Is this the winning way in sports betting?

[BillyWaltersJr+]

I didn't say that 97% of bettors win at a 40% rate, however, if you do your homework, even on this website, you will find that there are some posters who consistently struggle to get to 40%. It is a lot easier to find them then one who wins at a 60% rate. The problem is that most gamblers have an ego and look at only those that appear to win, while it is much easier to find those that lose. They don't think about the money potential but rather being on the winning side. Been in this business nearly 40 years and know for a fact, it is easier to find losing gamblers then winning ones. They're everywhere.

I know of one guy on this forum that was even remotely close to 40% (starts with an E ends with a O and some numbers, in the baseball forum), and even then he hit 46% for the season. And that is one season! I sure would like to find a good golden goose that hits 40-45% year after year, but I have NEVER seen one. Sure, someone may be absolutely dreadful one year but they may be a lot closer to 50% the next and fading them would create a similar outcome for you.

I feel a lot more comfortable doing my own numbers and trying my best than fading some guy on an internet forum. I would rather put in the long hours and bet my own stuff, that way if I lose it is on me.

I would also question anyone who fades someone on an internet forum with only a year or two of data, max (which is basically what you are going to find as people come and go on these forums).

If you want to be successful in this industry, you have to take control and do your own thing. Ask an professional, they will scoff at blindly fading somebody just because they had a bad year or two. Wouldn't we all be rich if it was that easy? (<)<

 

[oldmanTED]

I know of one guy on this forum that was even remotely close to 40% (starts with an E ends with a O and some numbers, in the baseball forum), and even then he hit 46% for the season. And that is one season! I sure would like to find a good golden goose that hits 40-45% year after year, but I have NEVER seen one. Sure, someone may be absolutely dreadful one year but they may be a lot closer to 50% the next and fading them would create a similar outcome for you.

I feel a lot more comfortable doing my own numbers and trying my best than fading some guy on an internet forum. I would rather put in the long hours and bet my own stuff, that way if I lose it is on me.

I would also question anyone who fades someone on an internet forum with only a year or two of data, max (which is basically what you are going to find as people come and go on these forums).

If you want to be successful in this industry, you have to take control and do your own thing. Ask an professional, they will scoff at blindly fading somebody just because they had a bad year or two. Wouldn't we all be rich if it was that easy? (<)<

The bottom line is winning money. Best of luck accomplishing that over the long term.

 

[99steak]

I got last week's toutbuster picks from a friend and the games and results went as follows...can someone verify this:

Note: He bets 1 to 4 units where 1 unit = $250. Looks all the plays were for 3 units for the week except for that one 2 unit play.

14 Picks 10-4-0 (71.43%)
Total Risked: $10250
Total Returned: $16036.14
Net Profit: $5786.14

Sep 26/09 - NCAAF: Vanderbilt/Rice
Selection: Under 49 Odd: -110
Risk $750 to win $681.82
Outcome: Lost - Returned: $0

Sep 26/09 - NCAAF: LSU/Mississippi St
Selection: MIssissippi St +12.5 Odd: -110
Risk $750 to win $681.82
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1431.82

Sep 27/09 - NFL: Buffalo/New Orleans
Selection: Over 51 Odd: -110
Risk $750 to win $681.82
Outcome: Lost - Returned: $0

Sep 27/09 - NFL: Minnesota/San Francisco
Selection: Under 39 Odd: -110
Risk $750 to win $681.82
Outcome: Lost - Returned: $0

Sep 28/09 - MLB: Cleveland/Chicago White Sox
Pitchers: List Laffey & Danks
Selection: Cleveland win Odd:+100
Risk $750 to win $750
Outcome: Lost - Returned: $0

Sep 28/09 - MLB: Atlanta/Florida
Pitchers: List Jurrjens & Sanchez
Selection: Atlanta -1.5 Odd:+100
Risk $750 to win $750
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1500

Sep 29/09 - MLB: NY Mets/Washington
Pitchers: Lannan & Redding
Selection: Washington -1.5 Odd: +165
Risk $750 to win $1237.50
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1987.50

Sep 29/09 - MLB: Minnesota/Detroit
Pitchers: List Bonine & Pavano
Selection: Detroit win Odd: +105
Risk $750 to win $787.50
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1537.50

Oct 1/09 - MLB: Texas/LAA Angels
Pitchers: List Lackey & Millwood
Selection: Texas win Odd: +147
Risk $750 to win $1102.50
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1852.50

Oct 1/09 - MLB: Milwaukee/Colorado
Pitchers: Cook & Para
Selection: Colorado -1.5 Odd: +121
Risk $750 to win $907.50
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1657.50

Oct 1/09 - NHL: San Jose/Colorado
Selection: Colorado win (with ot) Odd: +145
Risk $500 to win $725
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1225

Oct 2/09 - MLB: Houston/NY Mets
Pitchers: List Maine & Rodriguez
Selection: NY Mets win Odd: +121
Risk $750 to win $915
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1665

Oct 2/09 - MLB: NY Yankees/Tampa Bay
Pitchers: List Price & Sabathia
Selection: Tampa win Odd: +133
Risk $750 to win $997.50
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1747.50

Oct 2/09 - NCAAF: Utah St/BYU
Selection: Under 63.5 Odd: -110
Risk $750 to win $681.82
Outcome: Won - Returned: $1431.82

 

[99steak]

It is unfu*cking believable how it is impossible to find his plays in any service plays board. Every service plays get posted, why isn't anyone posting this tout.