Incubus 2016 NCAA College Football Thread

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I liked this game too.. MASS should get rolled.

If you havent played it yet, a possible tropical storm is coming through late thursday and on into Friday..... Could get wet around here. People panic when we get them, they are nothing more than a huge rain storm really.. But we have folks buying water and stuff its like please.. I will most likely be in my pool ...but it can lay down a ton of rain. It should be gone by Saturday but might leave the field quite muddy.. and not the typical fast track that the Swamp provides....

Just wanted to let you know.

BOL BROTHER !!!
 

your worst nightmare
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I liked this game too.. MASS should get rolled.

If you havent played it yet, a possible tropical storm is coming through late thursday and on into Friday..... Could get wet around here. People panic when we get them, they are nothing more than a huge rain storm really.. But we have folks buying water and stuff its like please.. I will most likely be in my pool ...but it can lay down a ton of rain. It should be gone by Saturday but might leave the field quite muddy.. and not the typical fast track that the Swamp provides....

Just wanted to let you know.

BOL BROTHER !!!

Thanks, but the bet's already been placed, and I'm not really worried if the field is a "fast track" at the Swamp or not. It could be a mud bowl for all I care.

This will be a BLOW OUT!

I look at the disparity in talent (especially in skill positions and defense) and the caliber of the athletes these two football programs possess. Night and day IMO.

Minutemen return less of last year's production than any team in the FBS from 19 returning starters in 2015 to a mere 9 in 2016, and this is
NOT a good sign for a program transitioning out of the MAC and into the land of Independents.

UMASS JUCO QB Andrew Ford, a former 3 star recruit with Virginia Tech, is expected to replace departed signal-caller Blake Frohnapfel. He'll be leading a suspect
offense against a Gators defense that looks like one of the best in the country, led by DT Caleb Brantley and a 10-deep defensive line loaded with 5 and 4 star talent.
Granted, the Gators will be breaking in a new QB in Luke Del Rio, but I expect then to pound the rock behind a mammoth offensive line and then open it up with "safe"
passes to give the kid confidence. The Florida WRs and RBs, who are 5 and 4 star recruits and fast as shit, will be catching the ball will indeed be getting huge chunks
of yards in the all important YAC. I just don't see the UMASS defense being able to contain these skill players the Gators have on offense.

UMASS was blown out at Colorado last year by 34 (48-14) and at Notre Dame by 35 (62-27) with the aforementioned 19 returning starters, including a seasoned QB Blake Frohnapfel.
Now they face a fired up hungry Gator team (with a tough as nails defense) with an inexperienced QB?

UMASS also brings some awful ATS numbers into this mismatch, going 3-8 ATS the last 11 games as road dogs of more than 24 points, and 0-18 SU (2-7 ATS) in non-conference
road games - with the last 9 losses coming by an average of of 35.1 points! Conversely, Gators are 8-2 ATS last 10 as favorites of 31 or more points.

Florida won it's season home openers the last two years in blowout fashion. In 2014, the blew out Eastern Michigan 65-0. Last year, in 2015, they blew out New Mexico State 61-13.

I expect this to be a similar beat-down, and I expect the score to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 58-13. It could very well be 49-0 as well. This is just a payday for UMASS.

UMASS head coach Mark Whipple would gladly trade places with Mr. Whipple from the Charmin commercials because the only things that are going to get squeezed Saturday night at the Swamp
will be those poor kids wearing Minutemen uniforms! :lolBIG:

r


Good luck to all those backing UMASS +36 in this contest. IMO, you'll be sorely disappointed. :)!/
 

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Oh I agree... I think the Gators will have a really solid team this year... GL BROTHER !!!
 

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Good luck Incubus.
 

your worst nightmare
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As mentioned before, I'll be adding to my slate of games as I bet the plays I handicap.

This next selection qualifies for a special category I've labeled LIVE DOG PLAYS. These are the
kind of games where I believe one team will give the other team all they can handle the entire game as well
cover the spread easier than the "experts" think. The team will have a legitimate chance for an OUTRIGHT WIN!

These will certainly count towards my overall record, but I'll also track them in their own subset ("LIVE DOG PLAYS.")

This game is on Saturday 3 September at 7:30PM ET.

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Buy the 1/2 point at the current +6.5 to make it +7 -120

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Two KEY offensive players for the Golden Eagles make this a LIVE DOG PLAY for me!

RB ITO SMITH
The slippery 5 foot 9 inch junior RB had 1128 yards rushing in 2015 with an eye popping 6.6 yards per carry!
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He ready for a breakout season, and will be running behind 3 veteran returning OL starters.


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QB NICK MULLENS

The 2015 Conference USA OFFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR completed 291 of 453 passes for 3,964 yards and 35 TDs (only 12 interceptions)
and ranked 6th among NCAA Division 1 FBS quarterbacks in passing yardage. He's also poised for a break out year, and I see him shredding
the "young" (e.g., inexperienced) Kentucky defense.


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Both Smith and Mullens will be facing a VERY GREEN (e.g., YOUTHFUL) Wildcat defense (front 7 has only 16 combined
starts!) that had a meager 17 sacks and yielded 200 yards per game rushing (4.6 yards per carry).

Kentucky's main offensive weapon RB Boom Williams won't easily "get off" vs. a stiffening Southern Miss defense,
anchored by LEGIT NFL prospect SENIOR LB D'Nerious Antoine (103 tackles last season!)

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Good luck, and ......
GO GOLDEN EAGLES!
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This is absolutely my favorite time of year as well as my favorite sport to handicap and bet.

Throughout this 2016 season, I'll be posting my plays and corresponding record in this thread as we go along.

Each play is for 1 unit at -110 odds, unless I decide to buy a 1/2 point (which will mean the odds will be between -120 to -130).
I'll maintain accurate records as I do for some of the other handicappers here.

I may even play an occasional teaser now and then.

Comments are welcome. Fade me, tail me, or do nothing.

Good luck to everyone this 2016 NCAA football season! w-thumbs!^

Let's start off the season with TWO FOR THURSDAY!

Both of these games are on Thursday 1 September at 8:00PM ET.


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Nice way to start the season Inky well done .... bring out the broom

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All the best in CFB this year
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Thanks Incubus! Great Thread

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Way to go Incubus!
 

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Inky..........nicely done .........continued success this season............indy
 

your worst nightmare
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LAST SESSION

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Thursday 1 September 2016


SIDES

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Overall YTD Sides = 1-0 ATS (+1.00 unit) at 100%

TOTALS

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Overall YTD Totals = 1-0 ATS (+1.00 unit) at 100%

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OVERALL THURSDAY 1 SEPTEMBER 2016 SESSION = 2-0 ATS (+2.00 unit) at 100%

OVERALL YTD SIDES & TOTALS = 2-0 ATS (+2.00 unit) at 100%
 

your worst nightmare
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Yup, you know it. Adding to my slate of games as I bet the plays I handicap.

This game is on Saturday 3 September at 7:00PM ET.

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Two KEY offensive players for the Golden Hurricane make this a definite play for me!

RB D'ANGELO BREWER



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QB DANE EVANS

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It will be a HIGH SCORING game, and I see Tulsa winning by the score of 42-30 or thereabouts! ^!:

Good luck, and ......
GO GOLDEN HURRICANE!
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