~J.J. Bascus Power Rating ~For NFL Early Game Predictions Week 1: Sept 10-14 2015 >Will be updated Friday Sept 11 2015

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hi harry,
can you tell me why you do press bets?
My betting style is press one time on a win and will go back to a Original bet after the press Win Or Lose... One Bet at time ...You can't win? if you don,t press once. Press is double your original win[ example kaiser73> bet $110 on a game and win, you get back $210. You bet back the $ 210 + add $10 the for juice= $220 on your second game pick and win you get back $420, Then you start all over again on another pick to bet at $110 if you lose you bet $110 again until you win. You press all winning bets!!! why?? press is worth 3 to 1 and your money back. Press is winning like 3 games, Betting only 3 games week with the exception of Monday & Thursday games I also bet some times, not including money line bets. I had last season 8 press's worth 24 games that wins in 17 weeks of regular season betting average of 3 games a week not including money line bets, This strategy by the late Bob Martin who was best numbers man in Las Vegas history... It is all about money management and of course winning games The most important rule of sports betting that I was taught by late Bob Martin is to bet 5% or less of your current total bankroll at all times. Pressing a win play one time on the following game pick is a must. I hoped that helped you understand what press's are about kaiser73. Very good luck to you in up-coming season kaiser73

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
 

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As always..Great SHIT! THANKS!!
Going back up to Reno next weekend, hopefully I'll catch up to JJ. I missed him the last time out.

Good Luck and more importantly Good Health!!

Ripper
 
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As always..Great SHIT! THANKS!!
Going back up to Reno next weekend, hopefully I'll catch up to JJ. I missed him the last time out.

Good Luck and more importantly Good Health!!

Ripper
Thank You ripper and very good luck to you my friend in the up-coming season from the crew. J.J.& Benny and Smitty are all in Incline Village, NV. They are working on a up-dated version of his power rating at a Friends chalet until opening of NFL season J.J. goes back to Reno and Smitty&Benny back to Vegas for the opener Thursday Night Game.
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
 

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Harry I was wondering , as maybe many in the site do, what kind of action does your group play per game?? Dime players? Just curious. Seems like the group has many years of experience. Just wondering if they are more recreational plays (smaller) or if they hit the books hard. Many follow or use your handicapping to assist their own plays... Are we looking at $100 players or much bigger..? If you rather not answer I understand as well. No worries. And thanks.
 
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Harry I was wondering , as maybe many in the site do, what kind of action does your group play per game?? Dime players? Just curious. Seems like the group has many years of experience. Just wondering if they are more recreational plays (smaller) or if they hit the books hard. Many follow or use your handicapping to assist their own plays... Are we looking at $100 players or much bigger..? If you rather not answer I understand as well. No worries. And thanks.
We as group average 2 dimes a game & money lines a game individually and remember we press on all winning bets, and $100 apiece for dinner pool. J.J. bets more usually. Its not how much you bet? Just Win !!!!.... like you say buddy!!!
 

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Thanks for the response pal. One more week to go...!
 

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Mr. Harry, would you please show an example of how, when you are making
a parlay for your 2nd win, (if/or) do you use the Money Line? Let's say the 2nd
leg is a -3 / -140. Would you lay $420 to make your $300 and that would
complete the set? I get confused trying to mix straight and Money Lines for parlays
Is mixing used very often during a season? Thanks for all your knowledge and generosity.
 
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Mr. Harry, would you please show an example of how, when you are making
a parlay for your 2nd win, (if/or) do you use the Money Line? Let's say the 2nd
leg is a -3 / -140. Would you lay $420 to make your $300 and that would
complete the set? I get confused trying to mix straight and Money Lines for parlays
Is mixing used very often during a season? Thanks for all your knowledge and generosity.
Press is winning like 3 games, Betting only 3 games week with the exception of Monday & Thursday games, presses include money line bets Periodically[ not often]. We did also press money line with point spreads and point spreads with money lines during wild card games and divisional games also. Press is not a parlay!!! Parlay is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. A 2 team parlay might pay 13/5 or 12 1/2 to 5 or something like that?
Example: from last season Conference Game playoffs J.J. Bascus ]SEA -$305 & GB+7 1/2 [hedge the middle] Press-> & NE -6 1/2... money line no press on this bet-> NE -$260. Smitty Ryan calculated this game middling point spread with the Seahawks a 75.36% chance of this game under the point spread -7.5 & winning on the money line bet

HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V SEA -$305 money line press-> NE -6 1/2... money line no press on this bet-> NE -$260, We also press point spread GB+7 1/2 press-> NE -6 1/2 both myself and J.J.

J.J.Bascus > 4 out of 4 [with the money line press] & HarryTheHat 3 out of 3 [with the money line press]

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
 
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System Smitty Ryann Jr.77% Win by NE to cover the money line by 6 or less points.

Use the public’s perceptions to your advantage. Now let’s not forget that the public doesn’t always win week to week their losses versus the sharps’ wins who caps at a 68% clip will not only win money but will also reap plenty of dough for those season long games to bet. However, think about this!!!!!. If a dummy goes 4-6 just betting the point spread and a sharps goes 6-4 betting the money against the point spread and pressing there bets on wins, thats a shattering difference in betting 10 games over a couple three weeks in the season. 3 presses are worth 9 games wins with the 4 losses looks more like 9-4 Over the course of the season it is enormous. !!! Some sharps that we as crew known for years the old school gamblers & handicappers friends of our crew that we are so fond of is the money line" players. Who hedge the point spread to there advantage using there betting strategics. While the squares will be deep in the red and at the bottom of those same games just betting spreads & Over and Under. Stay sharp and follow the money line with and against the spread. If you got the ''balls'' hedge the point spreads with money lines once in while If the timing is right, right as rain brother.

Furthermore, we know that Brady has something to prove. He threw at least three TD passes in each of his playoff games last season, and we think he'll end up doing the same here in this one. The spread is tough to call in our eyes at -7 However money line here is the bet with option to press money line bet win-> to a Sundays game opener, a point spread game.
NE -opened at- $150 Now- $300
J.J.> NE -3.9
Vegas NE -3.0
J.J-.9 difference
NE 29 PIT 23 with Brady playing
NE - 6 Adjustment
System Smitty Ryann Jr.77% Win by NE to cover the money line by 6 or less points
Pre-season stats

Rush Yards Per Game NE- 107.2 PIT-109.5 = difference 2.3

Passing Yards Per Game NE-257.6 PIT-301.6 difference 44

Total Yards Per Game
NE-265.5 PIT-411.1 difference 145.6

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT


 

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hi mr. hat,
is the pats moneyline your bet? i know you said you average 2 dimes a moneyline bet...so $2000 to win $666.67?
do u bet only one game a week not including monday and thurs games? or 3 games a week?
just wanted to clarify
 
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hi mr. hat,
is the pats moneyline your bet? i know you said you average 2 dimes a moneyline bet...so $2000 to win $666.67?
do u bet only one game a week not including monday and thurs games? or 3 games a week?
just wanted to clarify
Money Line is fluctuating From-$300 to -$280 on Pittsburg vs New England, We as group will be waiting around game time to bet this game on the money line. We feel money line will move down before game time and get a lower price to lay. This is a group bet with the crew kaiser73 , that will be pressed on another game with point spread bet for Sunday. We as crew sometimes bet money lines and press bets as a crew, on a point spread line kaiser73. We also bet individually also on our picks and bets [3 games as a average individually]. We as group bet are looking to press this game with Best Chance (team to win by the most points): Dallas Cowboys -6 over NY Giants at Dallas. Group bet 3k apiece for the 5 of us-> 15 k + all our winnings bet on money line-> press on Dallas Cowboys -6?.....*** J.J. Bascus power rating update and our picks[individually & Group picks] will be posted late tonight or early tomorrow morning Wednesday for you to look at***. Thanks for your reply kaiser73. Remember kaiser73!!! Its not how much you bet? Just Win !!!!. Winning a high percentage of your wagers doesn't necessarily equate to making money kaiser73. It isn't the number of predictions you get right which determines your success, it's the relative quality of your predictions. You want to keep your risk to a minimum as much as possible when it comes to betting on NFL football kaiser73.
 
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Money Line is fluctuating From-$300 to -$280 on Pittsburg vs New England, We as group will be waiting around game time to bet this game on the money line. We feel money line will move down before game time and get a lower price to lay. This is a group bet with the crew kaiser73 , that will be pressed on another game with point spread bet for Sunday. We as crew sometimes bet money lines and press bets as a crew, on a point spread line kaiser73. We also bet individually also on our picks and bets [3 games as a average individually]. We as group bet are looking to press this game with Best Chance (team to win by the most points): Dallas Cowboys -6 over NY Giants at Dallas. Group bet 3k apiece for the 5 of us-> 15 k + all our winnings bet on money line-> press on Dallas Cowboys -6?.....*** J.J. Bascus power rating update and our picks[individually & Group picks] will be posted late tonight or early tomorrow morning Wednesday for you to look at***. Thanks for your reply kaiser73. Remember kaiser73!!! Its not how much you bet? Just Win !!!!. Winning a high percentage of your wagers doesn't necessarily equate to making money kaiser73. It isn't the number of predictions you get right which determines your success, it's the relative quality of your predictions. You want to keep your risk to a minimum as much as possible when it comes to betting on NFL football kaiser73.


Nice Mr H love the boys this week also. As always what a great thread all the best to you and the boys down in Sin City. Leave nothing to chance go get'em
 

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