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_2/18/14_

NBA
None

NCAAB (In Order of Confidence)
***[Richmond +11.5, NC State +15, Drake +11.5, Providence +14.5]
**[Southern Illinois +3.5, Illinois State +4.5, Indiana +!4, San Jose State +23]
*[Ole Miss +14.5, Utah State +20, Colorado State +11.5, Fresno State +17]
 

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