Jake's Picks - College Football 8/30-9/4 (28-20 +4.5 Units)

[JakeT.]

My line: VTech -31, O/U 37
Actual line: VTech -28, O/U 43.5

My line: Western Mich -11, O/U 51
Actual line: Western Michigan -6.5, O/U 51

My line: Colorado State -4, O/U 58
Actual line: Colorado State -2, O/U 53.5

 

[secksiaccord]

regarding your play on cincinnati, does it worry you at all that the bearcats are down to their 3rd string QB?

 

[JakeT.]

regarding your play on cincinnati, does it worry you at all that the bearcats are down to their 3rd string QB?

Not as much as some teams. Cincinnati is deep as hell at QB, more than most teams in the nation. That being said, the way these teams matchup in the trenches was the most important factor in my bet.

GL to ya.

 

[MackDonald]

Keep up the good work "Big Jake"; I have followed you regulary long before I registered with the Rx.

Best of Luck. Mack donald

 

[JakeT.]

Keep up the good work "Big Jake"; I have followed you regulary long before I registered with the Rx.

Best of Luck. Mack donald

Thanks man. It feels good to be back on track. Had the huge 2006 then last year I never had the patience (or time) to do the in-depth handicapping and it burned me a little on the few plays I did make. Cheers to a profitable 2008! :toast:

 

[JakeT.]

My line: South Carolina -1, O/U 47
Actual line: Mississippi -2.5, O/U 42.5

My line: Notre Dame -10, O/U 44
Actual line: Notre Dame -6.5, O/U 48

* South Carolina ML is a decent play but I'm gonna lay off for now. Notre Dame has a little value for me but it's a borderline play and also going to lay off that one.

 

[JakeT.]

My line: Tulsa -25, O/U 87
Actual line: Tulsa -16, O/U 79.5

 

[shizzle]

great job man!

 

[JakeT.]

great job man!

Hopefully it continues all season long. BOL to ya this weekend.

 

[brewser2]

so if you have tulsa capped at -25 and the actual line is -16 then you are taking tulsa right?

 

[JakeT.]

so if you have tulsa capped at -25 and the actual line is -16 then you are taking tulsa right?

Correct. In my opinion that line is 9 points too small.

 

[JakeT.]

My line: Tulane -18, O/U 44
Actual line: Tulane -20, O/U 41.5

 

[JakeT.]

My line: UCF -14, O/U 62
Actual line: UCF -13.5, O/U 55.5

Really tough not to play the over since it's right on the cusp of what I look for but I'm going with my gut and leaving it alone.

 

[JakeT.]

My line: Miami OH -17, O/U 31
Actual line: Miami OH -7, O/U 36

 

[JakeT.]

Bump. Adding more as we speak.

 

[moweak]

Csu

I follow the Mt West pretty close and am curious why you would thing CSU should ever be favored let alone by 4. The line at my site is down to -1.5 and I am really high on UNLV, just curious if you don't mind sharing why you see it the other way?

 

[JakeT.]

I follow the Mt West pretty close and am curious why you would thing CSU should ever be favored let alone by 4. The line at my site is down to -1.5 and I am really high on UNLV, just curious if you don't mind sharing why you see it the other way?

They have a balanced offense that can both run and throw and even when they have bad defenses they are of the bend-but-don't-break variety. The only concern I have with them is the new coaching staff.

 

[moweak]

Thanks and Good Luck.

I just think that Wyoming and CSU are by far the two worse teams in the MT West and that UNLV recieved the reality check they needed last week. UNLV has legit D-1 athletes in the offensive backfield that CSU will have a hard time containing. With CSU I feel like it is less X's & O's and more the Johnny and Joe's if you know what I mean. I understand they are at home but even then I think UNLV is at least a touchdown better on a nuetral site.

I am on UNLV at +110 for $300.

But again thanks for your thoughts and good luck

 

[JakeT.]

My line: Illinois -3, O/U 43
Actual line: Michigan -2.5, O/U 50

My line: Florida State -10, O/U 44
Actual line: Miami -2, O/U 41

My line: Texas Tech -11, O/U 71
Actual line: Texas Tech -7, O/U 66

 

[JakeT.]

GL to ya on UNLV moweak. I'm rooting for ya since I have no vested interest.