Is this political bet a LOCK?

[RunMaker]

lol

 

[razorbackpicks]

patiently waiting to cash my winners!!

Did you think Hilary was a Lock last presidential election?

Someone on here did. I think they laid big juice to

 

[Acebb]

[FONT=&quot]Marsha Blackburn -500
Phil Bredesen +350[/FONT]

 

[Hamilbet]

Current odds...

<small>2018 United States Senate Elections - Texas - Winner</small>
<cite>any third party winner = no action</cite>
Tue 11/6		1049 Beto O'Rourke (D) wins Texas		<input id="editx" name="M1_10" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); text-size-adjust: none;"> +400
6:00AM		1050 Ted Cruz (R) wins Texas		<input id="editx" name="M2_10" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); text-size-adjust: none;"> -600

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[JustinCruise]

nothing in politics is a lock

 

[Willie99]

Did you think Hilary was a Lock last presidential election?

Someone on here did. I think they laid big juice to

Most of the country did, modern day polling is seemingly regressing in dependability. The dynamics are changing

 

[Gaz]

Actually don't really agree with that and I'll tell you why...

I think the type that bets on politics is young, urban, educated Nate Silver wannabe types and these folks tend to lean more D.

If you look at the comments section of places like PredictIt and other political prediction market sites, this bears that thesis out. I've talked this with a few different people that bet politics.

So if there is a bias in these markets (and I don't think there are in all markets, but Ted Cruz being -200 is pretty damn inefficient IMO) then I think that bias leans D for the most part.

This is true

 

[Buster]

I would have bet anyone 1 million dollars 20 years ago I would not give 2 shits about any election 20 years later when they told me I could not vote due to felony...But yet 20 years later when they allowed me to vote I was first in line in 2016 and have not missed one since and now tonight it almost has a Super Bowl vibe leading into tomorrow...I have already voted...Happening live now...