~J.J.BASCUS Week #4 NFL Power Rating & My Pick Prediction And Bet~

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Harry in an earlier post you said to add 3 points on for home field advantage. I see you have a note saying this weeks ratings have HF advantage already totaled in.Did this just start this week?
Yes J.J. Bascus changed it from week #3 which home field advantage is entered in. J.J. is noted for changing his power rating and adding different concepts to his power rating. His rating is very different from Sheridan[ most popular] or US today and other power rating. His rating comes from Northern Nevada and the Reno area.
 
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Looking at this game from different perspectives, consider these aspects of the game beside power ratings and point spread. Frist... a division game NFC North with great importance for Green Bay at 1-2 because they don't want to be home playing another NFC North division game Oct 2 Thursday night game against Minnesota at 1-3.

Second... Chicago is banged up in there secondary Bears will also be without star cornerback Charles Tillman for the rest of the year and saw safeties drop left and right Monday.Chris Conte and Ryan Mundy may both play Sunday, but the Bears could really use a secondary close to full strength against Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson and look out for Randall Cobb. Chicago lost Brandon Marshall for an extended amount of time Monday against the New York Jets, and he hasn’t been 100 percent since Week 1. and may not play at all.

Third point and my prediction also from some old school handicappers that I have know for years with Green Bay edging out Chicago by earning four out of four predictions by them to win by 6 or more points. Believe me these old handicappers are good. Back Room Benny The Jew Goldberg that hangs out at the Horseshoe" downtown has Pack winning by 3+ points and bet the money line at a big + on the opening line. Benny only bets on National Football Conference with a big bankroll and my opinion one of best, he also picks his spots and only bets the money line. That Jay Cutler will have no running game and will have to pass, to keep up with the explosive Green Bay offense. Don't kid yourself Bears are 2-1, fresh off two prime-time road wins in Santa Clara, California, and East Rutherford, New Jersey however it cost them there secondary and they will playing catch-up for whole game at home.

Fourth... Green Bay is 2-4 against the spread in its last six road games, while Chicago is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 home games. Green Bay has covered the spread in six of the last seven games in Chicago.
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
 
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A rule of thought "follow the money. "A another most important fact that I learned as a streetwise Kid growing up in Vegas is [ Information] !!!!! reach out to ever body in your circle of influence in sports betting. I am always reaching out to old school handicappers like Benny that have known for years and grew up with here in Vegas that are still alive for feedbacks on the games I bet. ~Good Luck To You All In Week #4 Of NFL Season~
 
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I am always open to constructive criticism of my Threads & Discussions!!! Thanks for reading my thread RX members[ Very good luck to you all in NFL season. When I win, you win too!!!!!!!! All my Threads & Predictions are on RX sports Forum.
 

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The ATS trends you mentioned really dont pertain to this game as the line is only 1.
 

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gb.jpg
GREEN BAY PACKERS
Inactives
WR Jarrett Boykin (knee, groin), ILB Brad Jones
chi.jpg
CHICAGO BEARS
Inactives
DE Jared Allen (illness), C Roberto Garza (ankle), OG Matt Slauson (ankle), OLBShea McClellin, DT Jay Ratliff (concussion)
 

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Thanks for clearing that up Harry. I was all confused trying to figure it out.
cd



Am a little confused Harry. in this post you say jj's numbers for washington is -1 plus 3 for homefield which =-4 but the chart up above has jj's numbers showing the giants -10.67. is the chart wrong or is your post here wrong
thanks
cd
The -10.67 posted in the chart is a typo that I posted .
Yes should be 1.67, my typing era, sorry about that When you become a old fart like me, typing is not one of best implications buddy Money line was never adjusted at to the J.J. Bascus power line at 1.67 line movement - $185 & -$190 and -$200 Washington in most of books around town, Vegas line -3 or -3 1/2 which never adjusted either [no action on this game][/QUOTE]
 
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Looking at this game from different perspectives, consider these aspects of the game beside power ratings and point spread. Frist... a division game NFC North with great importance for Green Bay at 1-2 because they don't want to be home playing another NFC North division game Oct 2 Thursday night game against Minnesota at 1-3.

Second... Chicago is banged up in there secondary Bears will also be without star cornerback Charles Tillman for the rest of the year and saw safeties drop left and right Monday.Chris Conte and Ryan Mundy may both play Sunday, but the Bears could really use a secondary close to full strength against Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson and look out for Randall Cobb. Chicago lost Brandon Marshall for an extended amount of time Monday against the New York Jets, and he hasn’t been 100 percent since Week 1. and may not play at all.

Third point and my prediction also from some old school handicappers that I have know for years with Green Bay edging out Chicago by earning four out of four predictions by them to win by 6 or more points. Believe me these old handicappers are good. Back Room Benny The Jew Goldberg that hangs out at the Horseshoe" downtown has Pack winning by 3+ points and bet the money line at a big + on the opening line. Benny only bets on National Football Conference with a big bankroll and my opinion one of best, he also picks his spots and only bets the money line. That Jay Cutler will have no running game and will have to pass, to keep up with the explosive Green Bay offense. Don't kid yourself Bears are 2-1, fresh off two prime-time road wins in Santa Clara, California, and East Rutherford, New Jersey however it cost them there secondary and they will playing catch-up for whole game at home.

Fourth... Green Bay is 2-4 against the spread in its last six road games, while Chicago is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 home games. Green Bay has covered the spread in six of the last seven games in Chicago.
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
Green bay 38-17 *My Record* now is 6-1-1 with and against spread & 3 wins out of 6 with the money lines also.
Thanks To You all SX Members & New Friends For Reading My Thread And Most Of All Very Good Luck In Rest Of NFL Season From..... Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT[ keep it under your hat]


 
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Thank You All !!!!! And Very Good Luck To You All In The Remainder Of NFL Season !!!!! [[[ There is a fountain of youth: it is your mind, your talents, the creativity you bring to your life and the lives of people you like & Identify with. When you learn to tap this source, you will truly have defeated age."The greatest discovery of all time is that a person can change his future by merely changing his attitude."]]]

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT


 

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Thanks for the top notch picks week in and out. Much appreciated!
 

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some interesting info you have ere mr. harry...you are spot on that the action is always ere for us gamblers...everyday there is a sport to bet on. be it whether it is NFL,NHL,MLB, soccer and etc...the question is how do we choose what is right for us and how to manage our bankroll. cheers to that
 

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